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Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp TWD 22.64, price TWD 63.10, upside -64.1%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · TW · ISIN TW0002634003

AI Some data Sep 24, 2026

Aerospace Industrial Development Corp

2634 · TW

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 22.64 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−64%)
!Quality 39/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·1.23% dividend yield
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 3 out of 100
!Weak on past: 16 out of 100
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Price vs Fair Value

73.30 TWD 24.70 TWD Fair Value 22.64 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 24.70 TWD – 73.30 TWD · fair‑value band 16.91 TWD – 28.20 TWD · the 63.10 TWD price screens above the 22.64 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation engages in the manufacturing and maintenance of airplanes and its parts and component in Taiwan. It provides military aircrafts and helicopters, commercial aviation, and aero/industrial engines.

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Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation engages in the manufacturing and maintenance of airplanes and its parts and component in Taiwan. It provides military aircrafts and helicopters, commercial aviation, and aero/industrial engines. It also engages in the manufacturing maintenance and upgradation of drones, military aircrafts, and air fleets; production of military hardware, as well as military aircraft engines; design and OEM production of airframe structure and sub-assembly parts; and design, processing, and OEM production of international commercial aircraft engines and parts and components. In addition, it offers aviation service, research and design application, design, manufacturing, testing, system integration, and after-sales services. Further, the company provides aircraft maintenance services, including flight line operations, intermediate, and depot level maintenance; aircraft instrument and electronics repair; aircraft accessories and harness maintenance; avionics repair/overhaul; avionics manufacturing; and logistic support services. Additionally, it provides flight testing of new aviation platforms, verification of airborne systems, and flight data collection and analysis; live-fire training for air-to-air and surface-to-air weapons, aerial target towing, and remote-controlled target drones; emergency medical and business jet services, atmospheric research and typhoon monitoring, and hangar space for business clients, as well as information services; and engages in railway, space, and energy businesses. It serves military, commercial aviation, and industrial technology service industries. The company was formerly known as Aero Industry Development Center. Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Taichung, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634) currently trades at 63.10 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 22.64 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 178.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 15.26 TWD per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the 63.10 TWD price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 6.36 TWD, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 16.91 TWD (bear) to 28.20 TWD (bull), the price of 63.10 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Aerospace Industrial Development Corp reported revenue of 35.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 23.7B TWD in FY2021, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was 733M TWD in FY2025, compounding +7.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 58.0B TWD (≈ $1.8B) · P/E ratio 80.9 · P/S ratio 1.67 · EPS (TTM) 0.7800 TWD · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 2.1% · Return on equity 4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −64%, 2634 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (2.76 TWD to 37.22 TWD). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 16.91 TWD Fair Value 22.64 TWD Bull 28.20 TWD
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0015 TWD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 10.76 TWD 15.26 TWD 20.78 TWD 77
Residual Income 13.30 TWD 12.89 TWD 10.79 TWD 76
EPV 5.27 TWD 6.36 TWD 7.26 TWD 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 10.76 TWD 15.26 TWD 20.78 TWD 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 5.29 TWD 11.87 TWD 15.18 TWD 65
PEG = 1.0 1.93 TWD 2.76 TWD 3.59 TWD 57
EPV 5.27 TWD 6.36 TWD 7.26 TWD 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 12.26 TWD 16.34 TWD 20.43 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 9.92 TWD 13.23 TWD 16.54 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 9.92 TWD 13.23 TWD 16.54 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 13.21 TWD 18.50 TWD 23.79 TWD 66
EV/EBITDA 27.25 TWD 37.22 TWD 47.19 TWD 67
EV/Revenue 8.66 TWD 13.52 TWD 18.37 TWD 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9.47 TWD 12.69 TWD 18.94 TWD 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 13.30 TWD 12.89 TWD 10.79 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 5.27 TWD 6.36 TWD 7.26 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 9.16 TWD 13.08 TWD 17.01 TWD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 45/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.9%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.8% a year
Revenue growth 15 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+7.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6% vs −9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

2634 screens 179% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 228 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −64% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.28× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 80.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B 3.25× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.63× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 23.3× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)3 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)16 · sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)25 · sector 17

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $319.22 $92.68 −71%
RTX Corporation RTX $190.99 $88.37 −54%
Airbus SE AIR €194.60 €112.75 −42%
Safran SA SAF €332.00 €365.20 +10%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $522.34 $440.05 −16%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $225.36 $52.47 −77%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $343.39 $274.32 −20%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $509.86 $383.06 −25%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,112 $1,224 +10%
L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX $239.89 $263.88 +10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 22.64 TWD versus a price of 63.10 TWD, about −64% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2634?
Our model-based fair value for Aerospace Industrial Development Corp is 22.64 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 63.10 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2634?
Aerospace Industrial Development Corp has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 22.64 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 16.91 TWD, optimistic scenario 28.20 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aerospace Industrial Development Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 22.64 TWD, about −64% upside versus a price of 63.10 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 16.91 TWD, optimistic scenario 28.20 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634)?
Aerospace Industrial Development Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 35.5B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Aerospace Industrial Development Corp pay a dividend?
Aerospace Industrial Development Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aerospace Industrial Development Corp it is 22.64 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 63.10 TWD. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aerospace Industrial Development Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2634 trades above its calculated fair value: price 63.10 TWD, fair value 22.64 TWD, a gap of about −64% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2634?
No. The price is what the market pays today (63.10 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (22.64 TWD). For Aerospace Industrial Development Corp the two are 40.46 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aerospace Industrial Development Corp worth?
The market values Aerospace Industrial Development Corp at about 58.0B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 63.10 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 22.64 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2634?
Our models span a range for Aerospace Industrial Development Corp: cautious scenario 16.91 TWD, base 22.64 TWD, optimistic 28.20 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 63.10 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2634?
Aerospace Industrial Development Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 80.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 22.64 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.3, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 23.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.1%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2634 from its 52-week high?
Aerospace Industrial Development Corp trades at 63.10 TWD, about 14% below its 52-week high of 73.30 TWD and 40% above the low of 45.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 22.64 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aerospace Industrial Development Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aerospace Industrial Development Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 63.10 TWD, calculated fair value 22.64 TWD (−64%), Quality Score 39/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2634 calculated?
We run Aerospace Industrial Development Corp through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 22.64 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Aerospace Industrial Development Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 63.10 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 22.64 TWD, about −64% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aerospace Industrial Development Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (28.20 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634) come from?
Earnings per share at Aerospace Industrial Development Corp grew −1.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.2 %, EBIT margin −4.2 %, tax rate −1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634)?
The market capitalisation of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp is 58.0B TWD (≈ $1.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp is 1.67 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634)?
Earnings per share at Aerospace Industrial Development Corp are 0.7800 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 80.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634)?
The dividend yield of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp is 1.2% (payout 99.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634)?
The net margin of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp is 2.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634)?
The operating margin of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634)?
Revenue at Aerospace Industrial Development Corp is growing +0.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634)?
Earnings per share at Aerospace Industrial Development Corp are growing +10.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634) generate?
The free cash flow of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp is −5.2B TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Aerospace Industrial Development Corp (2634) carry?
The net debt of Aerospace Industrial Development Corp is 24.3B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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