Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $4.5B
Atour Lifestyle Holdings
ATAT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $47.06 to $37.58 (−20.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +10.9% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($28.19 to $103.18). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
45‑month range $10.60 – $42.21 · fair‑value band $28.19 – $103.18 · the $35.31 price screens below the $37.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT) currently trades at $35.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.58, implying the stock looks roughly 6.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Atour Lifestyle Holdings generated revenue of $10.7B at a net margin of 17.2%. Revenue grew 47.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 52.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $28.19 (bear case) to $103.18 (bull case); at $35.31, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at 6%, ATAT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($675.54) versus Asset-Based ($21.61). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops lifestyle brands in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hospitality and retail businesses; and provides hotel management services, including day-to-day management services for the hotels on behalf of franchisees, as well as sells hotel supplies and other products.
Full company description
Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops lifestyle brands in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hospitality and retail businesses; and provides hotel management services, including day-to-day management services for the hotels on behalf of franchisees, as well as sells hotel supplies and other products. It also operates travel agency. Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Atour Lifestyle Holdings reported revenue of $9.8B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound +46.1%/yr. Reported net income was $1.6B in FY2025, compounding +82.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited Sponsored ADR (ATAT) a Solid Growth Stock? 3 Reasons to Think "Yes"
- ATAT or ABNB: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
- Wall Street Analysts See a 43.06% Upside in Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited Sponsored ADR (ATAT): Can the Stock Really Move This High?
- Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Life Time Group, Atour Lifestyle, Lindblad Expeditions and The Marcus
Peer Group
Lodging · 170 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $369.05 | $135.64 | -63% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $328.48 | $123.67 | -62% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $159.87 | $85.18 | -47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $191.00 | $47.69 | -75% |
| H World Group HTHT | $42.67 | $47.55 | +11% |
| Accor SA AC | €47.25 | €39.26 | -17% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹743.20 | ₹260.68 | -65% |
| Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH | $78.54 | $24.02 | -69% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 113,500 KRW | 36,890 KRW | -67% |
| Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 | 16.00 SAR | 11.64 SAR | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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