EN DE

Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$12.7B

CA Cirrus Aircraft Ltd 2507 · HK
PriceHK$44.58
Fair ValueHK$7.97
Upside-82.1%
Quality48/100
Watch Cirrus Aircraft Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.36% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: High Range HK$4.59 – HK$9.96 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +25.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 82% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$9.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$4.59 to HK$9.96) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

HK$71.35 HK$16.97 Fair Value HK$7.97 Jul 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

25‑month range HK$16.97 – HK$71.35 · fair‑value band HK$4.59 – HK$9.96 · the HK$44.58 price screens above the HK$7.97 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507) currently trades at HK$44.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$7.97, implying the stock looks roughly 82.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cirrus Aircraft Ltd generated revenue of HK$1.4B at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue grew 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$249M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$4.59 (bear case) to HK$9.96 (bull case); at HK$44.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -82%, 2507 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (HK$1.61 to HK$13.76). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$3.47 HK$5.77 HK$9.84 80
Residual Income HK$2.52 HK$3.34 HK$10.03 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$4.64 HK$8.16 HK$12.93 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$3.52 HK$6.13 HK$10.93 38
Owner Earnings HK$5.37 HK$9.71 HK$17.71 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$4.64 HK$8.33 HK$13.57 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$5.63 HK$10.45 HK$16.77 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$5.48 HK$10.13 HK$15.70 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$4.10 HK$7.54 HK$13.26 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.92 HK$9.12 HK$16.05 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$4.82 HK$8.89 HK$15.12 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$2.58 HK$13.76 HK$19.06 54
Lynch FV HK$3.80 HK$5.42 HK$7.05 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$3.80 HK$5.42 HK$7.05 46
EPV HK$4.45 HK$5.07 HK$5.61 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.9200 HK$1.91 HK$3.03 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.9200 HK$1.61 HK$2.01 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$5.98 HK$7.97 HK$9.96 63
P/S Multiple HK$4.84 HK$6.45 HK$8.06 58
P/B Multiple HK$4.84 HK$6.45 HK$8.06 55
EV/EBIT HK$6.87 HK$8.92 HK$10.96 53
EV/EBITDA HK$6.95 HK$9.01 HK$11.08 54
EV/Revenue HK$5.12 HK$7.00 HK$8.87 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.21 HK$1.62 HK$2.42 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$3.47 HK$5.77 HK$9.84 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$4.64 HK$8.16 HK$12.93 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$2.52 HK$3.34 HK$10.03 76
ROIC Compounder HK$5.06 HK$6.66 HK$8.75 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$5.60 HK$8.00 HK$10.40 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$8.89) versus Dividend Discount (HK$1.61). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Notify me when 2507 reaches fair value

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.3%
Net margin 10.3%
Return on equity 16.7%
Free cash flow HK$74.4M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.7 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 11.3%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.1800
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -14.0%
Net cash HK$249M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cirrus Aircraft Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells piston aircraft and single-engine turbine jets worldwide. The company also provides aviation parts, extended warranty contracts, maintenance operation services, and training services. It serves retail and institutional operators.

Full company description

Cirrus Aircraft Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells piston aircraft and single-engine turbine jets worldwide. The company also provides aviation parts, extended warranty contracts, maintenance operation services, and training services. It serves retail and institutional operators. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Duluth, Minnesota. Cirrus Aircraft Limited operates as a subsidiary of CAIGA (Hong Kong) Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cirrus Aircraft Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.4B in FY2025 versus HK$738M in FY2021, a compound +16.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$139M in FY2025, compounding +17.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$1.4B
Latest YoY
+13.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.8%
Revenue +16.4%/yr
FY21 HK$738M
FY22 HK$894M
FY23 HK$1.1B
FY24 HK$1.2B
FY25 HK$1.4B
Net income +17.7%/yr
FY21 HK$72.4M
FY22 HK$88.1M
FY23 HK$91.1M
FY24 HK$121M
FY25 HK$139M

2507 screens 82% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
Share or link this analysis
𝕏 Post WhatsApp LinkedIn Reddit
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cirrus Aircraft Ltd · Fair Value
HK$7.97 −82%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cirrus Aircraft Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2507

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 224 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −82% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Above median
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.83× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.20× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 21.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 27 · sector 49
PAST 67 · sector 38
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 7 · sector 16

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $365.33 $116.71 -68%
RTX Corporation RTX $222.76 $88.37 -60%
The Boeing Company BA $231.20 $49.09 -79%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥33.89 ¥21.90 -35%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 496,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -45%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 1,156,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -50%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 346.75 TRY 130.70 TRY -62%
Saab AB SAABB kr 680.10 kr 212.84 -69%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 330.10 kr 101.07 -69%
HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering Co 009540 371,500 KRW 643,950 KRW +73%

Compare Cirrus Aircraft Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Industrials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Frequently asked questions

Is Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$7.97 versus a price of HK$44.58, about −82% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2507?
Our model-based fair value for Cirrus Aircraft Ltd is HK$7.97 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$44.58.
What is the quality score of 2507?
Cirrus Aircraft Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd (2507)?
Cirrus Aircraft Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2507?
The net profit margin of Cirrus Aircraft Ltd is about 10.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cirrus Aircraft Ltd pay a dividend?
Cirrus Aircraft Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.36% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track Cirrus Aircraft Ltd and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.