Beijing Geekplus Tech Co Ltd (2590) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$15.7B

Below-average quality, and screening another 73% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$2.81). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
• The models converge in a tight band (HK$2.72 to HK$2.81), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Price vs Fair Value (13 months)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

13‑month range HK$8.91 – HK$33.38 · fair‑value band HK$2.72 – HK$2.81 · the HK$10.11 price screens above the HK$2.77 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Beijing Geekplus Tech Co Ltd (2590) currently trades at HK$10.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.77, implying the stock looks roughly 72.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Geekplus Tech Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$3.2B at a net margin of -0.3%. Revenue grew 32.0% year over year. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$2.72 (bear case) to HK$2.81 (bull case); at HK$10.11, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -73%, 2590 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$2.38) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.71). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Beijing Geekplus Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the sales, installation, and commissioning of robot products in Mainland China, the United States, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific. The company engages in the production of robots, as well as sales robotics solutions.

Full company description

Beijing Geekplus Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the sales, installation, and commissioning of robot products in Mainland China, the United States, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific. The company engages in the production of robots, as well as sales robotics solutions. It offers solutions, including shelf-to-person, tote-to-person, pallet-to-person, robot arm picking, sorting, and intralogistics solutions. The company also provides warehouse execution system that orchestrates the full lifecycle from order release to picking and replenishment; robot management system that supports large-scale robot scheduling and smart cluster operation strategies; intelligent operations platform a data-driven intelligent operations, building a digital cockpit on demands; and system portal. It serves e-commerce, retail, third party logistics, apparel, grocery, pharma, cold chain, manufacturing, automobile, electronic, and other sectors. Beijing Geekplus Technology Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Shunyi, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Beijing Geekplus Tech Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$3.2B in FY2025 versus HK$1.5B in FY2022, a compound +29.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$10.4M in FY2025.

2590 screens 73% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

Peer Group

Software - Application · 718 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.