AustAsia Group (2425) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$1.7B
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price +10.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 29% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$1.13 to HK$4.01). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
43‑month range HK$0.9100 – HK$6.37 · fair‑value band HK$1.13 – HK$4.01 · the HK$1.99 price screens below the HK$2.58 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
AustAsia Group (2425) currently trades at HK$1.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.58, implying the stock looks roughly 29.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, AustAsia Group generated revenue of HK$3.5B at a net margin of -21.7%. Revenue declined 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -21.0%. Net debt stands at HK$2.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.13 (bear case) to HK$4.01 (bull case); at HK$1.99, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 29%, 2425 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$4.15) versus Asset-Based (HK$2.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AustAsia Group Ltd. produces and sells raw milk, beef cattle, and feed products in Mainland China. It operates through three segments: Raw Milk, Beef Cattle, and Ancillary. The company engages in dairy cow breeding and farming; beef cattle breeding and farming; sells beef cattle; and production and sales of feed.
Full company description
AustAsia Group Ltd. produces and sells raw milk, beef cattle, and feed products in Mainland China. It operates through three segments: Raw Milk, Beef Cattle, and Ancillary. The company engages in dairy cow breeding and farming; beef cattle breeding and farming; sells beef cattle; and production and sales of feed. In addition, it trades, wholesales, and distributes milk products under the AustAsia brand name. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AustAsia Group reported revenue of HK$3.5B in FY2025 versus HK$3.8B in FY2021, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$751M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Farm Products · 288 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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