Yunnan Aluminium Co (000807) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 87.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +19.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 11% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (¥22.26 to ¥50.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from ¥22.26 (bear) to ¥50.11 (bull), base ¥29.68. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 74/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.22 – ¥36.47 · fair‑value band ¥22.26 – ¥50.11 · the ¥26.66 price screens below the ¥29.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Yunnan Aluminium Co (000807) currently trades at ¥26.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥29.68, implying the stock looks roughly 11.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Yunnan Aluminium Co generated revenue of 62.0B CNY at a net margin of 14.0%. Revenue grew 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥22.26 (bear case) to ¥50.11 (bull case); at ¥26.66, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at 11%, 000807 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥54.04) versus Asset-Based (¥6.19). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. produces and sells aluminum primarily in China. It operates through three segments: Alumina, Primary Aluminum, and Other.
Full company description
Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. produces and sells aluminum primarily in China. It operates through three segments: Alumina, Primary Aluminum, and Other. The company offers cast aluminum alloy ingots; wrought aluminum and aluminum alloy round ingots; wrought aluminum and aluminum alloy flat castings; aluminum home furnishing; aluminum and aluminum alloy welding materials; aluminum alloy welding wires; and electrician round aluminum rod. It also provides aluminum ingots/refined aluminum ingots for remelting, metallurgical grade alumina, and carbon for aluminum. The company's products are used in electronics, aerospace, transportation, optical, chemical metallurgical, automobile lightweighting, rail transportation, shipbuilding, automotive, architectural decoration, 3C electronics, packaging and printing, power, communications, and machinery industries, as well as in the production of corundum, ceramics, and refractory materials. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Kunming, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Yunnan Aluminium Co reported revenue of ¥59.9B in FY2025 versus ¥41.8B in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥6.1B in FY2025, compounding +16.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Aluminum · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 | ¥18.54 | ¥26.70 | +44% |
| China Hongqiao Group 1378 | HK$24.54 | HK$45.53 | +86% |
| Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO | ₹955.80 | ₹1,026 | +7% |
| Aluminum Corporation 601600 | ¥8.11 | ¥12.58 | +55% |
| Norsk Hydro ASA NHY | kr 84.96 | kr 58.10 | -32% |
| Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 | 8.02 MYR | 3.88 MYR | -52% |
| Alcoa Corporation AAI | A$70.60 | A$49.53 | -30% |
| Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 | ¥25.51 | ¥30.28 | +19% |
| Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 | ¥11.99 | ¥21.86 | +82% |
| Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co 600219 | ¥4.72 | ¥7.01 | +49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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