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Neptune Company (217270) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · KR · Market cap 99.5B KRW

NC Neptune Company 217270 · KQ
Price2,520 KRW
Fair Value1,466 KRW
Upside-41.8%
Quality54/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -33.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 21/100
Evidence: Medium Range 1,466 KRW – 1,558 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +8.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 42% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,558 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band (1,466 KRW to 1,558 KRW), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

34,500 KRW 2,115 KRW Fair Value 1,466 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2,115 KRW – 34,500 KRW · fair‑value band 1,466 KRW – 1,558 KRW · the 2,520 KRW price screens above the 1,466 KRW fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Neptune Company (217270) currently trades at 2,520 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,466 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 41.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Neptune Company generated revenue of 122B KRW at a net margin of -33.3%. Revenue declined 0.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.9%. Net debt stands at 23.4B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1,466 KRW (bear case) to 1,558 KRW (bull case); at 2,520 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -42%, 217270 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 3,586 KRW 5,954 KRW 10,740 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 2,104 KRW 2,863 KRW 4,383 KRW 74
ROIC Compounder 1,308 KRW 1,387 KRW 1,456 KRW 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 3,760 KRW 5,438 KRW 10,784 KRW 38
5Y Revenue Exit 2,042 KRW 2,602 KRW 3,748 KRW 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 3,222 KRW 4,988 KRW 8,449 KRW 41
10Y Revenue Exit 2,538 KRW 3,827 KRW 4,410 KRW 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 3,422 KRW 6,367 KRW 11,427 KRW 37
Earnings-Based
EPV 1,308 KRW 1,387 KRW 1,456 KRW 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT 1,498 KRW 1,720 KRW 1,942 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 2,935 KRW 3,636 KRW 4,337 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 1,337 KRW 1,553 KRW 1,770 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3,517 KRW 4,713 KRW 7,035 KRW 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 3,586 KRW 5,954 KRW 10,740 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 2,104 KRW 2,863 KRW 4,383 KRW 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 1,308 KRW 1,387 KRW 1,456 KRW 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (4,988 KRW) versus Earnings-Based (1,387 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 122B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.6%
Net margin -33.3%
Return on equity -11.9%
Free cash flow 7.8B KRW FY2025
Operating margin 5.5%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -7.4%
Net debt 23.4B KRW FY2019

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 2
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Neptune Company develops and supplies mobile games in South Korea. The company operates game studios under the TREEPLLA, PLAYHARD, NFLY STUDIO, EK GAMES, NCROQUIS, Play Lab, HNC Games, prettybusy, and Nimble Neuron names. It also engages in platform business.

Full company description

Neptune Company develops and supplies mobile games in South Korea. The company operates game studios under the TREEPLLA, PLAYHARD, NFLY STUDIO, EK GAMES, NCROQUIS, Play Lab, HNC Games, prettybusy, and Nimble Neuron names. It also engages in platform business. In addition, the company operates SSP and Ad exchange platforms comprising AD(X) and AdPie for monetizing in-game advertising space in mobile apps and games; KLAT, a ChatAPI; NewsPub, a news curation service; Remake, a digital marketing specialist; and PointPub, a reward-based advertising platform. Further, it develops and services non-game utility applications, such as Alarmmon and Subway. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Seongnam-si, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Neptune Company reported revenue of 123B KRW in FY2025 versus 20.3B KRW in FY2021, a compound +56.8%/yr. Reported net income was −40.2B KRW in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
123B KRW
Latest YoY
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+60.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+44.2%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.5%
Revenue +56.8%/yr
FY21 20.3B KRW
FY22 29.5B KRW
FY23 99.7B KRW
FY24 122B KRW
FY25 123B KRW
Net income
FY21 77.7B KRW
FY22 −162B KRW
FY23 −15.7B KRW
FY24 1.9B KRW
FY25 −40.2B KRW

217270 screens 42% overvalued. Compare with NetEase, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Neptune Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/217270

Peer Group

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 152 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside −42% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -33% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 15
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 11
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NetEase, Inc 9999 HK$202.60 HK$192.74 -5%
Electronic Arts Inc EA $207.27 $76.57 -63%
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO $237.04 $60.45 -74%
Roblox Corporation RBLX $57.07 $21.20 -63%
Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 ¥14.04 ¥14.68 +5%
KRAFTON, Inc 259960 240,500 KRW 395,557 KRW +64%
Kunlun Tech Co 300418 ¥44.61 ¥6.87 -85%
Giant Network Group 002558 ¥29.98 ¥15.69 -48%
International Games System Co 3293 704.00 TWD 568.16 TWD -19%
37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 ¥19.02 ¥22.29 +17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Neptune Company (217270) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,466 KRW versus a price of 2,520 KRW, about −42% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 217270?
Our model-based fair value for Neptune Company is 1,466 KRW (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2,520 KRW.
What is the quality score of 217270?
Neptune Company has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Neptune Company (217270)?
Neptune Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 122B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 217270?
The net profit margin of Neptune Company is about -33.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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