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Crown Confectionery Co (26490K) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · KR · Market cap 95.4B KRW

CC Crown Confectionery Co 26490K · KO
Price7,890 KRW
Fair Value21,383 KRW
Upside+171.0%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.88% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/10)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: High Range 15,786 KRW – 26,783 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +4.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 171% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (15,786 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

32,802 KRW 7,060 KRW Fair Value 21,383 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 7,060 KRW – 32,802 KRW · fair‑value band 15,786 KRW – 26,783 KRW · the 7,890 KRW price screens below the 21,383 KRW fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Crown Confectionery Co (26490K) currently trades at 7,890 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 21,383 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 171.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Crown Confectionery Co generated revenue of 444B KRW at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue declined 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. Net debt stands at 2.6B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 15,786 KRW (bear case) to 26,783 KRW (bull case); at 7,890 KRW, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 171%, 26490K screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 15,690 KRW 21,072 KRW 29,403 KRW 80
Residual Income 14,685 KRW 14,968 KRW 14,676 KRW 76
Rev-Margin DCF 12,665 KRW 18,166 KRW 24,523 KRW 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 15,156 KRW 20,754 KRW 29,964 KRW 38
Owner Earnings 19,512 KRW 26,769 KRW 38,706 KRW 31
5Y Revenue Exit 12,665 KRW 17,919 KRW 24,921 KRW 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 18,839 KRW 28,567 KRW 40,368 KRW 41
5Y P/E Exit 14,719 KRW 21,461 KRW 28,775 KRW 38
10Y Revenue Exit 13,168 KRW 17,945 KRW 23,476 KRW 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 17,302 KRW 25,027 KRW 34,068 KRW 37
10Y P/E Exit 14,757 KRW 20,300 KRW 26,118 KRW 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 6,976 KRW 13,180 KRW 16,398 KRW 54
EPV 9,403 KRW 10,895 KRW 12,200 KRW 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 2,737 KRW 3,729 KRW 4,737 KRW 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2,737 KRW 3,791 KRW 5,036 KRW 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 16,157 KRW 21,542 KRW 26,928 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 13,079 KRW 17,439 KRW 21,798 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 13,079 KRW 17,439 KRW 21,798 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 16,649 KRW 22,048 KRW 27,448 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 24,174 KRW 32,081 KRW 39,988 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 12,012 KRW 16,967 KRW 21,921 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9,467 KRW 12,686 KRW 18,935 KRW 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 15,690 KRW 21,072 KRW 29,403 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 12,665 KRW 18,166 KRW 24,523 KRW 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 14,685 KRW 14,968 KRW 14,676 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 9,403 KRW 10,895 KRW 12,200 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 11,545 KRW 16,493 KRW 21,441 KRW 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (20,754 KRW) versus Dividend Discount (3,729 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 444B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.1%
Net margin 2.4%
Return on equity 4.8%
Free cash flow 17.2B KRW FY2025
Operating margin 3.7%
More key figures
Dividend yield 3.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -31.5%
Net debt 2.6B KRW FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Crown Confectionery Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells confectionery products in Korea. It offers biscuits, cakes, snacks, candies, and chocolates. The company offers its products primarily under the Heim, Couque D'Asse, Sando, Vic Pie, Jolly Pong, Concho/Conchi, Corn-Chip, Shinzzang, and Mychew brands.

Full company description

Crown Confectionery Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells confectionery products in Korea. It offers biscuits, cakes, snacks, candies, and chocolates. The company offers its products primarily under the Heim, Couque D'Asse, Sando, Vic Pie, Jolly Pong, Concho/Conchi, Corn-Chip, Shinzzang, and Mychew brands. The company was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Crown Confectionery Co reported revenue of 445B KRW in FY2025 versus 381B KRW in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was 12.3B KRW in FY2025, compounding −1.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
445B KRW
Latest YoY
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Revenue +3.9%/yr
FY21 381B KRW
FY22 414B KRW
FY23 435B KRW
FY24 438B KRW
FY25 445B KRW
Net income −1.5%/yr
FY21 13.1B KRW
FY22 27.1B KRW
FY23 23.5B KRW
FY24 16.8B KRW
FY25 12.3B KRW

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Crown Confectionery Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/26490K

Peer Group

Confectioners · 75 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +171% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 26
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 19 · sector 26
HEALTH 97 · sector 91
DIVIDEND 78 · sector 57

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN CHF 96,500 CHF 9,874 -90%
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $61.00 $27.68 -55%
The Hershey Company HSY $170.27 $91.25 -46%
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,100 CHF 711.91 -35%
ORION Corp 271560 127,100 KRW 203,315 KRW +60%
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB $39.50 $21.81 -45%
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥18.81 ¥9.83 -48%
Cloetta AB CLAB kr 48.88 kr 59.12 +21%
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹586.20 ₹304.54 -48%
PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI 1,320 IDR 1,286 IDR -3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Crown Confectionery Co (26490K) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 21,383 KRW versus a price of 7,890 KRW, about +171% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 26490K?
Our model-based fair value for Crown Confectionery Co is 21,383 KRW (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 7,890 KRW.
What is the quality score of 26490K?
Crown Confectionery Co has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Crown Confectionery Co (26490K)?
Crown Confectionery Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 444B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 26490K?
The net profit margin of Crown Confectionery Co is about 2.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Crown Confectionery Co pay a dividend?
Crown Confectionery Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.44% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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