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Kerry TJ Logistics Company (2608) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 13.6B TWD

KT Kerry TJ Logistics Company 2608 · TW
Price28.60 TWD
Fair Value41.27 TWD
Upside+44.3%
Quality49/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 7.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range 27.50 TWD – 51.59 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −2.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 44% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (27.50 TWD to 51.59 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

65.87 TWD 28.27 TWD Fair Value 41.27 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 28.27 TWD – 65.87 TWD · fair‑value band 27.50 TWD – 51.59 TWD · the 28.60 TWD price screens below the 41.27 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Kerry TJ Logistics Company (2608) currently trades at 28.60 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 41.27 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 44.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Kerry TJ Logistics Company generated revenue of 12.9B TWD at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at 6.5B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 27.50 TWD (bear case) to 51.59 TWD (bull case); at 28.60 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -70% fair-value upside, at 44%, 2608 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 34.55 TWD 50.41 TWD 72.15 TWD 80
Residual Income 21.92 TWD 23.22 TWD 25.37 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 27.10 TWD 42.75 TWD 59.71 TWD 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 33.47 TWD 50.61 TWD 75.17 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 31.25 TWD 47.37 TWD 70.49 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 27.10 TWD 42.30 TWD 60.92 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 44.57 TWD 73.48 TWD 105.94 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 26.68 TWD 41.54 TWD 56.29 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 28.28 TWD 42.33 TWD 59.60 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 40.07 TWD 63.45 TWD 92.52 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 28.87 TWD 41.82 TWD 56.21 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 13.42 TWD 32.25 TWD 41.64 TWD 54
PEG = 1.0 5.68 TWD 8.11 TWD 10.54 TWD 46
EPV 21.17 TWD 25.43 TWD 29.16 TWD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 31.07 TWD 41.43 TWD 51.79 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 25.15 TWD 33.54 TWD 41.92 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 25.15 TWD 33.54 TWD 41.92 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 37.22 TWD 51.09 TWD 64.97 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 58.65 TWD 79.67 TWD 100.69 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 25.30 TWD 38.03 TWD 50.77 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 13.38 TWD 17.93 TWD 26.76 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 34.55 TWD 50.41 TWD 72.15 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 27.10 TWD 42.75 TWD 59.71 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 21.92 TWD 23.22 TWD 25.37 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 21.17 TWD 25.43 TWD 30.83 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 23.67 TWD 33.82 TWD 43.96 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (42.75 TWD) versus Asset-Based (17.93 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 12.9B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.7%
Net margin 7.3%
Return on equity 8.5%
Free cash flow 1.7B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 14.5
More key figures
Operating margin 12.0%
EPS (TTM) 2.01 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) +11.0%
Net debt 6.5B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 10
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kerry TJ Logistics Company Limited provides automobile cargo transportation, container transportation, warehousing, and refrigeration delivery services in Taiwan. It is also involved in container freight, international trade, car freight, logistics transportation, and professional investment businesses; and manufacturing of transportation tools and parts.

Full company description

Kerry TJ Logistics Company Limited provides automobile cargo transportation, container transportation, warehousing, and refrigeration delivery services in Taiwan. It is also involved in container freight, international trade, car freight, logistics transportation, and professional investment businesses; and manufacturing of transportation tools and parts. The company was incorporated in 1959 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan. Kerry TJ Logistics Company Limited is a subsidiary of Kerry Logistics (Taiwan) Investments Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kerry TJ Logistics Company reported revenue of 12.8B TWD in FY2025 versus 13.0B TWD in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 921M TWD in FY2025, compounding −9.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
12.8B TWD
Latest YoY
+1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Revenue −0.4%/yr
FY21 13.0B TWD
FY22 12.7B TWD
FY23 12.0B TWD
FY24 12.7B TWD
FY25 12.8B TWD
Net income −9.8%/yr
FY21 1.4B TWD
FY22 1.2B TWD
FY23 1.7B TWD
FY24 1.0B TWD
FY25 921M TWD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −0.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.6 pp

of which total revenue +3.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.3 pp

EBIT margin −2.2 pp
Tax rate −0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kerry TJ Logistics Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2608

Peer Group

Trucking · 46 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside +23% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Trucking median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.09× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.05× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 64 · sector 7
FUTURE 9 · sector 10
PAST 34 · sector 13
HEALTH 84 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 20

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Trucking stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc ODFL $225.23 $103.37 -54%
XPO, Inc XPO $219.29 $56.52 -74%
TFI International Inc TFII $155.83 $110.79 -29%
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings KNX $75.19 $8.58 -89%
Saia, Inc SAIA $438.29 $129.64 -70%
Schneider National, Inc SNDR $38.19 $12.37 -68%
RXO, Inc RXO $27.07 $3.48 -87%
ArcBest Corporation ARCB $147.13 $45.89 -69%
Werner Enterprises, Inc WERN $46.04 $8.24 -82%
Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co 600611 ¥4.55 ¥1.20 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kerry TJ Logistics Company (2608) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 41.27 TWD versus a price of 28.60 TWD, about +44% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2608?
Our model-based fair value for Kerry TJ Logistics Company is 41.27 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 28.60 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2608?
Kerry TJ Logistics Company has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kerry TJ Logistics Company (2608)?
Kerry TJ Logistics Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.9B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2608?
The net profit margin of Kerry TJ Logistics Company is about 7.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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