2209 (2209) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$990M

2 2209 2209 · HK

PriceHK$2.37

Fair ValueHK$1.18

Upside-50.2%

Quality46/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$0.5800 – HK$2.69

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −15.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$2.37 – HK$7.14 · fair‑value band HK$0.5800 – HK$2.69 · the HK$2.37 price screens above the HK$1.18 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

2209 (2209) currently trades at HK$2.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.18 — implying the stock looks roughly 50.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 2209 generated revenue of HK$502M at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue grew 41.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.8%. Net debt stands at HK$15.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$502M

Revenue growth (YoY) +41.2%

Net margin 4.6%

Return on equity 34.8%

Free cash flow HK$6.1M FY2025

P/E ratio 5.5

More key figures

Operating margin 5.2%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.0300

Dividend yield 0.6%

EPS growth (YoY) +16.0%

Net debt HK$15.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

2209 reported revenue of HK$502M in FY2025 versus HK$162M in FY2021, a compound +32.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$23.2M in FY2025.

Revenue +32.6%/yr

FY21 HK$162M

FY22 HK$129M

FY23 HK$201M

FY24 HK$346M

FY25 HK$502M

Net income

FY21 −HK$2.1M

FY22 −HK$6.8M

FY23 HK$7.6M

FY24 HK$19.1M

FY25 HK$23.2M

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Frequently asked questions

Is 2209 (2209) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.18 versus a price of HK$2.37 — about −50% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 2209?

Our model-based fair value for 2209 is HK$1.18 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.37.

What is the quality score of 2209?

2209 has a Quality Score of 46/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 2209 (2209)?

2209 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$502M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 2209?

The net profit margin of 2209 is about 4.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 2209 pay a dividend?

2209 currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.55% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.