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COWINTECH Co (282880) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · KR · Market cap 108B KRW

CC COWINTECH Co 282880 · KQ
Price10,130 KRW
Fair Value2,504 KRW
Upside-75.3%
Quality28/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
2.03% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Low Range 1,878 KRW – 3,130 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −0.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 75% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3,130 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

38,786 KRW 7,810 KRW Fair Value 2,504 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 7,810 KRW – 38,786 KRW · fair‑value band 1,878 KRW – 3,130 KRW · the 10,130 KRW price screens above the 2,504 KRW fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

COWINTECH Co (282880) currently trades at 10,130 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,504 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 75.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, COWINTECH Co generated revenue of 168B KRW at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 50.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.1%. Net debt stands at 36.9B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1,878 KRW (bear case) to 3,130 KRW (bull case); at 10,130 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -75%, 282880 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 10,163 KRW 9,419 KRW 6,871 KRW 76
Growth-Adj P/E 1,113 KRW 1,590 KRW 2,066 KRW 68
P/E Multiple 1,547 KRW 2,062 KRW 2,578 KRW 63
All 7 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1,002 KRW 1,697 KRW 2,068 KRW 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1,547 KRW 2,062 KRW 2,578 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 1,878 KRW 2,504 KRW 3,130 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 1,878 KRW 2,504 KRW 3,130 KRW 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 7,446 KRW 9,977 KRW 14,892 KRW 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 10,163 KRW 9,419 KRW 6,871 KRW 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1,113 KRW 1,590 KRW 2,066 KRW 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (9,977 KRW) versus Growth Earnings (1,590 KRW). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 168B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) +50.8%
Net margin 3.2%
Return on equity -5.1%
Free cash flow −15.5B KRW FY2025
Operating margin -2.6%
More key figures
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +417%
Net debt 36.9B KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 36
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 30
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 43
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

COWINTECH Co. Ltd. engages in the design, manufacture, and installation of logistics automation systems. The company offers bucket, pallet and roll type automation warehouse products; building and unit racks; single and double reach types; material logistic equipment, including conveyor, automatic shuttle, lifter automation warehouse, de-stacker/magazine, …

Full company description

COWINTECH Co. Ltd. engages in the design, manufacture, and installation of logistics automation systems. The company offers bucket, pallet and roll type automation warehouse products; building and unit racks; single and double reach types; material logistic equipment, including conveyor, automatic shuttle, lifter automation warehouse, de-stacker/magazine, and environment distribution equipment; and process distribution line products, such as engine assembly line, tire tapping type wrapping machine, product thickness sorting machine, arrangement equipment and wrapping machine. It also engages in the instrumentation and control, and maintenance businesses. In addition, the company provides display glass and rechargeable battery manufacturing equipment; inspection equipment; laser applications; and other products. COWINTECH Co. Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Asan-si, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

COWINTECH Co reported revenue of 155B KRW in FY2025 versus 106B KRW in FY2021, a compound +9.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.7B KRW in FY2025, compounding −25.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
155B KRW
Latest YoY
−36.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.8%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.4%
Revenue +9.8%/yr
FY21 106B KRW
FY22 201B KRW
FY23 336B KRW
FY24 244B KRW
FY25 155B KRW
Net income −25.7%/yr
FY21 5.6B KRW
FY22 4.9B KRW
FY23 11.8B KRW
FY24 16.2B KRW
FY25 1.7B KRW

282880 screens 75% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "COWINTECH Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/282880

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 51% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.27× · Higher than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 87 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 41 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is COWINTECH Co (282880) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,504 KRW versus a price of 10,130 KRW, about −75% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 282880?
Our model-based fair value for COWINTECH Co is 2,504 KRW (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 10,130 KRW.
What is the quality score of 282880?
COWINTECH Co has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of COWINTECH Co (282880)?
COWINTECH Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 168B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 282880?
The net profit margin of COWINTECH Co is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does COWINTECH Co pay a dividend?
COWINTECH Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.64% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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