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Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech ¥2.68, price ¥7.35, upside -63.5%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE100000SQ3

YL Some data Sep 23, 2026

Yantai Longyuan Power Tech

300105 · SHE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ¥2.68 · Strongly overvalued (−64%)
Quality 66/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +15.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -7.2% net margin (TTM)
generates free cash flow
·2.04% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 20/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥10.20 ¥3.67 Fair Value ¥2.68 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.67 – ¥10.20 · fair‑value band ¥2.37 – ¥2.99 · the ¥7.35 price screens above the ¥2.68 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development of energy saving and environment protection technologies in China. The company also manufactures, installs, and commissions technologies in thermal power generation area.

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YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development of energy saving and environment protection technologies in China. The company also manufactures, installs, and commissions technologies in thermal power generation area. In addition, it provides Numerical Simulation and Simulation Calculation Technology and Technical Support and Consultation, such as boiler performance test and boiler technical retrofit consultation. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Yantai, China.

Stock analysis

Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105) currently trades at ¥7.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.68, implying the stock looks roughly 174.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥5.36 per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥7.35 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.51, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥2.37 (bear) to ¥2.99 (bull), the price of ¥7.35 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Yantai Longyuan Power Tech reported revenue of 960M CNY in FY2025 versus 542M CNY in FY2021, a compound +15.4%/yr. Reported net income was −35.7M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.8B CNY (≈ $566M) · P/S ratio 3.81 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1300 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin −3.7% · Return on equity −3.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4% · Operating margin 7.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −64%, 300105 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥2.37 Fair Value ¥2.68 Bull ¥2.99
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥6.48 ¥9.37 ¥13.80 78
Growth DCF ¥6.51 ¥9.28 ¥13.47 76
Owner Earnings ¥1.79 ¥1.82 ¥1.86 75
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥6.48 ¥9.37 ¥13.80 78
Owner Earnings ¥1.79 ¥1.82 ¥1.86 75
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.83 ¥4.46 ¥5.17 71
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.29 ¥5.36 ¥6.56 74
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.74 ¥5.57 ¥6.59 66
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.05 ¥6.20 ¥7.66 67
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥2.16 ¥2.22 ¥2.28 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.8800 ¥1.75 ¥2.65 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.8800 ¥1.51 ¥1.85 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥2.68 ¥2.99 ¥3.30 63
EV/EBITDA ¥3.26 ¥3.76 ¥4.26 64
EV/Revenue ¥2.42 ¥2.70 ¥2.98 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.80 ¥2.41 ¥3.60 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥6.51 ¥9.28 ¥13.47 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.83 ¥4.53 ¥5.39 71
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥2.16 ¥2.22 ¥2.28 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 91
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−24.8%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.4% a year
Revenue growth 18 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.8% (2020) → 3.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.4% a year for the price.

300105 screens 174% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 837 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −64% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −35% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.31× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.63× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 2.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.12× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)41 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.28 $194.25 −80%
SIE SIE €273.85 €150.21 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $442.49 $172.75 −61%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $964.85 $418.76 −57%
Cummins Inc CMI $526.13 $359.38 −32%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.47 $151.39 −44%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $154.19 $62.15 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $427.19 $138.24 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 385.10 kr 199.07 −48%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yantai Longyuan Power Tech Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300105

Frequently asked questions

Is Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.68 versus a price of ¥7.35, about −64% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300105?
Our model-based fair value for Yantai Longyuan Power Tech is ¥2.68 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.35.
What is the quality score of 300105?
Yantai Longyuan Power Tech has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.68 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.37, optimistic scenario ¥2.99. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yantai Longyuan Power Tech stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.68, about −64% upside versus a price of ¥7.35 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.37, optimistic scenario ¥2.99. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105)?
Yantai Longyuan Power Tech reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 902M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Yantai Longyuan Power Tech pay a dividend?
Yantai Longyuan Power Tech currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.04% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Yantai Longyuan Power Tech would have to grow free cash flow by +6.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300105 use?
Our models discount Yantai Longyuan Power Tech at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.70, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Yantai Longyuan Power Tech that is +6.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Yantai Longyuan Power Tech grew +15.9 % a year. The price currently implies +6.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (+6.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.69 %: that much free cash flow Yantai Longyuan Power Tech produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yantai Longyuan Power Tech it is ¥2.68 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥7.35. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yantai Longyuan Power Tech stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 300105 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥7.35, fair value ¥2.68, a gap of about −64% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300105?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.68). For Yantai Longyuan Power Tech the two are ¥4.67 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yantai Longyuan Power Tech worth?
The market values Yantai Longyuan Power Tech at about 3.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.35; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300105?
Our models span a range for Yantai Longyuan Power Tech: cautious scenario ¥2.37, base ¥2.68, optimistic ¥2.99 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥7.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 300105?
The PEG ratio of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech is 2.12 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −3.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300105 from its 52-week high?
Yantai Longyuan Power Tech trades at ¥7.35, about 28% below its 52-week high of ¥10.20 and 24% above the low of ¥5.94 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yantai Longyuan Power Tech?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yantai Longyuan Power Tech stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥7.35, calculated fair value ¥2.68 (−64%), Quality Score 66/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300105 calculated?
We run Yantai Longyuan Power Tech through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.68, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Yantai Longyuan Power Tech itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥7.35. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.68, about −64% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yantai Longyuan Power Tech right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105) come from?
Earnings per share at Yantai Longyuan Power Tech grew −6.2 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −3.8 %, EBIT margin −3.9 %, tax rate +2.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech

How large is the market capitalisation of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105)?
The market capitalisation of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech is 3.8B CNY (≈ $566M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech is 3.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105)?
Earnings per share at Yantai Longyuan Power Tech are ¥−0.1300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105)?
The dividend yield of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech is 2.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105)?
The net margin of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech is −3.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech is −3.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105)?
The operating margin of Yantai Longyuan Power Tech is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105)?
Revenue at Yantai Longyuan Power Tech is growing −34.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105)?
Earnings per share at Yantai Longyuan Power Tech are growing −70.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Yantai Longyuan Power Tech (300105) hold?
Yantai Longyuan Power Tech holds more cash than debt, 746M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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