Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range 46.66 SAR – 137.02 SAR · fair‑value band 15.15 SAR – 30.30 SAR · the 56.85 SAR price screens above the 20.30 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Tanmiah Food Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in food and agriculture business in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the Kingdom of Bahrain, and Other GCC countries. It operates through Poultry, Food, and Agriculture; and Restaurant Outlets segments.
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Tanmiah Food Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in food and agriculture business in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the Kingdom of Bahrain, and Other GCC countries. It operates through Poultry, Food, and Agriculture; and Restaurant Outlets segments. The company offers fresh and frozen poultry; ready-to-cook; added value products; and deli meat products. It is also involved in the manufacturing, wholesale, and retail trading in foodstuff; preparation of animal and poultry feeds for commercial; construction of poultry farms; retail and wholesale trading in poultry equipment; and operation of restaurant outlets with related services. In addition, the company engages in wholesale trading of poultry products and agricultural produce; retail and wholesale trading in machines and equipment in the field of animal care, animal shelter, animal feed, chicks and hatching eggs, veterinary lab equipment, and medicines, as well as marketing, and import and export of related products; general trading activities; and cafeterias and fast-food activities, as well as develops and operates poultry breeding facilities, including the establishment of a greenfield hatchery. It also offers its products online. The company was formerly known as Tanmiah Foods Trading Company and changed its name to Tanmiah Food Company in May 2019. The Company was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Tanmiah Food Company is a subsidiary of Al Dabbagh Group Holding Company Limited.
Stock analysis
Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281) currently trades at 56.85 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 20.30 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 180.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 41.55 SAR per share, and 1 of the 8 models we run sit above the 56.85 SAR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 6.43 SAR, and 7 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 15.15 SAR (bear) to 30.30 SAR (bull), the price of 56.85 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC reported revenue of 2.7B SAR in FY2025 versus 1.2B SAR in FY2021, a compound +21.7%/yr. Reported net income was −18.8M SAR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.2B SAR (≈ $316M) · P/S ratio 0.41 · EPS (TTM) −1.95 SAR · Dividend yield 4.0% · Net margin −0.7% · Return on equity −4.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% · Operating margin 3.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −64%, 2281 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 15.15 SARFair Value 20.30 SARBull 30.30 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.0%
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.8% (2020) → 3.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+71% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.95× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.48× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.11× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA5.4× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)40· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)53· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)81· sector 57
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2281
Frequently asked questions
Is Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 20.30 SAR versus a price of 56.85 SAR, about −64% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2281?
Our model-based fair value for Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC is 20.30 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 56.85 SAR.
What is the quality score of 2281?
Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 20.30 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario 15.15 SAR, optimistic scenario 30.30 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 20.30 SAR, about −64% upside versus a price of 56.85 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 15.15 SAR, optimistic scenario 30.30 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281)?
Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.7B SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC pay a dividend?
Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.03% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC it is 20.30 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 56.85 SAR. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 2281 trades above its calculated fair value: price 56.85 SAR, fair value 20.30 SAR, a gap of about −64% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2281?
No. The price is what the market pays today (56.85 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (20.30 SAR). For Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC the two are 36.55 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC worth?
The market values Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC at about 1.2B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 56.85 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 20.30 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2281?
Our models span a range for Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC: cautious scenario 15.15 SAR, base 20.30 SAR, optimistic 30.30 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 56.85 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −4.9%, debt of 0.95 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2281 from its 52-week high?
Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC trades at 56.85 SAR, about 39% below its 52-week high of 93.95 SAR and 27% above the low of 44.60 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 20.30 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Nestlé India Limited, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 56.85 SAR, calculated fair value 20.30 SAR (−64%), Quality Score 25/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2281 calculated?
We run Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 20.30 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281)?
The closing price on Sep 17, 2026 was 56.85 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 20.30 SAR, about −64% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (30.30 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (15.15 SAR to 30.30 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC
How large is the market capitalisation of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281)?
The market capitalisation of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC is 1.2B SAR (≈ $316M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC is 0.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281)?
Earnings per share at Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC are −1.95 SAR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281)?
The dividend yield of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC is 4.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281)?
The net margin of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC is −0.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC is −4.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281)?
The operating margin of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281)?
Revenue at Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC is growing +8.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281)?
Earnings per share at Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC are growing −97.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281) generate?
The free cash flow of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC is −107M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC (2281) carry?
The net debt of Tanmiah Food Company SCJSC is 1.7B SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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