2169 (2169) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · Market cap HK$2.0B
Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated today
Share price −10.2% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$0.5000 – HK$1.90 · fair‑value band HK$0.2000 – HK$0.3600 · the HK$0.5300 price screens above the HK$0.2800 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.
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2169 (2169) currently trades at HK$0.5300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2800 — implying the stock looks roughly 47.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, 2169 generated revenue of HK$278M at a net margin of 20.8%. Revenue grew 15.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.0%. Net debt stands at HK$425M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
2169 reported revenue of HK$278M in FY2025 versus HK$356M in FY2021, a compound −6.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$57.9M in FY2025, compounding −7.0%/yr from FY2021.
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6 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
| UNP UNP | 4,617 MXN | 1,568 MXN | -66% |
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| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $90.15 | $21.86 | -76% |
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| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $304.17 | $117.62 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.