Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd HK$0.04, price HK$0.03, upside +12.9%, quality 14 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0260 – HK$3.57 · fair‑value band HK$0.0356 – HK$0.0496 · the HK$0.0340 price screens below the HK$0.0384 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Zhongliang Holdings Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development and leasing business in Mainland China. It also provides management consulting services. Zhongliang Holdings Group Company Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772) currently trades at HK$0.0340, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0384, implying the stock looks roughly 11.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.0356 (bear) to HK$0.0496 (bull), the price of HK$0.0340 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 14/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 12.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 76.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound −36.6%/yr. Reported net income was −4.1B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$145M (≈ $18.5M) · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.1800 · Net margin −33.2% · Return on equity −37.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1% · Operating margin −6.2% · Revenue (TTM) HK$12.3B · Revenue growth (YoY) −57.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 13%, 2772 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.0356Fair Value HK$0.0384Bull HK$0.0496
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−69.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−32.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.3% (2020) → −24.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 575 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2772
Frequently asked questions
Is Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0384 versus a price of HK$0.0340, about +13% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2772?
Our model-based fair value for Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd is HK$0.0384 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0340.
What is the quality score of 2772?
Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 14/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0384 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0356, optimistic scenario HK$0.0496. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0384, about +13% upside versus a price of HK$0.0340 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0356, optimistic scenario HK$0.0496. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772)?
Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$12.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd it is HK$0.0384 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0340. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2772 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0340, fair value HK$0.0384, a gap of about +13% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2772?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0340); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0384). For Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd the two are HK$0.0044 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd at about HK$145M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0340; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0384 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2772?
Our models span a range for Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0356, base HK$0.0384, optimistic HK$0.0496 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.0340). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −37.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 14/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2772 from its 52-week high?
Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd trades at HK$0.0340, about 57% below its 52-week high of HK$0.0790 and 31% above the low of HK$0.0260 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0384 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.0340, calculated fair value HK$0.0384 (+13%), Quality Score 14/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2772 calculated?
We run Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0384, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd currently trades 11 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.0340. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0384, about +13% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0356). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772)?
The market capitalisation of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd is HK$145M (≈ $18.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772)?
Earnings per share at Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd are HK$−0.1800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772)?
The net margin of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd is −33.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd is −37.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772)?
The operating margin of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd is −6.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772)?
Revenue at Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd is growing −57.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −32.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772)?
Earnings per share at Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd are growing −95.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd is −HK$2.6B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd (2772) carry?
The net debt of Zhongliang Holdings Group Co Ltd is HK$14.4B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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