Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd stock ¥0.59, price ¥4.54, that is 87.0% below the price, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 11 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.71 – ¥11.54 · fair‑value band ¥0.4900 – ¥0.6500 · the ¥4.54 price screens above the ¥0.5900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, and sale of polymer foam materials in China.
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The company offers structural foam materials primarily for use in wind power generation, railway transportation, yacht, aerospace, energy buildings conservation, and other industries; and soft foam materials, such as plastic and rubber material for use in various industries, including electronics, home appliances, automobiles, and sports and leisure industries.
It also provides functional tape materials. The company exports its products. Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group Co., Ltd. in July 2023.
Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is based in Changzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169) currently trades at ¥4.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.5900, 87% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥1.59 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the ¥4.54 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥0.2400, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.4900 (bear) to ¥0.6500 (bull), the price of ¥4.54 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd reported revenue of 448M CNY in FY2025 versus 761M CNY in FY2021, a compound −12.4%/yr. Reported net income was 13.1M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.5B CNY (≈ $231M) Micro · P/E ratio 23.9 · P/S ratio 3.34 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1900 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 13.1% · Return on equity 134% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.5% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −87%, 300169 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.0500 to ¥1.59). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥0.4900Fair Value ¥0.5900Bull¥0.6500
Price ¥4.54 · Downside -87.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1629 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.24/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −5.2% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
Compare Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 337 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−87.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)133.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets1.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)13.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)1.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)11.9% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.56× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)23.9× · Pricier than median
P/B23.97× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.34× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 9
FUTURE (revenue growth)60· sector 67
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)72· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)32· sector 32
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300169
Frequently asked questions
Is Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.5900 versus a price of ¥4.54, about 87% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300169?
Our model-based fair value for Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd is ¥0.5900 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.54.
What is the quality score of 300169?
Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.5900 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.4900, optimistic scenario ¥0.6500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.5900, about 87% lower versus a price of ¥4.54 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.4900, optimistic scenario ¥0.6500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169)?
Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 465M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.62% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169)?
Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 1.6%.
What is the intrinsic value of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd it is ¥0.5900 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of ¥4.54. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 300169 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.54, fair value ¥0.5900, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300169?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.5900). For Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd the two are ¥3.95 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd worth?
The market values Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd at about 1.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.54; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.5900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300169?
Our models span a range for Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.4900, base ¥0.5900, optimistic ¥0.6500 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price ¥4.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300169?
Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.9 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥0.5900 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 24.0, P/S 3.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169)?
Balance-sheet figures for Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 133.6%, debt of 0.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300169 from its 52-week high?
Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd trades at ¥4.54, about 38% below its 52-week high of ¥7.33 and 7% above the low of ¥4.26 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.5900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Dow Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price ¥4.54, calculated fair value ¥0.5900 (−87%), Quality Score 48/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300169 calculated?
We run Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd through 11 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥0.5900 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was ¥4.54. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.5900, about 87% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.6500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (48/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169)?
The market capitalisation of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd is 1.5B CNY (≈ $231M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd is 3.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169)?
Earnings per share at Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd are ¥0.1900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169)?
The dividend yield of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd is 1.6% (payout 38.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169)?
The net margin of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd is 13.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd is 134% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd is −9.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169)?
The operating margin of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169)?
Revenue at Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd is growing +11.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169)?
Earnings per share at Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd are growing −98.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169) generate?
The free cash flow of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd is −47.1M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd (300169) carry?
The net debt of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Co Ltd is 199M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 8, 2026