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Lotte Wellfood Co (280360) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · KR · Market cap 901B KRW

LW Lotte Wellfood Co 280360 · KO
Price116,900 KRW
Fair Value138,997 KRW
Upside+18.9%
Quality50/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
3.24% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: Medium Range 104,248 KRW – 173,746 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +10.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 19% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from 104,248 KRW (bear) to 173,746 KRW (bull), base 138,997 KRW. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 50/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

182,558 KRW 85,715 KRW Fair Value 138,997 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 85,715 KRW – 182,558 KRW · fair‑value band 104,248 KRW – 173,746 KRW · the 116,900 KRW price screens below the 138,997 KRW fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Lotte Wellfood Co (280360) currently trades at 116,900 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 138,997 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 18.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Lotte Wellfood Co generated revenue of 4.3T KRW at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue grew 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.9%. Net debt stands at 1.0T KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 104,248 KRW (bear case) to 173,746 KRW (bull case); at 116,900 KRW, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 19%, 280360 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 183,872 KRW 180,517 KRW 158,607 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 49,513 KRW 69,187 KRW 86,675 KRW 72
Growth-Adj P/E 122,635 KRW 175,193 KRW 227,751 KRW 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 55,599 KRW 302,515 KRW 419,494 KRW 54
Lynch FV 83,962 KRW 119,946 KRW 155,930 KRW 50
PEG = 1.0 83,962 KRW 119,946 KRW 155,930 KRW 46
EPV 49,513 KRW 69,187 KRW 86,675 KRW 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 128,777 KRW 171,702 KRW 214,628 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 104,248 KRW 138,997 KRW 173,746 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 104,248 KRW 138,997 KRW 173,746 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 95,965 KRW 148,611 KRW 201,257 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 292,562 KRW 410,740 KRW 528,918 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 50,752 KRW 99,062 KRW 147,373 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 123,904 KRW 166,031 KRW 247,808 KRW 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 183,872 KRW 180,517 KRW 158,607 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 49,513 KRW 69,187 KRW 86,675 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 122,635 KRW 175,193 KRW 227,751 KRW 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (175,193 KRW) versus Economic Profit (69,187 KRW). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.3T KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.4%
Net margin 1.5%
Return on equity 2.9%
Free cash flow −120B KRW FY2025
Operating margin 3.5%
More key figures
Dividend yield 3.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -27.0%
Net debt 1.0T KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Lotte Wellfood Co.,Ltd engages in the manufacture and sale of various confectionery products in South Korea and internationally. Its products include chewing gums, chocolates, biscuits, ice-creams, cakes, snacks, candies, bread, frozen cooked foods, HMR, ham/sausages, dairy products, baby food, edible fats and oils, and food ingredients.

Full company description

Lotte Wellfood Co.,Ltd engages in the manufacture and sale of various confectionery products in South Korea and internationally. Its products include chewing gums, chocolates, biscuits, ice-creams, cakes, snacks, candies, bread, frozen cooked foods, HMR, ham/sausages, dairy products, baby food, edible fats and oils, and food ingredients. The company was formerly known as Lotte Confectionery Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Lotte Wellfood Co.,Ltd in April 2023. Lotte Wellfood Co.,Ltd was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lotte Wellfood Co reported revenue of 4.2T KRW in FY2025 versus 2.1T KRW in FY2021, a compound +18.4%/yr. Reported net income was 72.3B KRW in FY2025, compounding +20.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.2T KRW
Latest YoY
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+15.2%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+34.0%
Revenue +18.4%/yr
FY21 2.1T KRW
FY22 3.2T KRW
FY23 4.1T KRW
FY24 4.0T KRW
FY25 4.2T KRW
Net income +20.0%/yr
FY21 34.9B KRW
FY22 47.0B KRW
FY23 70.5B KRW
FY24 84.6B KRW
FY25 72.3B KRW

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lotte Wellfood Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/280360

Peer Group

Confectioners · 76 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside +19% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.46× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 1.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 59 · sector 26
FUTURE 27 · sector 0
PAST 11 · sector 26
HEALTH 77 · sector 91
DIVIDEND 65 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN CHF 96,500 CHF 9,874 -90%
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $61.00 $27.68 -55%
The Hershey Company HSY $170.27 $91.25 -46%
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,100 CHF 711.91 -35%
ORION Corp 271560 127,100 KRW 203,315 KRW +60%
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB $39.50 $21.81 -45%
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥18.81 ¥9.83 -48%
Cloetta AB CLAB kr 48.88 kr 59.12 +21%
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹586.20 ₹304.54 -48%
PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI 1,320 IDR 1,286 IDR -3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lotte Wellfood Co (280360) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 138,997 KRW versus a price of 116,900 KRW, about +19% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 280360?
Our model-based fair value for Lotte Wellfood Co is 138,997 KRW (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 116,900 KRW.
What is the quality score of 280360?
Lotte Wellfood Co has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Lotte Wellfood Co (280360)?
Lotte Wellfood Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.3T KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 280360?
The net profit margin of Lotte Wellfood Co is about 1.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Lotte Wellfood Co pay a dividend?
Lotte Wellfood Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.05% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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