Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$1.7B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −11.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 76% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2890). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
32‑month range HK$0.2130 – HK$1.20 · fair‑value band HK$0.1700 – HK$0.2890 · the HK$0.9600 price screens above the HK$0.2295 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg (2521) currently trades at HK$0.9600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2295, implying the stock looks roughly 76.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg generated revenue of HK$695M at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue declined 3.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. Net debt stands at HK$13.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1700 (bear case) to HK$0.2890 (bull case); at HK$0.9600, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 243% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -76%, 2521 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$0.2600) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0900). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenghui Cleanness Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of cleaning and maintenance services in the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
Shenghui Cleanness Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of cleaning and maintenance services in the People's Republic of China. The company provides garbage collection and transportation, basic cleaning and maintenance, waste collection and transportation, water tank cleaning, and ancillary services to airports, shopping malls, commercial building, residential buildings and properties, commercial complexes, streets, parks, and other public spaces. It also provides specialized cleaning services, such as stone cleaning and restoration, and high-altitude cleaning using mobile elevated platform, as well as engages in resale of waste recycling activities. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Shenghui Cleanness Grp Hldg reported revenue of HK$677M in FY2026 versus HK$564M in FY2022, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$25.8M in FY2026, compounding −10.3%/yr from FY2022.
2521 screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Rollins, Inc →
Peer Group
Personal Services · 43 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Personal Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Personal Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rollins, Inc ROL | $36.52 | $21.11 | -42% |
| Service Corporation SCI | $84.40 | $38.27 | -55% |
| Frontdoor, Inc FTDR | $85.51 | $73.81 | -14% |
| H&R Block, Inc HRB | $54.18 | $78.30 | +45% |
| Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc BFAM | $71.52 | $62.41 | -13% |
| Fu Shou Yuan International Group 1448 | HK$2.64 | HK$4.20 | +59% |
| Lungyen Life Service Corporation 5530 | 49.35 TWD | 31.33 TWD | -37% |
| Carriage Services, Inc CSV | $33.69 | $27.81 | -17% |
| Musti Group MUSTI | €15.05 | €14.08 | -6% |
| Uniao Pet Participacoes S.A AUAU3 | R$3.32 | R$1.20 | -64% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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