Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Company (2380) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · SA · Market cap 32.8B SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Share price +21.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 65% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (7.80 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (3.90 SAR to 7.80 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 6.46 SAR – 23.75 SAR · fair‑value band 3.90 SAR – 7.80 SAR · the 14.87 SAR price screens above the 5.22 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
Analysis
Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Company (2380) currently trades at 14.87 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.22 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 64.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Company generated revenue of 38.6B SAR at a net margin of -4.5%. Revenue grew 32.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.7%. Net debt stands at 24.4B SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 3.90 SAR (bear case) to 7.80 SAR (bull case); at 14.87 SAR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 138% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -65%, 2380 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Notify me when 2380 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Company engages in the development, construction, and operation of an integrated refining and petrochemical complex in the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company operates in Refined Products and Petrochemicals segments.
Full company description
Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Company engages in the development, construction, and operation of an integrated refining and petrochemical complex in the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company operates in Refined Products and Petrochemicals segments. It offers polymers, such as high-density polyethylene, polypropylene homo polymer, block copolymer polypropylene, linear low-density polyethylene, ethylene vinyl acetate, ethylene propylene diene rubber, termo plastic olefin, poly methyl methacrylate, and polyamide 6. The company also provides mono ethylene glycol, propylene oxide, methyl methacrylate, phenol, acetone, para xylene, and benzen monomer related products. In addition, it offers fuel oil, diesel, gasoline, kerosene, light naphtha, and liquefied petroleum gas. Its products are used in various end products, such as plastics, detergents, lubricants, resins, coolants, anti-freeze, paint, carpets, rope, clothing, shampoo, auto interiors, epoxy glue, insulation, film, fibers, household appliances, packaging, candles, pipes, and other applications. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Rabigh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. As of October 9, 2025 Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Company is a subsidiary of Saudi Arabian Oil Company.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Company reported revenue of 35.0B SAR in FY2025 versus 45.6B SAR in FY2021, a compound −6.4%/yr. Reported net income was −3.9B SAR in FY2025.
2380 screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,293 | ₹835.66 | -35% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $309.65 | $127.32 | -59% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $283.74 | $135.80 | -52% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $196.16 | $101.04 | -48% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.10 | €4.07 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 81.30 TWD | 16.68 TWD | -79% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹138.96 | ₹417.35 | +200% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $88.59 | $48.90 | -45% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹315.55 | ₹846.81 | +168% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 121,400 KRW | 58,865 KRW | -52% |
Compare Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Energy stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Company (2380) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 2380?
What is the quality score of 2380?
What is the revenue of Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Company (2380)?
What is the net profit margin of 2380?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Company and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.