Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy HK$6.35, price HK$4.03, upside +57.6%, quality 4 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
22‑month range HK$4.03 – HK$154.50 · fair‑value band HK$4.74 – HK$9.47 · the HK$4.03 price screens below the HK$6.35 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy Equipment Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells hydrogen energy storage and transport equipment in the People's Republic of China.
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Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy Equipment Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells hydrogen energy storage and transport equipment in the People's Republic of China. The company offers vehicle-mounted high-pressure hydrogen supply systems and related products that include components, such as hydrogen storage tanks, piping and valves, pressure/temperature sensors, and a control system. It also provides equipment for hydrogen refueling stations and related products; and comprehensive services comprising application scenario analysis, preliminary planning suggestions, product/selection comparative analysis, EPC, and maintenance and operation of hydrogen refueling stations, as well as intelligent operation and maintenance services. In addition, the company offers water electrolysis hydrogen production equipment and equipment for hydrogen liquefaction and the storage and transportation of liquid hydrogen. Further, it provides science and technology application services; e-commerce and commercial agency services; and renewable energy consultancy services. Additionally, the company engages in the international wholesale and retail trade of hydrogen energy products and equipment; and the research and experimental development of environmental and clean technologies. The company was formerly known as Zhangjiagang Furui Hydrogen Power Equipment Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy Equipment Co, LTD. in June 2019. Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy Equipment Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Zhangjiagang, China.
Stock analysis
Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582) currently trades at HK$4.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$6.35, implying the stock looks roughly 36.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$4.74 (bear) to HK$9.47 (bull), the price of HK$4.03 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 4/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy reported revenue of 337M CNY in FY2025 versus 329M CNY in FY2021, a compound +0.6%/yr. Reported net income was −373M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$612M (≈ $78.0M) · P/S ratio 1.79 · Net margin −111% · Return on equity −37.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.0% · Operating margin −79.1% · Revenue (TTM) 341M CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) −4.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 93% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 58%, 2582 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$4.74Fair Value HK$6.35Bull HK$9.47
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−26.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−19.3% (2021) → −72.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 800 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score11 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+57.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−5.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−121.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−79.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.40× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2582
Frequently asked questions
Is Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$6.35 versus a price of HK$4.03, about +58% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2582?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy is HK$6.35 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$4.03.
What is the quality score of 2582?
Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy has a Quality Score of 4/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$6.35 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$4.74, optimistic scenario HK$9.47. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$6.35, about +58% upside versus a price of HK$4.03 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$4.74, optimistic scenario HK$9.47. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582)?
Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 341M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy it is HK$6.35 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of HK$4.03. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 2582 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$4.03, fair value HK$6.35, a gap of about +58% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2582?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$4.03); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$6.35). For Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy the two are HK$2.32 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy worth?
The market values Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy at about HK$612M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is HK$4.03; our models calculate a fair value of HK$6.35 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2582?
Our models span a range for Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy: cautious scenario HK$4.74, base HK$6.35, optimistic HK$9.47 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price HK$4.03). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −37.5%, debt of 0.40 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 4/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2582 from its 52-week high?
Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy trades at HK$4.03, about 93% below its 52-week high of HK$61.20 and at the low of HK$4.03 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$6.35 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price HK$4.03, calculated fair value HK$6.35 (+58%), Quality Score 4/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2582 calculated?
We run Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$6.35, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy currently trades 37 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$4.03. Our model-based fair value is HK$6.35, about +58% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (4/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$4.74). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$4.74 to HK$9.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy
How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582)?
The market capitalisation of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy is HK$612M (≈ $78.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy is 1.79 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582)?
The net margin of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy is −111% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy is −37.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy is −6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582)?
The operating margin of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy is −79.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582)?
Revenue at Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy is growing −4.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582) generate?
The free cash flow of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy is −321M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy (2582) carry?
The net debt of Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy is 565M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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