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China CSSC Holdings (600150) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 258B CNY

CC China CSSC Holdings 600150 · SHG
Price¥34.90
Fair Value¥18.62
Upside-46.7%
Quality38/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 6.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.99% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: High Range ¥13.97 – ¥22.62 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −6.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥22.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥43.30 ¥14.59 Fair Value ¥18.62 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥14.59 – ¥43.30 · fair‑value band ¥13.97 – ¥22.62 · the ¥34.90 price screens above the ¥18.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

China CSSC Holdings (600150) currently trades at ¥34.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥18.62, implying the stock looks roughly 46.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, China CSSC Holdings generated revenue of 167B CNY at a net margin of 6.8%. Revenue grew 54.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 51.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥13.97 (bear case) to ¥22.62 (bull case); at ¥34.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at -47%, 600150 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥27.05 ¥36.23 ¥55.27 80
Residual Income ¥15.02 ¥15.41 ¥15.44 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥26.87 ¥36.85 ¥52.23 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥27.60 ¥34.06 ¥54.60 38
Owner Earnings ¥36.92 ¥62.96 ¥120.08 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥26.87 ¥34.86 ¥50.91 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥31.07 ¥43.70 ¥67.51 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥31.75 ¥49.49 ¥73.10 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥26.73 ¥37.93 ¥48.79 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥30.18 ¥46.51 ¥78.10 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥30.67 ¥47.90 ¥79.28 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.09 ¥49.46 ¥69.40 54
Lynch FV ¥16.15 ¥23.07 ¥29.99 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥16.15 ¥23.07 ¥29.99 46
EPV ¥25.90 ¥27.37 ¥28.69 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.35 ¥5.13 ¥8.63 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.35 ¥4.20 ¥5.34 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥15.64 ¥20.86 ¥26.07 63
P/S Multiple ¥13.30 ¥17.73 ¥22.16 58
P/B Multiple ¥13.30 ¥17.73 ¥22.16 55
EV/EBIT ¥30.08 ¥34.27 ¥38.45 53
EV/EBITDA ¥32.25 ¥37.16 ¥42.07 54
EV/Revenue ¥25.99 ¥29.62 ¥33.24 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥9.53 ¥12.77 ¥19.06 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥27.05 ¥36.23 ¥55.27 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥26.87 ¥36.85 ¥52.23 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥15.02 ¥15.41 ¥15.44 76
ROIC Compounder ¥27.39 ¥31.09 ¥35.99 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥21.02 ¥30.03 ¥39.04 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥43.70) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.20). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 167B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +54.9%
Net margin 6.8%
Return on equity 13.1%
Free cash flow 4.3B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 20.8
More key figures
Operating margin 11.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.65
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +177%
Net cash 51.5B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China CSSC Holdings Limited engages in the shipbuilding and repair businesses in China. It also offers ship and electromechanical equipment; and provides marine engineering services. China CSSC Holdings Limited was founded in 1998 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China CSSC Holdings reported revenue of ¥152B in FY2025 versus ¥59.7B in FY2021, a compound +26.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥7.8B in FY2025, compounding +146.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
152B CNY
Latest YoY
+93.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+36.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+22.4%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y)
+21.3%
Revenue +26.3%/yr
FY21 ¥59.7B
FY22 ¥59.5B
FY23 ¥74.8B
FY24 ¥78.6B
FY25 ¥152B
Net income +146.1%/yr
FY21 ¥214M
FY22 ¥172M
FY23 ¥3.0B
FY24 ¥3.6B
FY25 ¥7.8B

600150 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China CSSC Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600150

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 227 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −47% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 55% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.10× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.80× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.54× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 47
PAST 52 · sector 39
HEALTH 95 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 20 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $381.22 $116.71 -69%
RTX Corporation RTX $195.93 $88.37 -55%
Airbus SE 1AIR €206.30 €92.85 -55%
The Boeing Company BA $217.11 $48.20 -78%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 466,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -41%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 967,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -41%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 337.50 TRY 130.70 TRY -61%
Saab AB SAABB kr 520.40 kr 212.84 -59%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 277.50 kr 106.93 -61%
HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering Co 009540 354,000 KRW 643,950 KRW +82%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China CSSC Holdings (600150) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥18.62 versus a price of ¥34.90, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600150?
Our model-based fair value for China CSSC Holdings is ¥18.62 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥34.90.
What is the quality score of 600150?
China CSSC Holdings has a Quality Score of 38/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China CSSC Holdings (600150)?
China CSSC Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 167B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600150?
The net profit margin of China CSSC Holdings is about 6.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does China CSSC Holdings pay a dividend?
China CSSC Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.99% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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