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YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co (300105) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.4B CNY

YL YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co 300105 · SHE
Price¥7.88
Fair Value¥2.68
Upside-66.0%
Quality66/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -7.2% net margin
generates free cash flow
2.31% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: High Range ¥2.37 – ¥2.99 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from ¥3.45 to ¥2.68 (−22.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥9.97 ¥3.08 Fair Value ¥2.68 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.08 – ¥9.97 · fair‑value band ¥2.37 – ¥2.99 · the ¥7.88 price screens above the ¥2.68 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co (300105) currently trades at ¥7.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.68, implying the stock looks roughly 66.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co generated revenue of 902M CNY at a net margin of -7.2%. Revenue declined 34.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 746M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.37 (bear case) to ¥2.99 (bull case); at ¥7.88, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -66%, 300105 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥6.51 ¥9.28 ¥13.46 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.8800 ¥1.75 ¥2.65 70
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.83 ¥4.53 ¥5.39 67
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥6.48 ¥9.36 ¥13.80 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.79 ¥1.82 ¥1.86 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.83 ¥4.45 ¥5.17 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.29 ¥5.36 ¥6.56 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.74 ¥5.57 ¥6.59 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.05 ¥6.19 ¥7.66 37
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥2.16 ¥2.22 ¥2.28 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.8800 ¥1.75 ¥2.65 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.8800 ¥1.51 ¥1.85 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥2.68 ¥2.99 ¥3.30 53
EV/EBITDA ¥3.26 ¥3.76 ¥4.26 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.42 ¥2.70 ¥2.98 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.80 ¥2.41 ¥3.60 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥6.51 ¥9.28 ¥13.46 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.83 ¥4.53 ¥5.39 67
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥2.16 ¥2.22 ¥2.28 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥5.36) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.51). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 902M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -34.8%
Net margin -7.2%
Return on equity -3.4%
Free cash flow 216M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 7.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.1300
Dividend yield 2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -70.7%
Net cash 746M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 91
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development of energy saving and environment protection technologies in China. The company also manufactures, installs, and commissions technologies in thermal power generation area.

Full company description

YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development of energy saving and environment protection technologies in China. The company also manufactures, installs, and commissions technologies in thermal power generation area. In addition, it provides Numerical Simulation and Simulation Calculation Technology and Technical Support and Consultation, such as boiler performance test and boiler technical retrofit consultation. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Yantai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co reported revenue of ¥960M in FY2025 versus ¥542M in FY2021, a compound +15.4%/yr. Reported net income was −¥35.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
960M CNY
Latest YoY
−24.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+15.9%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+6.1%
Revenue +15.4%/yr
FY21 ¥542M
FY22 ¥733M
FY23 ¥1.1B
FY24 ¥1.3B
FY25 ¥960M
Net income
FY21 ¥5.9M
FY22 ¥88.5M
FY23 ¥141M
FY24 ¥65.3M
FY25 −¥35.7M

300105 screens 66% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300105

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −66% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth -35% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.57× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.12× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 46 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co (300105) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.68 versus a price of ¥7.88, about −66% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300105?
Our model-based fair value for YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co is ¥2.68 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.88.
What is the quality score of 300105?
YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co (300105)?
YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 902M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300105?
The net profit margin of YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co is about -7.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co pay a dividend?
YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.31% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 7, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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