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Spearhead Integrated Marketing (300071) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · CN · Market cap 3.8B CNY

SI Spearhead Integrated Marketing 300071 · SHE
Price¥3.98
Fair Value¥0.7000
Upside-82.4%
Quality49/100
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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 82% ABOVE our fair value of ¥0.7000
!Weak Growth
!Loss-making · -13.2% net margin
!Trails peers (1/13)
Weak Growth
Loss-making · -13.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/13)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.4800 – ¥0.9300 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Share price +0.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 82% overvalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.9300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥0.4800 to ¥0.9300) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥8.93 ¥1.66 Fair Value ¥0.7000 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.66 – ¥8.93 · fair‑value band ¥0.4800 – ¥0.9300 · the ¥3.98 price screens above the ¥0.7000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Spearhead Integrated Marketing (300071) currently trades at ¥3.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.7000, implying the stock looks roughly 82.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Spearhead Integrated Marketing generated revenue of 860M CNY at a net margin of -13.2%. Revenue declined 55.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -74.5%. Net debt stands at 48.7M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.4800 (bear case) to ¥0.9300 (bull case); at ¥3.98, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -82%, 300071 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.0600 to ¥0.8300). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.6500 ¥0.8300 ¥1.14 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.5900 ¥0.8200 ¥1.12 74
Gordon GGM ¥0.1500 ¥0.1700 ¥0.2000 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.6300 ¥0.8100 ¥1.16 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.5900 ¥0.8100 ¥1.14 39
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.5900 ¥0.7700 ¥0.9800 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.1500 ¥0.1700 ¥0.2000 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1500 ¥0.1900 ¥0.2400 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue ¥0.6000 ¥0.8300 ¥1.06 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.0500 ¥0.0600 ¥0.0900 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.6500 ¥0.8300 ¥1.14 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.5900 ¥0.8200 ¥1.12 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥0.8300) versus Asset-Based (¥0.0600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 860M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -55.5%
Net margin -13.2%
Return on equity -74.5%
Free cash flow 55.8M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -13.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.1200
EPS growth (YoY) -37.8%
Net debt 48.7M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

FS Development Investment Holdings provides integrated marketing communication services in China. It offers content, private, and meta universe marketing services. The company was formerly known as Spearhead Integrated Marketing Communication Group. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Spearhead Integrated Marketing reported revenue of ¥1.0B in FY2025 versus ¥1.0B in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was −¥122M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 25/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.0B CNY
Latest YoY
−16.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.6%
Revenue −0.4%/yr
FY21 ¥1.0B
FY22 ¥1.2B
FY23 ¥1.4B
FY24 ¥1.2B
FY25 ¥1.0B
Net income
FY21 ¥230M
FY22 ¥29.2M
FY23 −¥21.5M
FY24 −¥131M
FY25 −¥122M

300071 screens 82% overvalued. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Spearhead Integrated Marketing Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300071

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 205 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −82% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -14% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -56% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 6.18× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.65× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.26× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 21
FUTURE0 · sector 3
PAST0 · sector 5
HEALTH99 · sector 99
DIVIDEND9 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $303.76 $252.45 -17%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €99.98 €146.36 +46%
Omnicom Group OMC $85.51 $99.84 +17%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.29 ¥5.71 +8%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $13.49 $29.07 +115%
JCDecaux SE DEC €24.00 €20.99 -13%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥37.40 ¥5.62 -85%
Affle (India) Limited AFFLE ₹1,711 ₹591.41 -65%
Mobvista Inc 1860 HK$11.04 HK$6.43 -42%
Guangdong Advertising Group 002400 ¥6.48 ¥1.14 -82%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Spearhead Integrated Marketing (300071) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.7000 versus a price of ¥3.98, about −82% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300071?
Our model-based fair value for Spearhead Integrated Marketing is ¥0.7000 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.98.
What is the quality score of 300071?
Spearhead Integrated Marketing has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Spearhead Integrated Marketing (300071)?
Spearhead Integrated Marketing reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 860M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300071?
The net profit margin of Spearhead Integrated Marketing is about -13.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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