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Evergreen Steel Corp (2211) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TW · Market cap 39.3B TWD

ES Evergreen Steel Corp 2211 · TW
Price88.10 TWD
Fair Value64.79 TWD
Upside-26.5%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 23.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: Medium Range 38.77 TWD – 82.15 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −7.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 26% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (82.15 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (38.77 TWD to 82.15 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

156.00 TWD 38.76 TWD Fair Value 64.79 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 38.76 TWD – 156.00 TWD · fair‑value band 38.77 TWD – 82.15 TWD · the 88.10 TWD price screens above the 64.79 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Evergreen Steel Corp (2211) currently trades at 88.10 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 64.79 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 26.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Evergreen Steel Corp generated revenue of 15.3B TWD at a net margin of 23.4%. Revenue grew 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.0%. Net debt stands at 795M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 38.77 TWD (bear case) to 82.15 TWD (bull case); at 88.10 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -26%, 2211 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 73.15 TWD 122.52 TWD 203.14 TWD 80
Residual Income 62.60 TWD 75.40 TWD 146.94 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 54.18 TWD 87.73 TWD 129.39 TWD 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 72.98 TWD 124.82 TWD 210.63 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 112.77 TWD 192.78 TWD 325.21 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 54.18 TWD 87.84 TWD 131.83 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 84.85 TWD 148.79 TWD 226.96 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 106.41 TWD 191.62 TWD 286.51 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 58.53 TWD 91.98 TWD 139.71 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 80.08 TWD 135.72 TWD 216.56 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 94.16 TWD 166.46 TWD 264.67 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 58.48 TWD 236.80 TWD 322.19 TWD 54
Lynch FV 59.18 TWD 84.54 TWD 109.90 TWD 50
PEG = 1.0 59.18 TWD 84.54 TWD 109.90 TWD 46
EPV 65.72 TWD 76.72 TWD 86.34 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 45.91 TWD 95.45 TWD 151.43 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 45.91 TWD 80.49 TWD 100.18 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 135.45 TWD 180.60 TWD 225.75 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 55.10 TWD 73.47 TWD 91.83 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 109.65 TWD 146.20 TWD 182.75 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 109.54 TWD 146.13 TWD 182.72 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 99.79 TWD 133.13 TWD 166.47 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 46.05 TWD 65.89 TWD 85.73 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 32.75 TWD 43.89 TWD 65.50 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 73.15 TWD 122.52 TWD 203.14 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 54.18 TWD 87.73 TWD 129.39 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 62.60 TWD 75.40 TWD 146.94 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 65.83 TWD 86.92 TWD 116.34 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 103.12 TWD 147.31 TWD 191.51 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (147.31 TWD) versus Asset-Based (43.89 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 15.3B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.6%
Net margin 23.4%
Return on equity 13.0%
Free cash flow 2.5B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 11.0
More key figures
Operating margin 19.6%
EPS (TTM) 8.60 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) +12.1%
Net debt 795M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 19
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Evergreen Steel Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the steel structure engineering and environmental protection businesses in Taiwan. The company offers construction and engineering services for factories, high-rise, bridges, and special buildings; manufacturing and assembly of steel structures; and maintenance and repair of containers.

Full company description

Evergreen Steel Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the steel structure engineering and environmental protection businesses in Taiwan. The company offers construction and engineering services for factories, high-rise, bridges, and special buildings; manufacturing and assembly of steel structures; and maintenance and repair of containers. It is also involved in general and business waste treatment, disposal, and cogeneration; resource recycling; industrial water, wastewater, tap water, pure water, and sewage treatment; operation of multi-functional biomass energy center; and general investment activities. Evergreen Steel Corp. was formerly known as Evergreen Development Corp. and changed its name to Evergreen Steel Corp. in July 2011. The company was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Taipei City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Evergreen Steel Corp reported revenue of 15.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 13.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was 3.6B TWD in FY2025, compounding +29.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 92/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
15.3B TWD
Latest YoY
+18.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+5.3%
Revenue +3.0%/yr
FY21 13.6B TWD
FY22 11.4B TWD
FY23 11.1B TWD
FY24 12.9B TWD
FY25 15.3B TWD
Net income +29.4%/yr
FY21 1.3B TWD
FY22 2.6B TWD
FY23 3.7B TWD
FY24 2.6B TWD
FY25 3.6B TWD

2211 screens 26% overvalued. Compare with Tata Steel Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Evergreen Steel Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2211

Peer Group

Steel · 378 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −27% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -14% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.44× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.66× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 20
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 50 · sector 15
HEALTH 96 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Evergreen Steel Corp (2211) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 64.79 TWD versus a price of 88.10 TWD, about −26% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2211?
Our model-based fair value for Evergreen Steel Corp is 64.79 TWD (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 88.10 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2211?
Evergreen Steel Corp has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Evergreen Steel Corp (2211)?
Evergreen Steel Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 15.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2211?
The net profit margin of Evergreen Steel Corp is about 23.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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