Press Metal Aluminium Holdings (8869) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · MY · Market cap 64.7B MYR
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +4.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (6.01 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (2.86 MYR to 6.01 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3.76 MYR – 9.25 MYR · fair‑value band 2.86 MYR – 6.01 MYR · the 8.02 MYR price screens above the 3.88 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Press Metal Aluminium Holdings (8869) currently trades at 8.02 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.88 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 51.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Press Metal Aluminium Holdings generated revenue of 16.4B MYR at a net margin of 13.8%. Revenue grew 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.5%. Net debt stands at 1.7B MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.86 MYR (bear case) to 6.01 MYR (bull case); at 8.02 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at -52%, 8869 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (5.87 MYR) versus Asset-Based (0.7600 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and trading of aluminum, and smelting and extrusion products in Malaysia, Asia, Europe, Oceania, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Smelting and Extrusion, Trading, and Refinery segments.
Full company description
Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and trading of aluminum, and smelting and extrusion products in Malaysia, Asia, Europe, Oceania, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Smelting and Extrusion, Trading, and Refinery segments. Its products primarily include aluminum ingots and billets, slabs, wire rods, and primary foundry alloys. The company also offers aluminum extrusions in various finishes, which are used in fabricated products, such as windows, doors, curtain wall claddings for high-rise buildings and apartments, louvres, balustrades, pool fencing, solar panel frames, wardrobes, ladders, and others. In addition, it is involved in contracting and fabrication of aluminum and stainless-steel products; refining of alumina; bronze colour finish, fluorocarbon, mill finish, natural anodized finish, polishing, powder coating, and wood grain. Further, the company engages in the marketing and trading of photovoltaic generation systems and the suppling of electricity. Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Shah Alam, Malaysia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Press Metal Aluminium Holdings reported revenue of 16.2B MYR in FY2025 versus 11.0B MYR in FY2021, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was 2.1B MYR in FY2025, compounding +20.3%/yr from FY2021.
8869 screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding →
Peer Group
Aluminum · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 | ¥18.54 | ¥26.70 | +44% |
| China Hongqiao Group 1378 | HK$24.54 | HK$45.53 | +86% |
| Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO | ₹955.80 | ₹1,026 | +7% |
| Aluminum Corporation 601600 | ¥8.11 | ¥12.58 | +55% |
| Norsk Hydro ASA NHY | kr 84.96 | kr 58.10 | -32% |
| Alcoa Corporation AAI | A$70.60 | A$49.53 | -30% |
| Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 | ¥25.12 | ¥29.68 | +18% |
| Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 | ¥25.51 | ¥30.28 | +19% |
| Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 | ¥11.99 | ¥21.86 | +82% |
| Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co 600219 | ¥4.72 | ¥7.01 | +49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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