Shenzhen Riland Industry Group (300154) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Share price +0.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 61% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.88 – ¥12.61 · fair‑value band ¥2.75 – ¥4.93 · the ¥9.43 price screens above the ¥3.70 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen Riland Industry Group (300154) currently trades at ¥9.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.70, implying the stock looks roughly 60.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Riland Industry Group generated revenue of 890M CNY at a net margin of 9.9%. Revenue declined 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 683M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.75 (bear case) to ¥4.93 (bull case); at ¥9.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -61%, 300154 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥3.95) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.06). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenzhen Riland Industry Group Co., Ltd researches and develops, manufactures, sells, and services inverter welding and cutting equipment, welding automation products, welding material accessories, and protective equipment in China and internationally.
Full company description
Shenzhen Riland Industry Group Co., Ltd researches and develops, manufactures, sells, and services inverter welding and cutting equipment, welding automation products, welding material accessories, and protective equipment in China and internationally. The company offers inverter DC manual arc welding machines, inverter argon arc welding machines, inverter semi-automatic gas shielded welding machines, inverter air plasma cutting machines, welding carriage, digital intelligent welding equipment, automated welding systems, industry-specific bottleneck welding technology breakthroughs and equipment, robot equipment, and robot welding system integration. It also provides handheld air-cooled and water-cooled laser welding machines, robotic laser welding, and laser cleaning machines; welding materials, welding and cutting accessories, and welding protective equipment; and commercial display aluminum frame, hardware backplate, and precision sheet metal structural component series products. The company offers its products primarily under the RILAND and RILON brand names. Its products are used in oil pipelines, chemicals, automotive, shipbuilding, steel structures, boilers, electricity building construction, nuclear power aviatilitanstallation, bridge, and other industries. Shenzhen Riland Industry Group Co., Ltd was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen Riland Industry Group reported revenue of ¥894M in FY2025 versus ¥1.1B in FY2021, a compound −4.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥104M in FY2025, compounding −2.8%/yr from FY2021.
300154 screens 61% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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