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China Gen Educ Grp Ltd (2175) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$1.4B

CG China Gen Educ Grp Ltd 2175 · HK
PriceHK$2.45
Fair ValueHK$3.19
Upside+30.2%
Quality55/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 23.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$2.48 – HK$4.15 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −7.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 30% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from HK$2.48 (bear) to HK$4.15 (bull), base HK$3.19. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 55/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$4.76 HK$1.05 Fair Value HK$3.19 Jul 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.05 – HK$4.76 · fair‑value band HK$2.48 – HK$4.15 · the HK$2.45 price screens below the HK$3.19 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

China Gen Educ Grp Ltd (2175) currently trades at HK$2.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.19, implying the stock looks roughly 30.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Gen Educ Grp Ltd generated revenue of HK$329M at a net margin of 23.0%. Revenue declined 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$457M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$2.48 (bear case) to HK$4.15 (bull case); at HK$2.45, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 30%, 2175 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder HK$2.07 HK$2.21 HK$2.34 72
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.92 HK$2.75 HK$3.57 68
P/E Multiple HK$2.66 HK$3.55 HK$4.44 63
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$1.10 HK$2.19 HK$2.74 54
EPV HK$2.07 HK$2.21 HK$2.34 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$2.66 HK$3.55 HK$4.44 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.6300 HK$0.8400 HK$1.05 58
P/B Multiple HK$2.06 HK$2.74 HK$3.43 55
EV/EBIT HK$3.04 HK$3.73 HK$4.41 53
EV/EBITDA HK$3.19 HK$3.93 HK$4.66 54
EV/Revenue HK$1.57 HK$1.82 HK$2.07 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.02 HK$2.71 HK$4.04 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$2.83 HK$2.73 HK$2.27 61
ROIC Compounder HK$2.07 HK$2.21 HK$2.34 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.92 HK$2.75 HK$3.57 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$2.75) versus Earnings-Based (HK$2.19). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$329M
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.7%
Net margin 23.0%
Return on equity 4.0%
Free cash flow −HK$302M FY2025
P/E ratio 16.1 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 23.1%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0500
EPS growth (YoY) -1.6%
Net cash HK$457M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 46
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China General Education Group Limited offers private higher education services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates a private undergraduate college, Shanxi Technology and Business College. It also provides education management and services; and information transmission, software, and information technology services.

Full company description

China General Education Group Limited offers private higher education services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates a private undergraduate college, Shanxi Technology and Business College. It also provides education management and services; and information transmission, software, and information technology services. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Taiyuan, the People's Republic of China. China General Education Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of Niusanping Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Gen Educ Grp Ltd reported revenue of HK$326M in FY2025 versus HK$289M in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$75.5M in FY2025, compounding −12.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 27/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$326M
Latest YoY
−1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.9%
Revenue +3.1%/yr
FY21 HK$289M
FY22 HK$306M
FY23 HK$323M
FY24 HK$331M
FY25 HK$326M
Net income −12.7%/yr
FY21 HK$130M
FY22 HK$103M
FY23 HK$137M
FY24 HK$108M
FY25 HK$75.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Gen Educ Grp Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2175

Peer Group

Education & Training Services · 149 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside +30% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.72× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.13× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 74 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 22
PAST 16 · sector 19
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 74

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 875.84 MXN -9%
TAL Education Group TAL $11.87 $15.60 +31%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.99 $41.45 +12%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹123.90 ₹14.81 -88%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $142.06 $152.01 +7%
Covista Inc CVSA $128.22 $135.45 +6%
Stride, Inc LRN $78.59 $139.45 +77%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $25.64 $20.98 -18%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $31.24 $40.65 +30%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $79.98 $105.48 +32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Gen Educ Grp Ltd (2175) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.19 versus a price of HK$2.45, about +30% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2175?
Our model-based fair value for China Gen Educ Grp Ltd is HK$3.19 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.45.
What is the quality score of 2175?
China Gen Educ Grp Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Gen Educ Grp Ltd (2175)?
China Gen Educ Grp Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$329M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2175?
The net profit margin of China Gen Educ Grp Ltd is about 23.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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