Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd HK$52.46, price HK$42.76, upside +22.7%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
27‑month range HK$16.97 – HK$71.35 · fair‑value band HK$30.04 – HK$78.16 · the HK$42.76 price screens below the HK$52.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Cirrus Aircraft Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells piston aircraft and single-engine turbine jets worldwide. The company also provides aviation parts, extended warranty contracts, maintenance operation services, and training services. It serves retail and institutional operators.
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Cirrus Aircraft Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells piston aircraft and single-engine turbine jets worldwide. The company also provides aviation parts, extended warranty contracts, maintenance operation services, and training services. It serves retail and institutional operators. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Duluth, Minnesota. Cirrus Aircraft Limited operates as a subsidiary of CAIGA (Hong Kong) Limited.
Stock analysis
Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507) currently trades at HK$42.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$52.46, implying the stock looks roughly 18.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$62.79 per share, and 16 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$42.76 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$10.05, and 10 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$30.04 (bear) to HK$78.16 (bull), the price of HK$42.76 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Cirrus Aircraft Ltd reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $738M in FY2021, a compound +16.4%/yr. Reported net income was $139M in FY2025, compounding +17.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$15.6B (≈ $2.0B) · P/E ratio 12.4 · P/S ratio 1.27 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 10.3% · Return on equity 18.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.8% · Operating margin 14.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 23%, 2507 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$30.04Fair Value HK$52.46Bull HK$78.16
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.8%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 13%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+19.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.3% a year for the price and +8.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 228 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside+22.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)18.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets8.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)10.8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)14.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth24.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
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Is Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$52.46 versus a price of HK$42.76, about +23% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2507?
Our model-based fair value for Cirrus Aircraft Ltd is HK$52.46 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$42.76.
What is the quality score of 2507?
Cirrus Aircraft Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$52.46 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$30.04, optimistic scenario HK$78.16. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cirrus Aircraft Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$52.46, about +23% upside versus a price of HK$42.76 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$30.04, optimistic scenario HK$78.16. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507)?
Cirrus Aircraft Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Cirrus Aircraft Ltd pay a dividend?
Cirrus Aircraft Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.28% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cirrus Aircraft Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +19.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +16.4 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2507 use?
Our models discount Cirrus Aircraft Ltd at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.57, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cirrus Aircraft Ltd that is +19.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Cirrus Aircraft Ltd grew +16.4 % a year. The price currently implies +19.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (+19.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.73 %: that much free cash flow Cirrus Aircraft Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cirrus Aircraft Ltd it is HK$52.46 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of HK$42.76. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cirrus Aircraft Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, 2507 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$42.76, fair value HK$52.46, a gap of about +23% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2507?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$42.76); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$52.46). For Cirrus Aircraft Ltd the two are HK$9.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cirrus Aircraft Ltd worth?
The market values Cirrus Aircraft Ltd at about HK$15.6B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is HK$42.76; our models calculate a fair value of HK$52.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2507?
Our models span a range for Cirrus Aircraft Ltd: cautious scenario HK$30.04, base HK$52.46, optimistic HK$78.16 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price HK$42.76). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2507?
Cirrus Aircraft Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.4 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$52.46 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 7.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 18.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2507 from its 52-week high?
Cirrus Aircraft Ltd trades at HK$42.76, about 35% below its 52-week high of HK$65.81 and 41% above the low of HK$30.42 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$52.46 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cirrus Aircraft Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cirrus Aircraft Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price HK$42.76, calculated fair value HK$52.46 (+23%), Quality Score 55/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2507 calculated?
We run Cirrus Aircraft Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$52.46, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Cirrus Aircraft Ltd currently trades 18 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$42.76. Our model-based fair value is HK$52.46, about +23% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cirrus Aircraft Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (HK$30.04 to HK$78.16). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507)?
The market capitalisation of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd is HK$15.6B (≈ $2.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd is 1.27 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507)?
The dividend yield of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd is 0.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507)?
The net margin of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd is 10.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd is 18.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd is 11.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507)?
The operating margin of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507)?
Revenue at Cirrus Aircraft Ltd is growing +24.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507)?
Earnings per share at Cirrus Aircraft Ltd are growing +35.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507) hold?
Cirrus Aircraft Ltd holds more cash than debt, $249M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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