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Rykadan Capital Ltd (2288) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$54.4M (≈ $6.9M) · ISIN KYG7750P1046

What is Rykadan Capital Ltd really worth?

RC Rykadan Capital Ltd 2288 · HK
PriceHK$0.1550
Fair ValueHK$0.2400
Upside+54.8%
Quality57/100

A solid business, trading 35% below our fair value of HK$0.2400.

As of Aug 29, 2026, the fair value of Rykadan Capital Ltd is HK$0.2400 per share against a price of HK$0.1550, so the fair value sits 55% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (5/8)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −21.1 %/yr)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range HK$0.0900 to HK$0.3900
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0900 – HK$0.3900

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price +25.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.0900 to HK$0.3900). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.7400 HK$0.0980 Fair Value HK$0.2400 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0980 – HK$0.7400 · fair‑value band HK$0.0900 – HK$0.3900 · the HK$0.1550 price screens below the HK$0.2400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Rykadan Capital Ltd (2288) currently trades at HK$0.1550, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2400, implying the stock looks roughly 35.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$0.7800 per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the HK$0.1550 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at HK$0.2100, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$51.4M. Revenue declined 30.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −32.6%. Net debt stands at HK$97.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0900 (bear case) to HK$0.3900 (bull case); at HK$0.1550, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 55%, 2288 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.1400 HK$0.2100 HK$0.3300 79
Growth DCF HK$0.1500 HK$0.2100 HK$0.3200 78
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1600 HK$0.3000 HK$0.4800 71
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.1400 HK$0.2100 HK$0.3300 79
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1600 HK$0.2900 HK$0.4900 70
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1500 HK$0.2400 HK$0.3300 67
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.2100 HK$0.3600 HK$0.5100 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.5800 HK$0.7800 HK$1.17 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.1500 HK$0.2100 HK$0.3200 78
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1600 HK$0.3000 HK$0.4800 71

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.7800) versus Growth DCF (HK$0.2100). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 1.06 TTM
EPS (TTM) HK$−0.2300
Net margin −279% TTM
Return on equity −32.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −7.6% avg 5y
Operating margin −26,048% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$51.4M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −30.4% 3y avg −16.3%
EPS growth (YoY) −75.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$14.5M FY2025
Net debt HK$97.9M FY2026 · ≈ 6.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 99
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Rykadan Capital Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development business in Hong Kong and the United States. It operates through Property Development; Asset, Investment and Fund management; and Distribution of Construction and Interior Decorative Materials segments.

Full company description

Rykadan Capital Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development business in Hong Kong and the United States. It operates through Property Development; Asset, Investment and Fund management; and Distribution of Construction and Interior Decorative Materials segments. The company invests in and manages a portfolio of real estate assets, including residential, commercial, industrial, and mixed-use properties. It also distributes construction and interior decorative materials, such as quartz and marble-based engineered stone composite surface products; and leases car parks, warehouses and office premises. In addition, the company provides asset, investment, and fund management services; financing services; and project and corporate management, and management services. The company was formerly known as Sundart International Holdings Limited and changed its name to Rykadan Capital Limited in September 2012. Rykadan Capital Limited was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Wong Chuk Hang, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Rykadan Capital Ltd reported revenue of HK$51.4M in FY2026 versus HK$86.9M in FY2022, a compound −12.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$144M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 15/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$51.4M
Latest YoY
−31.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−16.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.1%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−30.8% (2021) → −266.3% (2026)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −12.3%/yr
FY22 HK$86.9M
FY23 HK$87.7M
FY24 HK$104M
FY25 HK$74.5M
FY26 HK$51.4M
Net income
FY22 −HK$34.9M
FY23 −HK$189M
FY24 −HK$174M
FY25 −HK$281M
FY26 −HK$144M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rykadan Capital Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2288.HK

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 566 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +55% · Above median
Return on assets −12% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth −30% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.20× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.14× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 45
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 11
HEALTH90 · sector 85
DIVIDEND0 · sector 54

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 80016 HK$109.70 HK$88.93 −19%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$35.24 HK$72.16 +105%
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 71,700 VND 109,431 VND +53%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$47.34 HK$68.85 +45%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.20 $1.52 −81%
DLF Limited DLF ₹667.10 ₹170.24 −74%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$13.76 HK$22.92 +67%
Macrotech Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,244 ₹583.42 −53%
Sino Land Company 0083 HK$10.33 HK$6.99 −32%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 5,925 IDR 1,325 IDR −78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Rykadan Capital Ltd (2288) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2400 versus a price of HK$0.1550, about +55% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2288?
Our model-based fair value for Rykadan Capital Ltd is HK$0.2400 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1550.
What is the quality score of 2288?
Rykadan Capital Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Rykadan Capital Ltd (2288)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2400 (as of Aug 29, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0900, optimistic scenario HK$0.3900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Rykadan Capital Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2400, about +55% upside versus a price of HK$0.1550 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0900, optimistic scenario HK$0.3900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Rykadan Capital Ltd (2288)?
Rykadan Capital Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$51.4M (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
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