Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. TWD 78.80, price TWD 98.00, upside -19.6%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells automotive air conditioning compressors, heat exchangers, clutches, and automotive water tanks in Taiwan. The company offers compressors, heat exchangers, and parts, as well as radiators and condensers. Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is based in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249) currently trades at 98.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 78.80 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 24.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 201.62 TWD per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the 98.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 28.83 TWD, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 54.83 TWD (bear) to 104.66 TWD (bull), the price of 98.00 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 2.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was 290M TWD in FY2025, compounding +36.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.5B TWD (≈ $78.6M) · P/E ratio 8.7 · P/S ratio 0.95 · EPS (TTM) 11.31 TWD · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 11.0% · Return on equity 20.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −20%, 2249 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 54.83 TWDFair Value 78.80 TWDBull 104.66 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (6.08 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.75/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+22.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+18.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.19% vs 20%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.2% a year for the price.
Compare Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 695 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−20% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Return on assets11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−21% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.1% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2249
Frequently asked questions
Is Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 78.80 TWD versus a price of 98.00 TWD, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2249?
Our model-based fair value for Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. is 78.80 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 98.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2249?
Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 78.80 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 54.83 TWD, optimistic scenario 104.66 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 78.80 TWD, about −20% upside versus a price of 98.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 54.83 TWD, optimistic scenario 104.66 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249)?
Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.06% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +2.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2249 use?
Our models discount Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.22, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. that is +2.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. grew +8.1 % a year. The price currently implies +2.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (+2.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.79 %: that much free cash flow Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. it is 78.80 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 98.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2249 trades above its calculated fair value: price 98.00 TWD, fair value 78.80 TWD, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2249?
No. The price is what the market pays today (98.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (78.80 TWD). For Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. the two are 19.20 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. at about 2.5B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 98.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 78.80 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2249?
Our models span a range for Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario 54.83 TWD, base 78.80 TWD, optimistic 104.66 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 98.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2249?
Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 78.80 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 5.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249)?
Balance-sheet figures for Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 20.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2249 from its 52-week high?
Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. trades at 98.00 TWD, about 20% below its 52-week high of 122.61 TWD and 37% above the low of 71.71 TWD (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 78.80 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 98.00 TWD, calculated fair value 78.80 TWD (−20%), Quality Score 52/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2249 calculated?
We run Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 78.80 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 98.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 78.80 TWD, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (54.83 TWD to 104.66 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249)?
The market capitalisation of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. is 2.5B TWD (≈ $78.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. is 0.95 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249)?
Earnings per share at Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. are 11.31 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249)?
The dividend yield of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. is 3.1% (payout 26.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249)?
The net margin of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. is 11.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. is 20.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. is 14.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249)?
The operating margin of Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. is 16.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249)?
Revenue at Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. is growing −20.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249)?
Earnings per share at Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. are growing −22.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249) hold?
Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 596M TWD net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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