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Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation (2634) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 58.0B TWD

AI Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation 2634 · TW
Price61.70 TWD
Fair Value22.64 TWD
Upside-63.3%
Quality39/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 2.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.21% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: Medium Range 15.94 TWD – 26.58 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 23, 2026, revised from 14.09 TWD to 22.64 TWD (+60.7%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +3.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 63% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (26.58 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

71.50 TWD 24.70 TWD Fair Value 22.64 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 24.70 TWD – 71.50 TWD · fair‑value band 15.94 TWD – 26.58 TWD · the 61.70 TWD price screens above the 22.64 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation (2634) currently trades at 61.70 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 22.64 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 63.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation generated revenue of 35.5B TWD at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue grew 0.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. Net debt stands at 24.3B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 15.94 TWD (bear case) to 26.58 TWD (bull case); at 61.70 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -63%, 2634 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 14.16 TWD 14.05 TWD 12.74 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 6.79 TWD 8.36 TWD 9.74 TWD 72
Growth-Adj P/E 9.16 TWD 13.08 TWD 17.01 TWD 68
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 9.88 TWD 15.27 TWD 22.88 TWD 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 5.29 TWD 11.87 TWD 15.18 TWD 54
PEG = 1.0 1.93 TWD 2.76 TWD 3.59 TWD 46
EPV 6.79 TWD 8.36 TWD 9.74 TWD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 12.26 TWD 16.34 TWD 20.43 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 9.92 TWD 13.23 TWD 16.54 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 9.92 TWD 13.23 TWD 16.54 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 13.21 TWD 18.50 TWD 23.79 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 27.25 TWD 37.22 TWD 47.19 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 8.66 TWD 13.52 TWD 18.37 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9.47 TWD 12.69 TWD 18.94 TWD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 14.16 TWD 14.05 TWD 12.74 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 6.79 TWD 8.36 TWD 9.74 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 9.16 TWD 13.08 TWD 17.01 TWD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (15.27 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (8.36 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 35.5B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.6%
Net margin 2.1%
Return on equity 4.1%
Free cash flow −5.2B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 79.0
More key figures
Operating margin 3.6%
EPS (TTM) 0.7800 TWD
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +10.7%
Net debt 24.3B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation engages in the manufacturing and maintenance of airplanes and its parts and component in Taiwan. It provides military aircrafts and helicopters, commercial aviation, and aero/industrial engines.

Full company description

Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation engages in the manufacturing and maintenance of airplanes and its parts and component in Taiwan. It provides military aircrafts and helicopters, commercial aviation, and aero/industrial engines. It also engages in the manufacturing maintenance and upgradation of drones, military aircrafts, and air fleets; production of military hardware, as well as military aircraft engines; design and OEM production of airframe structure and sub-assembly parts; and design, processing, and OEM production of international commercial aircraft engines and parts and components. In addition, it offers aviation service, research and design application, design, manufacturing, testing, system integration, and after-sales services. Further, the company provides aircraft maintenance services, including flight line operations, intermediate, and depot level maintenance; aircraft instrument and electronics repair; aircraft accessories and harness maintenance; avionics repair/overhaul; avionics manufacturing; and logistic support services. Additionally, it provides flight testing of new aviation platforms, verification of airborne systems, and flight data collection and analysis; live-fire training for air-to-air and surface-to-air weapons, aerial target towing, and remote-controlled target drones; emergency medical and business jet services, atmospheric research and typhoon monitoring, and hangar space for business clients, as well as information services; and engages in railway, space, and energy businesses. It serves military, commercial aviation, and industrial technology service industries. The company was formerly known as Aero Industry Development Center. Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Taichung, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation reported revenue of 35.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 23.7B TWD in FY2021, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was 733M TWD in FY2025, compounding +7.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 45/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
35.5B TWD
Latest YoY
−9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y)
+4.6%
Revenue +10.6%/yr
FY21 23.7B TWD
FY22 30.2B TWD
FY23 39.1B TWD
FY24 39.3B TWD
FY25 35.5B TWD
Net income +7.1%/yr
FY21 558M TWD
FY22 1.6B TWD
FY23 2.2B TWD
FY24 2.2B TWD
FY25 733M TWD

2634 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2634

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −63% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.28× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 79.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.25× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.63× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 23.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 3 · sector 46
PAST 16 · sector 38
HEALTH 86 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 24 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $381.22 $116.71 -69%
RTX Corporation RTX $195.93 $88.37 -55%
Airbus SE 1AIR €213.25 €86.20 -60%
The Boeing Company BA $217.11 $48.20 -78%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥34.31 ¥21.90 -36%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 466,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -41%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 967,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -41%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 337.50 TRY 130.70 TRY -61%
Saab AB SAABB kr 520.40 kr 212.84 -59%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 277.50 kr 106.93 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation (2634) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 22.64 TWD versus a price of 61.70 TWD, about −63% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2634?
Our model-based fair value for Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation is 22.64 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 61.70 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2634?
Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation (2634)?
Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 35.5B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2634?
The net profit margin of Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation is about 2.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation pay a dividend?
Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.21% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 23, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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