Hotel Holiday Garden (2702) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hotel Holiday Garden stock TWD 14.58, price TWD 11.50, upside +26.8%, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.15 TWD – 32.05 TWD · fair‑value band 11.33 TWD – 21.19 TWD · the 11.50 TWD price screens below the 14.58 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Hotel Holiday Garden operates lodging and catering businesses in Taiwan and the United States. It engages in hotel, restaurant, and food and beverage retail businesses. The company was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Hotel Holiday Garden (2702) currently trades at 11.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 14.58 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 21% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 18.91 TWD per share, and 7 of the 13 models we run sit above the 11.50 TWD price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 7.69 TWD, and 6 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 11.33 TWD (bear) to 21.19 TWD (bull), the price of 11.50 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Hotel Holiday Garden reported revenue of 1.4B TWD in FY2025 versus 821M TWD in FY2021, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was −54.3M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.8B TWD (≈ $54.9M) Micro · P/E ratio 14.2 · P/S ratio 1.25 · EPS (TTM) 0.8100 TWD · Net margin 8.8% · Return on equity 4.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 11.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 27%, 2702 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear11.33 TWDFair Value 14.58 TWDBull21.19 TWD
Price 11.50 TWD · Upside +26.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.6946 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.0% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−47.6% (2020) → 7.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.6% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 158 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+26.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.0% · Above median
Return on assets−0.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)8.8% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)11.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)7.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.63× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)14.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.56× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)1.25× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)19.8× · Pricier than median
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Is Hotel Holiday Garden (2702) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 14.58 TWD versus a price of 11.50 TWD, about +27% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2702?
Our model-based fair value for Hotel Holiday Garden is 14.58 TWD (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 11.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2702?
Hotel Holiday Garden has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hotel Holiday Garden (2702)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 14.58 TWD (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 11.33 TWD, optimistic scenario 21.19 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hotel Holiday Garden stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 14.58 TWD, about +27% upside versus a price of 11.50 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 11.33 TWD, optimistic scenario 21.19 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hotel Holiday Garden (2702)?
Hotel Holiday Garden reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hotel Holiday Garden (2702)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hotel Holiday Garden would have to grow free cash flow by +20.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.7 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2702 use?
Our models discount Hotel Holiday Garden at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.10, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hotel Holiday Garden that is +20.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hotel Holiday Garden (2702) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hotel Holiday Garden grew +13.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +20.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hotel Holiday Garden (2702) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hotel Holiday Garden (+20.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hotel Holiday Garden (2702)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.04 %: that much free cash flow Hotel Holiday Garden produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hotel Holiday Garden (2702)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hotel Holiday Garden it is 14.58 TWD per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 11.50 TWD. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Hotel Holiday Garden stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 2702 trades below its calculated fair value: price 11.50 TWD, fair value 14.58 TWD, a gap of about +27% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2702?
No. The price is what the market pays today (11.50 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (14.58 TWD). For Hotel Holiday Garden the two are 3.08 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hotel Holiday Garden worth?
The market values Hotel Holiday Garden at about 1.8B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 11.50 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 14.58 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2702?
Our models span a range for Hotel Holiday Garden: cautious scenario 11.33 TWD, base 14.58 TWD, optimistic 21.19 TWD per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 11.50 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2702?
Hotel Holiday Garden trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.2 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 14.58 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 7.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hotel Holiday Garden (2702)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hotel Holiday Garden (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 4.0%, debt of 0.63 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2702 from its 52-week high?
Hotel Holiday Garden trades at 11.50 TWD, about 35% below its 52-week high of 17.80 TWD and 3% above the low of 11.20 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 14.58 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hotel Holiday Garden?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, H World Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hotel Holiday Garden stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 11.50 TWD, calculated fair value 14.58 TWD (+27%), Quality Score 49/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2702 calculated?
We run Hotel Holiday Garden through 14 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 14.58 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Hotel Holiday Garden currently trades 21% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hotel Holiday Garden (2702)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 11.50 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 14.58 TWD, about +27% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hotel Holiday Garden right now?
A fairly wide model range (11.33 TWD to 21.19 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Hotel Holiday Garden
How large is the market capitalisation of Hotel Holiday Garden (2702)?
The market capitalisation of Hotel Holiday Garden is 1.8B TWD (≈ $54.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hotel Holiday Garden (2702)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hotel Holiday Garden is 1.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hotel Holiday Garden (2702)?
Earnings per share at Hotel Holiday Garden are 0.8100 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hotel Holiday Garden (2702)?
The net margin of Hotel Holiday Garden is 8.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hotel Holiday Garden (2702)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hotel Holiday Garden is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hotel Holiday Garden (2702)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hotel Holiday Garden is 2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hotel Holiday Garden (2702)?
The operating margin of Hotel Holiday Garden is 11.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hotel Holiday Garden (2702)?
Revenue at Hotel Holiday Garden is growing +7.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hotel Holiday Garden (2702)?
Earnings per share at Hotel Holiday Garden are growing −9.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Hotel Holiday Garden (2702) carry?
The net debt of Hotel Holiday Garden is 1.9B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 20.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 7, 2026