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Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg HK$0.24, price HK$0.82, upside -71.0%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · HK

SC Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg

2521 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.2380 · Strongly overvalued (−71.0%)
!Quality 32/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +7.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.8% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/11)
!Narrow moat 31/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 24 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.20 HK$0.2130 Fair Value HK$0.2380 Dec 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

34‑month range HK$0.2130 – HK$1.20 · fair‑value band HK$0.1700 – HK$0.2975 · the HK$0.8200 price screens above the HK$0.2380 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Shenghui Cleanness Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of cleaning and maintenance services in the People's Republic of China.

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Shenghui Cleanness Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of cleaning and maintenance services in the People's Republic of China. The company provides garbage collection and transportation, basic cleaning and maintenance, waste collection and transportation, water tank cleaning, and ancillary services to airports, shopping malls, commercial building, residential buildings and properties, commercial complexes, streets, parks, and other public spaces. It also provides specialized cleaning services, such as stone cleaning and restoration, and high-altitude cleaning using mobile elevated platform, as well as engages in resale of waste recycling activities. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521) currently trades at HK$0.8200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2380, 71.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$0.2900 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the HK$0.8200 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1100, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1700 (bear) to HK$0.2975 (bull), the price of HK$0.8200 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg reported revenue of 677M CNY in FY2026 versus 564M CNY in FY2022, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was 25.8M CNY in FY2026, compounding −10.3%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap HK$1.7B (≈ $219M) · P/E ratio 44.0 · P/S ratio 1.68 · Net margin 3.8% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9% · Operating margin 7.6% · Revenue (TTM) 695M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 141% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −71%, 2521 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1700 Fair Value HK$0.2380 Bull HK$0.2975
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$0.1900 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2000 71
EPV HK$0.1500 HK$0.1600 HK$0.1700 70
ROIC Compounder HK$0.1500 HK$0.1600 HK$0.1700 70
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.1100 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4500 65
Lynch FV HK$0.0700 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1400 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.0700 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1400 57
EPV HK$0.1500 HK$0.1600 HK$0.1700 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.2400 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4100 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.2000 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3300 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.2000 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3300 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.2500 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4000 63
EV/EBITDA HK$0.2700 HK$0.3500 HK$0.4200 64
EV/Revenue HK$0.1900 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3200 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1400 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2700 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.1900 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2000 71
ROIC Compounder HK$0.1500 HK$0.1600 HK$0.1700 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.2000 HK$0.2900 HK$0.3800 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 17
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−6.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 4%

2521 screens overvalued: fair value 71% below the price. Compare with Rollins, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Personal Services · 39 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −71.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6.0% · Below median
Return on assets 3.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −3.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Personal Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 44.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 3.22× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.11× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 32.6× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 51
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 18
PAST (return on equity)24 · sector 45
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 87

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Personal Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Rollins, Inc ROL $30.50 $21.13 −31%
Service Corporation SCI $77.84 $53.86 −31%
H&R Block, Inc HRB $40.34 $91.71 +127%
Frontdoor, Inc FTDR $72.92 $77.02 +6%
Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc BFAM $63.79 $69.81 +9%
CEWE Stiftung & Co CWC €105.60 €155.49 +47%
Lungyen Life Service Corporation 5530 48.85 TWD 15.88 TWD −67%
Carriage Services, Inc CSV $31.94 $25.43 −20%
Musti Group MUSTI €14.80 €22.60 +53%
Propel Funeral Partners Limited PFP A$2.75 A$3.18 +16%

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Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg · Fair Value
HK$0.2380 −71%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2521

Frequently asked questions

Is Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2380 versus a price of HK$0.8200, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2521?
Our model-based fair value for Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg is HK$0.2380 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.8200.
What is the quality score of 2521?
Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2380 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1700, optimistic scenario HK$0.2975. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2380, about −71% upside versus a price of HK$0.8200 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1700, optimistic scenario HK$0.2975. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521)?
Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 695M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg it is HK$0.2380 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.8200. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2521 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.8200, fair value HK$0.2380, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2521?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.8200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2380). For Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg the two are HK$0.5820 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg worth?
The market values Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg at about HK$1.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.8200; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2380 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2521?
Our models span a range for Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg: cautious scenario HK$0.1700, base HK$0.2380, optimistic HK$0.2975 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.8200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2521?
Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 44.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.2380 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.2, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 32.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 6.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2521 from its 52-week high?
Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg trades at HK$0.8200, about 32% below its 52-week high of HK$1.20 and 141% above the low of HK$0.3400 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2380 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Rollins, Inc, Service Corporation, H&R Block, Inc, Frontdoor, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.8200, calculated fair value HK$0.2380 (−71%), Quality Score 32/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2521 calculated?
We run Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2380, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.8200. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2380, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2975). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg

How large is the market capitalisation of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521)?
The market capitalisation of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg is HK$1.7B (≈ $219M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg is 1.68 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521)?
The net margin of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg is 3.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521)?
The operating margin of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521)?
Revenue at Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg is growing −3.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521)?
Earnings per share at Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg are growing −60.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521) generate?
The free cash flow of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg is −32.3M CNY (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521) carry?
The net debt of Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg is 13.6M CNY (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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