Rastar Group (300043) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Rastar Group ¥4.96, price ¥4.51, upside +10.0%, quality 84 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.18 – ¥7.72 · fair‑value band ¥3.48 – ¥7.71 · the ¥4.51 price screens below the ¥4.96 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Rastar Group engages in game and toy business in China. It also manages football clubs and sports related activities, as well as involved in publishing other related businesses. The company provides its products under the RASTAR brand names.
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Rastar Group engages in game and toy business in China. It also manages football clubs and sports related activities, as well as involved in publishing other related businesses. The company provides its products under the RASTAR brand names. It exports its products to Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, Southeast Asia, Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Guangzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Rastar Group (300043) currently trades at ¥4.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.96, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥5.84 per share, and 9 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥4.51 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.7600, and 17 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥3.48 (bear) to ¥7.71 (bull), the price of ¥4.51 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 84/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Rastar Group reported revenue of 2.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +10.4%/yr. Reported net income was 302M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 5.6B CNY (≈ $838M) · P/E ratio 14.1 · P/S ratio 2.03 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3200 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 14.4% · Return on equity 25.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at 10%, 300043 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥3.48Fair Value ¥4.96Bull ¥7.71
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2121 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+53.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.3% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+16.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 14%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.4%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 188 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score84 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)25% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−38% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rastar Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300043
Frequently asked questions
Is Rastar Group (300043) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.96 versus a price of ¥4.51, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 300043?
Our model-based fair value for Rastar Group is ¥4.96 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.51.
What is the quality score of 300043?
Rastar Group has a Quality Score of 84/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Rastar Group (300043)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.96 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.48, optimistic scenario ¥7.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Rastar Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.96, about +10% upside versus a price of ¥4.51 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.48, optimistic scenario ¥7.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Rastar Group (300043)?
Rastar Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Rastar Group pay a dividend?
Rastar Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.67% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Rastar Group (300043)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Rastar Group would have to grow free cash flow by +3.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.7 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300043 use?
Our models discount Rastar Group at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.68, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Rastar Group that is +3.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Rastar Group (300043) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Rastar Group grew +3.7 % a year. The price currently implies +3.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Rastar Group (300043) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Rastar Group (+3.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Rastar Group (300043)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.68 %: that much free cash flow Rastar Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Rastar Group (300043)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Rastar Group it is ¥4.96 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥4.51. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Rastar Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 300043 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥4.51, fair value ¥4.96, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300043?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.51); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.96). For Rastar Group the two are ¥0.4510 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Rastar Group worth?
The market values Rastar Group at about 5.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.51; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300043?
Our models span a range for Rastar Group: cautious scenario ¥3.48, base ¥4.96, optimistic ¥7.71 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥4.51). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300043?
Rastar Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥4.96 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.2, P/S 2.9, EV/EBITDA 11.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Rastar Group (300043)?
Balance-sheet figures for Rastar Group (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 25.1%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 84/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300043 from its 52-week high?
Rastar Group trades at ¥4.51, about 40% below its 52-week high of ¥7.52 and 12% above the low of ¥4.01 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Rastar Group?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Pop Mart International Group, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, Life Time Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Rastar Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥4.51, calculated fair value ¥4.96 (+10%), Quality Score 84/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300043 calculated?
We run Rastar Group through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.96, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Rastar Group currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Rastar Group (300043)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥4.51. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.96, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Rastar Group right now?
A fairly wide model range (¥3.48 to ¥7.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Rastar Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Rastar Group (300043)?
The market capitalisation of Rastar Group is 5.6B CNY (≈ $838M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Rastar Group (300043)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Rastar Group is 2.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Rastar Group (300043)?
Earnings per share at Rastar Group are ¥0.3200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Rastar Group (300043)?
The dividend yield of Rastar Group is 0.7% (payout 9.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Rastar Group (300043)?
The net margin of Rastar Group is 14.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Rastar Group (300043)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Rastar Group is 25.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Rastar Group (300043)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Rastar Group is −1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Rastar Group (300043)?
The operating margin of Rastar Group is 23.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Rastar Group (300043)?
Revenue at Rastar Group is growing −38.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Rastar Group (300043)?
Earnings per share at Rastar Group are growing −64.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Rastar Group (300043) carry?
The net debt of Rastar Group is 600M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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