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Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd HK$0.27, price HK$0.26, upside +4.6%, quality 20 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · HK

ZJ Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd

2503 · HK

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value HK$0.2720 · Fairly valued (+4.6%)
!Quality 20/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −20.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -8.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 2/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.99 HK$0.1710 Fair Value HK$0.2720 Jan 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

33‑month range HK$0.1710 – HK$1.99 · fair‑value band HK$0.1785 – HK$0.3400 · the HK$0.2600 price screens below the HK$0.2720 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Zhongshen Jianye Holding Limited provides construction services in the People's Republic of China.

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Zhongshen Jianye Holding Limited provides construction services in the People's Republic of China. It offers construction engineering works, such as structural and/or engineering works for commercial and residential buildings and community facilities; municipal and public construction works consist of urban and rural public infrastructure construction, including environment improvement works, construction of sewage treatment infrastructure and roadwork; foundation engineering works comprising earthwork and foundation construction and slope protection work; specialized contracting works, such as building renovation and decoration works services; and photovoltaic engineering projects. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503) currently trades at HK$0.2600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2720, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.4%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1785 (bear) to HK$0.3400 (bull), the price of HK$0.2600 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd reported revenue of HK$414M in FY2026 versus HK$1.3B in FY2022, a compound −25.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$35.5M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap HK$292M (≈ $37.2M) · P/S ratio 0.69 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0200 · Net margin −8.6% · Return on equity −7.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Operating margin −10.8% · Revenue (TTM) HK$425M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 5%, 2503 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1785 Fair Value HK$0.2720 Bull HK$0.3400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1800 HK$0.2400 HK$0.3600 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1800 HK$0.2400 HK$0.3600 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 20/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−44.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−33.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.5% (2021) → −8.4% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 802 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +4.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −1.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −8.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −10.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −39.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.07× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)39 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $649.13 $162.77 −75%
Vinci SA DG €111.30 €186.22 +67%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,658 $1,116 −33%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,876 ₹1,994 −49%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 159,718 KRW −56%
Ferrovial N.V FER $55.77 $21.74 −61%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €397.20 €203.86 −49%
EMCOR Group EME $762.21 $525.05 −31%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €93.60 €62.20 −34%
Bouygues SA EN €43.14 €66.31 +54%

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Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.2720 +4%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2503

Frequently asked questions

Is Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2720 versus a price of HK$0.2600, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 2503?
Our model-based fair value for Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd is HK$0.2720 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2600.
What is the quality score of 2503?
Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2720 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1785, optimistic scenario HK$0.3400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2720, about +5% upside versus a price of HK$0.2600 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1785, optimistic scenario HK$0.3400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503)?
Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$425M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd it is HK$0.2720 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2600. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2503 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2600, fair value HK$0.2720, a gap of about +5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2503?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2720). For Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd the two are HK$0.0120 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd worth?
The market values Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd at about HK$292M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2600; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2720 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2503?
Our models span a range for Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1785, base HK$0.2720, optimistic HK$0.3400 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −7.1%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 20/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2503 from its 52-week high?
Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd trades at HK$0.2600, about 67% below its 52-week high of HK$0.7900 and 52% above the low of HK$0.1710 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2720 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2600, calculated fair value HK$0.2720 (+5%), Quality Score 20/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2503 calculated?
We run Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2720, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.2600. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2720, about +5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1785 to HK$0.3400) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503)?
The market capitalisation of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd is HK$292M (≈ $37.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd is 0.69 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503)?
Earnings per share at Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd are HK$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503)?
The net margin of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd is −8.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd is −7.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503)?
The operating margin of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd is −10.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503)?
Revenue at Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd is growing −39.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −33.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503)?
Earnings per share at Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd are growing −94.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd is −HK$154M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd (2503) hold?
Zhongshen Jianye Hldg Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$22.0M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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