Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd HK$2.45, price HK$0.95, upside +157.9%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of property management services in China. It provides management of properties, maintenance and repair of buildings and ancillary facilities, community security management, car-park management, equipment installation, and property consulting services.
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Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of property management services in China. It provides management of properties, maintenance and repair of buildings and ancillary facilities, community security management, car-park management, equipment installation, and property consulting services. The company also offers pre-delivery services, such as construction sites management, which includes security, cleaning, gardening, and maintenance services; and display units and property sales venues management services. In addition, it offers community value-added services for residential and commercial buildings, office buildings, stadiums, and public facilities; and smart solution services for various business fields. The company was formerly known as Kaisa Property Holdings Limited and changed its name to Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Limited in July 2019. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China. Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Ye Chang Investment Company Limited.
Stock analysis
Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168) currently trades at HK$0.9500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.45, implying the stock looks roughly 61.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$9.39 per share, and 9 of the 9 models we run sit above the HK$0.9500 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$1.05, and 0 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 1.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −11.8%/yr. Reported net income was 13.2M CNY in FY2025, compounding −30.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$146M (≈ $18.7M) · P/E ratio 9.2 · P/S ratio 0.08 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.3100 · Dividend yield 7.2% · Net margin 0.8% · Return on equity 2.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 158%, 2168 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$2.45Fair Value HK$2.45Bull HK$2.45
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.2327 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.15/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.9% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−33.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−40.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−40.7% vs −14.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 5%
Compare Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 540 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside+157.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2.5% · Below median
Return on assets3.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)0.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)7.2% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.45 versus a price of HK$0.9500, about +158% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2168?
Our model-based fair value for Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd is HK$2.45 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.9500.
What is the quality score of 2168?
Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.45 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 9 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$2.45, about +158% upside versus a price of HK$0.9500 (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168)?
Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd it is HK$2.45 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.9500. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2168 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.9500, fair value HK$2.45, a gap of about +158% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2168?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.9500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$2.45). For Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd the two are HK$1.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd at about HK$146M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.9500; our models calculate a fair value of HK$2.45 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of 2168?
Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.2 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$2.45 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 2.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2168 from its 52-week high?
Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.9500, about 52% below its 52-week high of HK$1.97 and 12% above the low of HK$0.8500 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$2.45 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.9500, calculated fair value HK$2.45 (+158%), Quality Score 48/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2168 calculated?
We run Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$2.45, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd currently trades 61 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.9500. Our model-based fair value is HK$2.45, about +158% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$2.45). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168) come from?
Earnings per share at Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd grew −15.6 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +12.9 %, EBIT margin −10.3 %, tax rate −3.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −14.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168)?
The market capitalisation of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd is HK$146M (≈ $18.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd is 0.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168)?
Earnings per share at Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd are HK$0.3100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168)?
The dividend yield of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd is 7.2% (payout 22.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168)?
The net margin of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd is 0.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168)?
The operating margin of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168)?
Revenue at Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd is growing −5.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168)?
Earnings per share at Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd are growing +7.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168) generate?
The free cash flow of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd is −8.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd (2168) hold?
Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, 221M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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