Tat Hong Equipment Service Co Ltd (2153) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$980M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −4.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.7200 to HK$1.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.7000 – HK$1.56 · fair‑value band HK$0.7200 – HK$1.83 · the HK$0.8000 price screens below the HK$1.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Tat Hong Equipment Service Co Ltd (2153) currently trades at HK$0.8000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.28, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tat Hong Equipment Service Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$582M at a net margin of -20.7%. Revenue declined 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.7%. Net debt stands at HK$1.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.7200 (bear case) to HK$1.83 (bull case); at HK$0.8000, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at 60%, 2153 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$1.92) versus DCF Models (HK$0.5900). Highest evidence: Rev-Margin DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tat Hong Equipment Service Co., Ltd. provides tower crane solution services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers consultation, technical design, commissioning, construction, and after-sales services to infrastructure, clean energy, traditional energy, public and factory building, and commercial and residential building.
Full company description
Tat Hong Equipment Service Co., Ltd. provides tower crane solution services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers consultation, technical design, commissioning, construction, and after-sales services to infrastructure, clean energy, traditional energy, public and factory building, and commercial and residential building. It also engages in the installation, maintenance, leasing, and finance leasing of construction machinery and equipment. Additionally, it manages a fleet of tower cranes. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China. Tat Hong Equipment Service Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Tat Hong Equipment (China) Pte. Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Tat Hong Equipment Service Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$561M in FY2026 versus HK$867M in FY2022, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$116M in FY2026.
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Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $855.60 | $307.83 | -64% |
| Deere & Company DE | $619.77 | $182.29 | -71% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 344.00 | kr 288.08 | -16% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $131.06 | $94.80 | -28% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 254.50 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.91 | ¥20.84 | +10% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.25 | ¥11.79 | +43% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.42 | HK$53.57 | +29% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥28.69 | ¥42.00 | +46% |
| Ashok Leyland Limited ASHOKLEY | ₹176.70 | ₹118.01 | -33% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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