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Press Metal Aluminium Holdings (8869) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · MY · Market cap 64.7B MYR

PM Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 · KLSE
Price8.02 MYR
Fair Value3.88 MYR
Upside-51.6%
Quality69/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.10% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Wide moat 71/100
Evidence: Medium Range 2.86 MYR – 6.01 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +4.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (6.01 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (2.86 MYR to 6.01 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

9.25 MYR 3.76 MYR Fair Value 3.88 MYR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 3.76 MYR – 9.25 MYR · fair‑value band 2.86 MYR – 6.01 MYR · the 8.02 MYR price screens above the 3.88 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Press Metal Aluminium Holdings (8869) currently trades at 8.02 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.88 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 51.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Press Metal Aluminium Holdings generated revenue of 16.4B MYR at a net margin of 13.8%. Revenue grew 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.5%. Net debt stands at 1.7B MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.86 MYR (bear case) to 6.01 MYR (bull case); at 8.02 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at -52%, 8869 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 3.05 MYR 5.54 MYR 9.86 MYR 80
Residual Income 1.68 MYR 2.25 MYR 10.65 MYR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 2.89 MYR 5.19 MYR 8.24 MYR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 3.09 MYR 5.87 MYR 10.85 MYR 38
Owner Earnings 1.97 MYR 3.77 MYR 6.99 MYR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 2.89 MYR 5.27 MYR 8.55 MYR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 3.47 MYR 6.50 MYR 10.38 MYR 41
5Y P/E Exit 3.37 MYR 6.29 MYR 9.70 MYR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 2.83 MYR 5.14 MYR 8.80 MYR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 3.32 MYR 6.06 MYR 10.37 MYR 37
10Y P/E Exit 3.26 MYR 5.90 MYR 9.79 MYR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.73 MYR 8.72 MYR 12.03 MYR 54
Lynch FV 2.36 MYR 3.37 MYR 4.39 MYR 50
PEG = 1.0 2.36 MYR 3.37 MYR 4.39 MYR 46
EPV 2.52 MYR 2.95 MYR 3.33 MYR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.7100 MYR 1.48 MYR 2.35 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.7100 MYR 1.25 MYR 1.55 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 3.82 MYR 5.10 MYR 6.37 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 3.25 MYR 4.33 MYR 5.42 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 2.56 MYR 3.41 MYR 4.26 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 4.18 MYR 5.60 MYR 7.01 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 3.92 MYR 5.25 MYR 6.58 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 2.80 MYR 4.03 MYR 5.25 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.5700 MYR 0.7600 MYR 1.14 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 3.05 MYR 5.54 MYR 9.86 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 2.89 MYR 5.19 MYR 8.24 MYR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.68 MYR 2.25 MYR 10.65 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 2.92 MYR 3.98 MYR 5.37 MYR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 3.51 MYR 5.01 MYR 6.51 MYR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (5.87 MYR) versus Asset-Based (0.7600 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 16.4B MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.2%
Net margin 13.8%
Return on equity 24.5%
Free cash flow 1.9B MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 33.2
More key figures
Operating margin 21.1%
EPS (TTM) 0.2700 MYR
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +35.2%
Net debt 1.7B MYR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and trading of aluminum, and smelting and extrusion products in Malaysia, Asia, Europe, Oceania, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Smelting and Extrusion, Trading, and Refinery segments.

Full company description

Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and trading of aluminum, and smelting and extrusion products in Malaysia, Asia, Europe, Oceania, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Smelting and Extrusion, Trading, and Refinery segments. Its products primarily include aluminum ingots and billets, slabs, wire rods, and primary foundry alloys. The company also offers aluminum extrusions in various finishes, which are used in fabricated products, such as windows, doors, curtain wall claddings for high-rise buildings and apartments, louvres, balustrades, pool fencing, solar panel frames, wardrobes, ladders, and others. In addition, it is involved in contracting and fabrication of aluminum and stainless-steel products; refining of alumina; bronze colour finish, fluorocarbon, mill finish, natural anodized finish, polishing, powder coating, and wood grain. Further, the company engages in the marketing and trading of photovoltaic generation systems and the suppling of electricity. Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Shah Alam, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Press Metal Aluminium Holdings reported revenue of 16.2B MYR in FY2025 versus 11.0B MYR in FY2021, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was 2.1B MYR in FY2025, compounding +20.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
16.2B MYR
Latest YoY
+8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.7%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+18.3%
Revenue +10.2%/yr
FY21 11.0B MYR
FY22 15.7B MYR
FY23 13.8B MYR
FY24 14.9B MYR
FY25 16.2B MYR
Net income +20.3%/yr
FY21 1.0B MYR
FY22 1.4B MYR
FY23 1.2B MYR
FY24 1.8B MYR
FY25 2.1B MYR

8869 screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8869

Peer Group

Aluminum · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −52% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.33× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.69× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.96× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 8.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.32× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 26 · sector 25
PAST 98 · sector 32
HEALTH 83 · sector 91
DIVIDEND 22 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 ¥18.54 ¥26.70 +44%
China Hongqiao Group 1378 HK$24.54 HK$45.53 +86%
Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO ₹955.80 ₹1,026 +7%
Aluminum Corporation 601600 ¥8.11 ¥12.58 +55%
Norsk Hydro ASA NHY kr 84.96 kr 58.10 -32%
Alcoa Corporation AAI A$70.60 A$49.53 -30%
Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 ¥25.12 ¥29.68 +18%
Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 ¥25.51 ¥30.28 +19%
Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 ¥11.99 ¥21.86 +82%
Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co 600219 ¥4.72 ¥7.01 +49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Press Metal Aluminium Holdings (8869) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.88 MYR versus a price of 8.02 MYR, about −52% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8869?
Our model-based fair value for Press Metal Aluminium Holdings is 3.88 MYR (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 8.02 MYR.
What is the quality score of 8869?
Press Metal Aluminium Holdings has a Quality Score of 69/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Press Metal Aluminium Holdings (8869)?
Press Metal Aluminium Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 16.4B MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8869?
The net profit margin of Press Metal Aluminium Holdings is about 13.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Press Metal Aluminium Holdings pay a dividend?
Press Metal Aluminium Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.96% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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