Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$1.6B

Below-average quality, and screening another 22% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• Weak quality (13/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• A fairly wide model range (HK$5.95 to HK$11.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
• Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (21 months)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range HK$9.61 – HK$154.50 · fair‑value band HK$5.95 – HK$11.91 · the HK$10.25 price screens above the HK$7.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582) currently trades at HK$10.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$7.98, implying the stock looks roughly 22.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$346M. Revenue declined 26.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -34.3%. Net debt stands at HK$565M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$5.95 (bear case) to HK$11.91 (bull case); at HK$10.25, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -22%, 2582 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy Equipment Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells hydrogen energy storage and transport equipment in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy Equipment Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells hydrogen energy storage and transport equipment in the People's Republic of China. The company offers vehicle-mounted high-pressure hydrogen supply systems and related products that include components, such as hydrogen storage tanks, piping and valves, pressure/temperature sensors, and a control system. It also provides equipment for hydrogen refueling stations and related products; and comprehensive services comprising application scenario analysis, preliminary planning suggestions, product/selection comparative analysis, EPC, and maintenance and operation of hydrogen refueling stations, as well as intelligent operation and maintenance services. In addition, the company offers water electrolysis hydrogen production equipment and equipment for hydrogen liquefaction and the storage and transportation of liquid hydrogen. Further, it provides science and technology application services; e-commerce and commercial agency services; and renewable energy consultancy services. Additionally, the company engages in the international wholesale and retail trade of hydrogen energy products and equipment; and the research and experimental development of environmental and clean technologies. The company was formerly known as Zhangjiagang Furui Hydrogen Power Equipment Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy Equipment Co, LTD. in June 2019. Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy Equipment Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Zhangjiagang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy reported revenue of HK$337M in FY2025 versus HK$329M in FY2021, a compound +0.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$373M in FY2025.

2582 screens 22% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.