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Shanghai YongLi Belting Co (300230) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.8B CNY

SY Shanghai YongLi Belting Co 300230 · SHE
Price¥4.23
Fair Value¥4.41
Upside+4.3%
Quality63/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 7.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/13)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range ¥3.31 – ¥5.52 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥4.42 to ¥4.41 (−0.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ¥3.31 (bear) to ¥5.52 (bull), base ¥4.41. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥5.85 ¥2.87 Fair Value ¥4.41 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.87 – ¥5.85 · fair‑value band ¥3.31 – ¥5.52 · the ¥4.23 price screens below the ¥4.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai YongLi Belting Co (300230) currently trades at ¥4.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.41, implying the stock looks roughly 4.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai YongLi Belting Co generated revenue of 2.5B CNY at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 15.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 449M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.31 (bear case) to ¥5.52 (bull case); at ¥4.23, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 4%, 300230 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.14 ¥7.76 ¥11.91 80
Residual Income ¥3.06 ¥3.09 ¥2.95 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.32 ¥6.34 ¥8.90 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.17 ¥8.02 ¥12.69 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.56 ¥6.96 ¥10.90 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.32 ¥6.36 ¥9.07 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.51 ¥8.76 ¥12.80 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.57 ¥6.87 ¥9.44 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.50 ¥6.49 ¥9.42 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.35 ¥8.19 ¥12.43 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.75 ¥6.85 ¥9.72 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.43 ¥6.28 ¥8.60 54
Lynch FV ¥1.62 ¥2.32 ¥3.01 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.62 ¥2.32 ¥3.01 46
EPV ¥3.54 ¥3.91 ¥4.22 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.6600 ¥1.32 ¥2.00 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.6600 ¥1.14 ¥1.40 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.31 ¥4.41 ¥5.52 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.68 ¥3.57 ¥4.47 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.68 ¥3.57 ¥4.47 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.03 ¥6.30 ¥7.56 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.09 ¥7.71 ¥9.33 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.95 ¥5.11 ¥6.27 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.01 ¥2.69 ¥4.02 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.14 ¥7.76 ¥11.91 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.32 ¥6.34 ¥8.90 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.06 ¥3.09 ¥2.95 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.54 ¥3.91 ¥4.50 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.68 ¥3.82 ¥4.97 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.87) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.14). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.3%
Net margin 7.3%
Return on equity 5.5%
Free cash flow 266M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 21.4
More key figures
Operating margin 9.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2200
EPS growth (YoY) +21.7%
Net cash 449M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai YongLi Belting Co., Ltd develops, produces, and sells conveyor belts in China and internationally. The company offers hygienepro monolithic, TPU timing belts, transmission, modular belts and chains, fabrication and customization, belting accessories, machinery, tools and other belts; and high-end precision molded products.

Full company description

Shanghai YongLi Belting Co., Ltd develops, produces, and sells conveyor belts in China and internationally. The company offers hygienepro monolithic, TPU timing belts, transmission, modular belts and chains, fabrication and customization, belting accessories, machinery, tools and other belts; and high-end precision molded products. Its products are used in agri and horticulture, food, logistics, sport and leisure, building materials, textile, tobacco, industrial entrance systems, and other packaging and recycling industries. Shanghai YongLi Belting Co., Ltd was founded in 1989 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai YongLi Belting Co reported revenue of ¥2.4B in FY2025 versus ¥3.2B in FY2021, a compound −7.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥171M in FY2025, compounding −3.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+17.9%
Revenue −7.2%/yr
FY21 ¥3.2B
FY22 ¥2.1B
FY23 ¥2.0B
FY24 ¥2.2B
FY25 ¥2.4B
Net income −3.9%/yr
FY21 ¥201M
FY22 ¥245M
FY23 ¥376M
FY24 ¥223M
FY25 ¥171M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai YongLi Belting Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300230

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +4% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.17× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.56× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 39 · sector 0
FUTURE 77 · sector 23
PAST 22 · sector 28
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

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Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai YongLi Belting Co (300230) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.41 versus a price of ¥4.23, about +4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 300230?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai YongLi Belting Co is ¥4.41 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.23.
What is the quality score of 300230?
Shanghai YongLi Belting Co has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai YongLi Belting Co (300230)?
Shanghai YongLi Belting Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300230?
The net profit margin of Shanghai YongLi Belting Co is about 7.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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