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Kidsland International Holdings (2122) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$169M

KI Kidsland International Holdings 2122 · HK
PriceHK$0.1420
Fair ValueHK$0.0680
Upside-52.1%
Quality34/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -15.5% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −4.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 52% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.3600 HK$0.0310 Fair Value HK$0.0680 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0310 – HK$0.3600 · the HK$0.1420 price screens above the HK$0.0680 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Kidsland International Holdings (2122) currently trades at HK$0.1420, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0680, implying the stock looks roughly 52.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kidsland International Holdings generated revenue of HK$835M at a net margin of -15.5%. Revenue declined 14.1% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$180M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 149% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at -52%, 2122 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.0100 HK$0.0300 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0600 74
EV/Revenue HK$0.0100 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0700 43
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.0100 HK$0.0300 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0200 HK$0.0600 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0100 HK$0.0300 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.0100 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0700 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.0100 HK$0.0300 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0600 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.0400) versus DCF Models (HK$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$835M
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.1%
Net margin -15.5%
Return on equity -1,378%
Free cash flow HK$11.0M FY2025
Operating margin -14.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0700
Net debt HK$180M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 63
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kidsland International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, trades in and sells toys and related lifestyle products in Mainland China, Macau, and Hong Kong. It invests in trademarks; and offers baby care products.

Full company description

Kidsland International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, trades in and sells toys and related lifestyle products in Mainland China, Macau, and Hong Kong. It invests in trademarks; and offers baby care products. The company offers its products through retail channels, such as retail shops, consignment counters, and online stores; and wholesale channels, including distributors, hypermarket and supermarket chains, and online key accounts. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kidsland International Holdings reported revenue of HK$835M in FY2025 versus HK$1.5B in FY2021, a compound −13.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$129M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$835M
Latest YoY
−14.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.5%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.0%
Revenue −13.2%/yr
FY21 HK$1.5B
FY22 HK$1.1B
FY23 HK$1.2B
FY24 HK$974M
FY25 HK$835M
Net income
FY21 HK$1.3M
FY22 −HK$182M
FY23 −HK$210M
FY24 −HK$202M
FY25 −HK$129M

2122 screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kidsland International Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2122

Peer Group

Specialty Retail · 223 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −52% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -19% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -15% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -14% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -14% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 58

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD C$93.19 C$75.00 -20%
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $839.03 $398.90 -52%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $245.15 $162.63 -34%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $531.89 $475.40 -11%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $202.66 $181.10 -11%
Best Buy Co BBY $83.00 $108.04 +30%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥54.97 ¥40.40 -27%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $36.43 $35.52 -2%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA $544.22 $423.35 -22%
Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 109.50 TWD 80.98 TWD -26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kidsland International Holdings (2122) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0680 versus a price of HK$0.1420, about −52% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2122?
Our model-based fair value for Kidsland International Holdings is HK$0.0680 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1420.
What is the quality score of 2122?
Kidsland International Holdings has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kidsland International Holdings (2122)?
Kidsland International Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$835M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2122?
The net profit margin of Kidsland International Holdings is about -15.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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