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PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk (YUPI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 11.3T IDR

PY PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI · JK
Price1,305 IDR
Fair Value1,286 IDR
Upside-1.5%
Quality79/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 20.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 86/100
Evidence: High Range 953.31 IDR – 1,747 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −3.0% over the past month.

A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (953.31 IDR to 1,747 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (16 months)

2,128 IDR 1,195 IDR Fair Value 1,286 IDR Mar 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

16‑month range 1,195 IDR – 2,128 IDR · fair‑value band 953.31 IDR – 1,747 IDR · the 1,305 IDR price screens above the 1,286 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk (YUPI) currently trades at 1,305 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,286 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 1.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk generated revenue of 3.0T IDR at a net margin of 20.8%. Revenue grew 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 93.3B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 953.31 IDR (bear case) to 1,747 IDR (bull case); at 1,305 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -1%, YUPI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1,049 IDR 1,453 IDR 2,179 IDR 80
Residual Income 428.32 IDR 506.46 IDR 1,949 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 585.20 IDR 783.82 IDR 1,038 IDR 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 999.00 IDR 1,411 IDR 2,212 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 859.68 IDR 1,214 IDR 1,902 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 585.20 IDR 761.55 IDR 1,018 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 938.76 IDR 1,372 IDR 1,949 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 986.52 IDR 1,455 IDR 2,017 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 723.49 IDR 875.40 IDR 1,031 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 953.31 IDR 1,265 IDR 1,598 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 983.01 IDR 1,318 IDR 1,639 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 487.96 IDR 623.06 IDR 709.94 IDR 54
EPV 698.99 IDR 820.31 IDR 928.15 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 2,139 IDR 2,352 IDR 2,680 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2,139 IDR 2,752 IDR 3,624 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1,130 IDR 1,507 IDR 1,884 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 412.31 IDR 549.75 IDR 687.19 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 752.77 IDR 1,004 IDR 1,255 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 1,143 IDR 1,520 IDR 1,897 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 1,053 IDR 1,400 IDR 1,748 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 372.28 IDR 526.89 IDR 681.51 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 91.24 IDR 122.27 IDR 182.49 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1,049 IDR 1,453 IDR 2,179 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 585.20 IDR 783.82 IDR 1,038 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 428.32 IDR 506.46 IDR 1,949 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 700.13 IDR 842.79 IDR 983.79 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 798.07 IDR 1,140 IDR 1,482 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (2,352 IDR) versus Asset-Based (122.27 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.0T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.1%
Net margin 20.8%
Return on equity 26.2%
Free cash flow 822B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 16.1
More key figures
Operating margin 31.0%
EPS (TTM) 73.43 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +5.9%
Net cash 93.3B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 79/100

Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 85
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 90
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 22
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk manufactures and distributes gummy candies in Indonesia. The company provides Gummy, Bolicious, Extruder, Marshmallow, and Lolipop candy products. It is also involved in trading and packaging activities. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Bogor, Indonesia.

Full company description

PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk manufactures and distributes gummy candies in Indonesia. The company provides Gummy, Bolicious, Extruder, Marshmallow, and Lolipop candy products. It is also involved in trading and packaging activities. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Bogor, Indonesia. PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Sweets Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk reported revenue of 2.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 2.3T IDR in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was 613B IDR in FY2025, compounding +11.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.9T IDR
Latest YoY
−3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.7%
Revenue +6.1%/yr
FY21 2.3T IDR
FY22 2.9T IDR
FY23 3.1T IDR
FY24 3.0T IDR
FY25 2.9T IDR
Net income +11.9%/yr
FY21 391B IDR
FY22 404B IDR
FY23 560B IDR
FY24 629B IDR
FY25 613B IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YUPI

Peer Group

Confectioners · 76 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 79 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −2% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Return on assets 15% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.49× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 7.23× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.76× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 31 · sector 26
FUTURE 46 · sector 0
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 75 · sector 91
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN CHF 96,500 CHF 9,874 -90%
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $61.00 $27.68 -55%
The Hershey Company HSY $170.27 $91.25 -46%
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,100 CHF 711.91 -35%
ORION Corp 271560 127,100 KRW 203,315 KRW +60%
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB $39.50 $21.81 -45%
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥18.81 ¥9.83 -48%
Cloetta AB CLAB kr 48.88 kr 59.12 +21%
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹586.20 ₹304.54 -48%
ORION Holdings 001800 25,150 KRW 42,237 KRW +68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk (YUPI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,286 IDR versus a price of 1,305 IDR, about −1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of YUPI?
Our model-based fair value for PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk is 1,286 IDR (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1,305 IDR.
What is the quality score of YUPI?
PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk has a Quality Score of 79/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk (YUPI)?
PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.0T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of YUPI?
The net profit margin of PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk is about 20.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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