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Alcom Group Bhd (2674) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · MY · Market cap 82.6M MYR

AG Alcom Group Bhd 2674 · KLSE
Price0.6500 MYR
Fair Value0.5400 MYR
Upside-16.9%
Quality29/100
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Risks

!Trades 17% ABOVE our fair value of 0.5400 MYR
!Expensive Growth
!Thin margins · 4.0% net margin
!High debt · negative free cash flow
Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.0% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: Low Range 0.4200 MYR – 0.6400 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 21, 2026, revised from 0.2700 MYR to 0.5400 MYR (+100.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +3.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 17% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1.07 MYR 0.3353 MYR Fair Value 0.5400 MYR Aug 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.3353 MYR – 1.07 MYR · fair‑value band 0.4200 MYR – 0.6400 MYR · the 0.6500 MYR price screens above the 0.5400 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Alcom Group Bhd (2674) currently trades at 0.6500 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5400 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 16.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Alcom Group Bhd generated revenue of 369M MYR at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue grew 26.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.1%. Net debt stands at 491M MYR. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.4200 MYR (bear case) to 0.6400 MYR (bull case); at 0.6500 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -17%, 2674 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 0.2100 MYR 0.2700 MYR 0.3200 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.2100 MYR 0.2700 MYR 0.3200 MYR 61
NCAV (Graham) 0.7100 MYR 0.9500 MYR 1.42 MYR 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.2100 MYR 0.2700 MYR 0.3200 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.2100 MYR 0.2700 MYR 0.3200 MYR 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.7100 MYR 0.9500 MYR 1.42 MYR 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.9500 MYR) versus Dividend Discount (0.2700 MYR). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 369M MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) +26.4%
Net margin 4.0%
Return on equity 10.1%
Free cash flow −233M MYR FY2026
Operating margin 4.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.3500 MYR
EPS growth (YoY) -18.4%
Net debt 491M MYR FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Alcom Group Berhad, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades aluminum sheets and coils products in Malaysia, the United States, Thailand, India, rest of Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Manufacturing, Property Development, Construction, and Investment Holding.

Full company description

Alcom Group Berhad, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades aluminum sheets and coils products in Malaysia, the United States, Thailand, India, rest of Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Manufacturing, Property Development, Construction, and Investment Holding. The company offers aluminum specialty products, such as truck bed covers, tread plates, flat sheets/coils, semi-rigid container foils, electronic and household material coils, stucco embossed sheets/coils, painted sheets/coils, and cladding sheets and cable foils; aluminum roofing products, including alwave, alrib, alspann and aldek roofing profiles, stucco embossed, elegant polyethylene coated, supreme super, coated coils and cladding sheets, and polyethylene coated and infinite polyvinyl fluoride; and aluminum foil products comprising bare fin stock and coated fin stock. It is also involved in property development activities; constructions; and supplies, fabricates, and installs architectural roofs, facade cladding systems, and steel structures. The company was formerly known as Aluminium Company of Malaysia Berhad and changed its name to Alcom Group Berhad in August 2018. Alcom Group Berhad was incorporated in 1960 and is based in Klang, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Alcom Group Bhd reported revenue of 552M MYR in FY2026 versus 599M MYR in FY2022, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −35.4M MYR in FY2026.

Growth Quality 41/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
552M MYR
Latest YoY
−10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.8%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Revenue −2.0%/yr
FY22 599M MYR
FY23 976M MYR
FY24 670M MYR
FY25 620M MYR
FY26 552M MYR
Net income
FY22 32.5M MYR
FY23 77.5M MYR
FY24 16.7M MYR
FY25 −3.9M MYR
FY26 −35.4M MYR

2674 screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alcom Group Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2674

Peer Group

Aluminum · 80 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −17% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.69× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.11× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE11 · sector 21
FUTURE100 · sector 24
PAST40 · sector 33
HEALTH16 · sector 92
DIVIDEND95 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 ¥21.34 ¥23.44 +10%
China Hongqiao Group 1378 HK$24.44 HK$45.58 +86%
Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO ₹1,028 ₹997.35 -3%
Aluminum Corporation 601600 ¥9.45 ¥16.30 +72%
Norsk Hydro ASA NHY kr 90.02 kr 58.10 -35%
Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 7.90 MYR 3.88 MYR -51%
Alcoa Corporation AAI A$73.19 A$49.53 -32%
Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 ¥27.44 ¥29.68 +8%
Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 ¥27.24 ¥30.28 +11%
Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 ¥14.27 ¥21.86 +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alcom Group Bhd (2674) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5400 MYR versus a price of 0.6500 MYR, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2674?
Our model-based fair value for Alcom Group Bhd is 0.5400 MYR (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.6500 MYR.
What is the quality score of 2674?
Alcom Group Bhd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Alcom Group Bhd (2674)?
Alcom Group Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 369M MYR (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2674?
The net profit margin of Alcom Group Bhd is about 4.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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