Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk IDR 936, price IDR 1,270, upside -26.3%, quality 79 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
18‑month range 1,195 IDR – 2,128 IDR · fair‑value band 733.35 IDR – 1,149 IDR · the 1,270 IDR price screens above the 935.74 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk manufactures and distributes gummy candies in Indonesia. The company provides Gummy, Bolicious, Extruder, Marshmallow, and Lolipop candy products. It is also involved in trading and packaging activities. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Bogor, Indonesia.
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PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk manufactures and distributes gummy candies in Indonesia. The company provides Gummy, Bolicious, Extruder, Marshmallow, and Lolipop candy products. It is also involved in trading and packaging activities. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Bogor, Indonesia. PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Sweets Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI) currently trades at 1,270 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 935.74 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 35.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 1,862 IDR per share, and 6 of the 24 models we run sit above the 1,270 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 122.27 IDR, and 18 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 733.35 IDR (bear) to 1,149 IDR (bull), the price of 1,270 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk reported revenue of 2.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 2.3T IDR in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was 613B IDR in FY2025, compounding +11.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 10.8T IDR (≈ $602M) · P/E ratio 17.3 · P/S ratio 3.61 · EPS (TTM) 73.39 IDR · Net margin 20.9% · Return on equity 26.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 27.5% · Operating margin 31.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −26%, YUPI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 733.35 IDRFair Value 935.74 IDRBull 1,149 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (53.89 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+9.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 26%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.7% a year for the price.
Compare Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 81 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score79 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−26% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)26% · Top 25%
Return on assets15% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)31% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)16.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.49× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)17.3× · Pricier than median
P/B6.88× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)3.58× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA11.3× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 17
FUTURE (revenue growth)46· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)75· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 935.74 IDR versus a price of 1,270 IDR, about −26% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of YUPI?
Our model-based fair value for Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk is 935.74 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,270 IDR.
What is the quality score of YUPI?
Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk has a Quality Score of 79/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 935.74 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 733.35 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,149 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 935.74 IDR, about −26% upside versus a price of 1,270 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 733.35 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,149 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI)?
Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.0T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +9.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +6.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of YUPI use?
Our models discount Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk that is +9.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk grew +6.1 % a year. The price currently implies +9.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (+9.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.63 %: that much free cash flow Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk it is 935.74 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1,270 IDR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, YUPI trades above its calculated fair value: price 1,270 IDR, fair value 935.74 IDR, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of YUPI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,270 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (935.74 IDR). For Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk the two are 334.26 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk worth?
The market values Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk at about 10.8T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1,270 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 935.74 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about YUPI?
Our models span a range for Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk: cautious scenario 733.35 IDR, base 935.74 IDR, optimistic 1,149 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1,270 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of YUPI?
Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 935.74 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.9, P/S 3.6, EV/EBITDA 11.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 26.2%, debt of 0.49 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 79/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is YUPI from its 52-week high?
Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk trades at 1,270 IDR, about 35% below its 52-week high of 1,947 IDR and 6% above the low of 1,195 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 935.74 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1,270 IDR, calculated fair value 935.74 IDR (−26%), Quality Score 79/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of YUPI calculated?
We run Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 935.74 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 1,270 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 935.74 IDR, about −26% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk right now?
A high-quality business (quality 79/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,149 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI)?
The market capitalisation of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk is 10.8T IDR (≈ $602M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk is 3.61 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI)?
Earnings per share at Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk are 73.39 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI)?
The net margin of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk is 20.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk is 26.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk is 27.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI)?
The operating margin of Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk is 31.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI)?
Revenue at Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk is growing +9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI)?
Earnings per share at Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk are growing +5.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI) hold?
Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk holds more cash than debt, 93.3B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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