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SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group (300276) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 11.2B CNY

SI SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group 300276 · SHE
Price¥6.66
Fair Value¥0.7000
Upside-89.5%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -12.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 14/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.6000 – ¥0.8500 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated today

Share price −5.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 89% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.8500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥1,183 ¥3.11 Fair Value ¥0.7000 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.11 – ¥1,183 · fair‑value band ¥0.6000 – ¥0.8500 · the ¥6.66 price screens above the ¥0.7000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group (300276) currently trades at ¥6.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.7000, implying the stock looks roughly 89.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group generated revenue of 1.7B CNY at a net margin of -12.0%. Revenue declined 24.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 140M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.6000 (bear case) to ¥0.8500 (bull case); at ¥6.66, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -89%, 300276 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.27 ¥4.31 ¥7.53 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.13 ¥1.56 ¥2.17 74
ROIC Compounder ¥0.5900 ¥0.6400 ¥0.6800 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.32 ¥4.07 ¥8.45 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.13 ¥1.55 ¥2.10 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.30 ¥1.95 ¥2.75 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.48 ¥2.06 ¥2.90 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.61 ¥2.36 ¥3.49 37
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥0.5900 ¥0.6400 ¥0.6800 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥0.7400 ¥0.8800 ¥1.03 53
EV/EBITDA ¥0.9000 ¥1.10 ¥1.31 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.6100 ¥0.7400 ¥0.8800 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.6300 ¥0.8400 ¥1.26 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.27 ¥4.31 ¥7.53 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.13 ¥1.56 ¥2.17 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥0.5900 ¥0.6400 ¥0.6800 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.06) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.6400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -24.4%
Net margin -12.0%
Return on equity -10.6%
Free cash flow 200M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -3.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.1500
EPS growth (YoY) +69.4%
Net cash 140M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, researches, designs, develops, manufactures, installs, commissions, and services intelligent conveying equipment in China and internationally.

Full company description

SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, researches, designs, develops, manufactures, installs, commissions, and services intelligent conveying equipment in China and internationally. The company offers logistics conveying systems, including electric monorail and dual rail systems, P and F chains, friction drivers, skid conveying systems, AGV products, logistic systems, AD pan material conveying systems, tumover machines, roller conveyor systems, lifters, and off-gas discharging systems, as well as floor chain conveying systems comprising slate chains and towline products. It also provides environmental protecting and energy products, which include coating transmission line products; pre-treatment, electrophoresis, and spray and dusting equipment; oven and cooling products; auxiliary equipment; light inspection booth, shower test and blowing, and water treatment equipment; and electric control equipment. In addition, the company offers intelligent and precise weld products, including welding jigs and reciprocating rod conveyors; industrial robots, automatic warehouse and sorting equipment, intelligent three-dimensional parking systems, industrial automatic control systems, unmanned aerial vehicles, and intelligent accurate welding equipment; and after-sale services, as well as engages in construction and civil engineering construction activities. Its products are used in various industries, including automotive, construction machinery, agricultural machinery, storage and logistics, light, food, metallurgy, and construction material, etc. The company was formerly known as Hubei SanFeng Intelligent Conveying Equipment Co., Ltd. and changed its name to SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group Co., Ltd. in July 2019. SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is based in Huangshi, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group reported revenue of ¥1.8B in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥186M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.8B CNY
Latest YoY
−8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.8%
Revenue +5.5%/yr
FY21 ¥1.4B
FY22 ¥1.3B
FY23 ¥1.7B
FY24 ¥1.9B
FY25 ¥1.8B
Net income
FY21 ¥99.8M
FY22 −¥509M
FY23 ¥20.3M
FY24 ¥29.2M
FY25 −¥186M

300276 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300276

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 149 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −90% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -24% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.95× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.98× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 21
FUTURE 0 · sector 30
PAST 0 · sector 34
HEALTH 100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Caterpillar Inc CAT $855.60 $307.83 -64%
Deere & Company DE $619.77 $182.29 -71%
AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA kr 344.00 kr 288.08 -16%
PACCAR Inc PCAR $131.06 $94.80 -28%
Epiroc AB EPIA kr 254.50 kr 144.14 -43%
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥18.91 ¥20.84 +10%
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥8.25 ¥11.79 +43%
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$41.42 HK$53.57 +29%
Yutong Bus Co 600066 ¥29.82 ¥42.00 +41%
Ashok Leyland Limited ASHOKLEY ₹176.70 ₹118.01 -33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group (300276) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.7000 versus a price of ¥6.66, about −89% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300276?
Our model-based fair value for SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group is ¥0.7000 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.66.
What is the quality score of 300276?
SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group (300276)?
SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300276?
The net profit margin of SanFeng Intelligent Equipment Group is about -12.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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