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Winall Hi-tech Seed Co (300087) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 6.5B CNY

WH Winall Hi-tech Seed Co 300087 · SHE
Price¥5.32
Fair Value¥8.51
Upside+60.0%
Quality31/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -4.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥6.95 – ¥10.09 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from ¥6.20 to ¥8.51 (+37.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥6.95). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥18.18 ¥4.81 Fair Value ¥8.51 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.81 – ¥18.18 · fair‑value band ¥6.95 – ¥10.09 · the ¥5.32 price screens below the ¥8.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Winall Hi-tech Seed Co (300087) currently trades at ¥5.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.51, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Winall Hi-tech Seed Co generated revenue of 4.4B CNY at a net margin of -4.7%. Revenue declined 16.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.4%. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.95 (bear case) to ¥10.09 (bull case); at ¥5.32, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 60%, 300087 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ¥3.33 ¥4.17 ¥5.30 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.9200 ¥1.82 ¥2.76 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.9200 ¥1.58 ¥1.93 61
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥2.93 ¥3.20 ¥3.43 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.9200 ¥1.82 ¥2.76 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.9200 ¥1.58 ¥1.93 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥3.87 ¥4.74 ¥5.62 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.96 ¥6.20 ¥7.44 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.12 ¥3.92 ¥4.72 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.8900 ¥1.19 ¥1.78 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥3.33 ¥4.17 ¥5.30 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥4.74) versus Asset-Based (¥1.19). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -16.6%
Net margin -4.7%
Return on equity -6.4%
Free cash flow −54.6M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 1.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.2100
EPS growth (YoY) +422%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Winall Hi-tech Seed Co., Ltd. researches, develops, breeds, promotes, and services various crop seeds in China. The company offers rice, corn, wheat, cotton, rapeseed, watermelon, pumpkin vegetable, and other crop seeds. It also exports its products to approximately 20 countries and regions. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Hefei, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Winall Hi-tech Seed Co reported revenue of ¥4.5B in FY2025 versus ¥2.5B in FY2021, a compound +15.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥212M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.5B CNY
Latest YoY
−4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+22.9%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+24.4%
Revenue +15.6%/yr
FY21 ¥2.5B
FY22 ¥3.5B
FY23 ¥4.1B
FY24 ¥4.7B
FY25 ¥4.5B
Net income
FY21 ¥169M
FY22 ¥233M
FY23 ¥268M
FY24 ¥97.1M
FY25 −¥212M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Winall Hi-tech Seed Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300087

Peer Group

Farm Products · 291 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth -17% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.25× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.57× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 4.21× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 26
FUTURE 0 · sector 21
PAST 0 · sector 17
HEALTH 87 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Winall Hi-tech Seed Co (300087) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.51 versus a price of ¥5.32, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 300087?
Our model-based fair value for Winall Hi-tech Seed Co is ¥8.51 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.32.
What is the quality score of 300087?
Winall Hi-tech Seed Co has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Winall Hi-tech Seed Co (300087)?
Winall Hi-tech Seed Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300087?
The net profit margin of Winall Hi-tech Seed Co is about -4.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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