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Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Minieye Technology Co Ltd stock HK$2.42, price HK$1.90, upside +27.7%, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology HK · Based in China

MT Minieye Technology Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 6, 2026

Minieye Technology Co Ltd

2431 · HK
Speculative

The stock costs 22% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value HK$2.42 · Undervalued
Low debt
Revenue last quarter +30% vs. a year ago.
Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +39.5 %/yr in CNY)
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Quality 35/100
Loss-making · -46.9% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$37.10 HK$1.58 Fair Value HK$2.42 Dec 2024 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

22‑month range HK$1.58 – HK$37.10 · fair‑value band HK$1.60 – HK$3.03 · the HK$1.90 price screens below the HK$2.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Minieye Technology Co., Ltd engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of intelligent driving products, intelligent cabins, driverless vehicles and solutions in the People's Republic of China.

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The company offers iPilot solutions that delivers advanced intelligent driving functions, including navigate on autopilot, home-zone parking assist, and automatic parking assist; and iSafety solutions, which enable intelligent driving from L0 to L2, which are designed to be adaptable to mainstream system-on-chip platforms and to realize intelligent driving functions based on electronic control units (ECUs) with low computing power consumption which focuses on improving vehicle safety.

It also provides intelligent cabin solutions comprising driver monitoring systems, occupant monitoring system, multimodal interaction, and other solutions; and vehicle infrastructure cooperative systems for intelligent transportation infrastructure and smart cities.

In addition, the company is involved in sale of spare parts; manufacturing and assembly of products; investment activities.

The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Youjia Innov Tech Co., Ltd. Minieye Technology Co., Ltd was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431) currently trades at HK$1.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.42, implying the stock looks roughly 22% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: HK$1.60 (bear) to HK$3.03 (bull), the price of HK$1.90 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Minieye Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 759M CNY in FY2025 versus 175M CNY in FY2021, a compound +44.3%/yr. Reported net income was −400M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$786M (≈ $100M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.85 · Net margin −52.7% · Return on equity −43.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −19.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −32.4% · Revenue (TTM) 863M CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) +30.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 92% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 28%, 2431 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.60 Fair Value HK$2.42 Bull HK$3.03
Price HK$1.90 · Upside +27.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.60 HK$2.42 HK$3.03 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.60 HK$2.42 HK$3.03 53

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 7
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 13
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 69
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 1
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 0
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 1
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−79.0% (2021) → −54.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 346 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +27.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −19.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −46.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −32.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 30.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.60× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.78× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)70 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 60
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $530.61 $583.67 +10% vs 2431
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $118.84 $130.72 +10% vs 2431
Oracle Corporation ORCL $116.10 $111.97 −4% vs 2431
NetApp, Inc NTAP $169.19 $156.80 −7% vs 2431
Block, Inc XYZ $85.48 $76.43 −11% vs 2431
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $450.46 $288.23 −36% vs 2431
Zscaler, Inc ZS $197.66 $101.45 −49% vs 2431
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $160.38 $42.20 −74% vs 2431
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $216.90 $37.97 −82% vs 2431
Palo Alto Networks, Inc PANW $313.84 $39.54 −87% vs 2431

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Minieye Technology Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Minieye Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2431

Frequently asked questions

Is Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.42 versus a price of HK$1.90, about +28% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2431?
Our model-based fair value for Minieye Technology Co Ltd is HK$2.42 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.90.
What is the quality score of 2431?
Minieye Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.42 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.60, optimistic scenario HK$3.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Minieye Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$2.42, about +28% upside versus a price of HK$1.90 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.60, optimistic scenario HK$3.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
Minieye Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 863M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Minieye Technology Co Ltd it is HK$2.42 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of HK$1.90. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Minieye Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, 2431 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$1.90, fair value HK$2.42, a gap of about +28% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2431?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$2.42). For Minieye Technology Co Ltd the two are HK$0.5250 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Minieye Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Minieye Technology Co Ltd at about HK$786M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.90; our models calculate a fair value of HK$2.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2431?
Our models span a range for Minieye Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.60, base HK$2.42, optimistic HK$3.03 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price HK$1.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
Balance-sheet figures for Minieye Technology Co Ltd (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity −43.6%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2431 from its 52-week high?
Minieye Technology Co Ltd trades at HK$1.90, about 92% below its 52-week high of HK$23.30 and 20% above the low of HK$1.58 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$2.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Minieye Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Minieye Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price HK$1.90, calculated fair value HK$2.42 (+28%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2431 calculated?
We run Minieye Technology Co Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$2.42 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Minieye Technology Co Ltd currently trades 22% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was HK$1.90. Our model-based fair value is HK$2.42, about +28% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Minieye Technology Co Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (HK$1.60 to HK$3.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Minieye Technology Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
The market capitalisation of Minieye Technology Co Ltd is HK$786M (≈ $100M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Minieye Technology Co Ltd is 0.85 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
The net margin of Minieye Technology Co Ltd is −52.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Minieye Technology Co Ltd is −43.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Minieye Technology Co Ltd is −19.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
The operating margin of Minieye Technology Co Ltd is −32.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431)?
Revenue at Minieye Technology Co Ltd is growing +30.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +39.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Minieye Technology Co Ltd (2431) generate?
The free cash flow of Minieye Technology Co Ltd is −573M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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