Ourpalm (300315) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Ourpalm ¥0.94, price ¥4.10, upside -77.1%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.75 – ¥8.12 · fair‑value band ¥0.6200 – ¥1.18 · the ¥4.10 price screens above the ¥0.9400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Ourpalm Co., Ltd. focuses on the development, distribution, and operation of online games in China and internationally. It primarily offers mobile game products and information services. Ourpalm Co., Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is based in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
Ourpalm (300315) currently trades at ¥4.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.9400, implying the stock looks roughly 336.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ¥0.6200 (bear) to ¥1.18 (bull), the price of ¥4.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Ourpalm reported revenue of 706M CNY in FY2025 versus 1.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −16.8%/yr. Reported net income was −157M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 11.1B CNY (≈ $1.7B) · P/S ratio 15.3 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0500 · Net margin −22.2% · Return on equity −2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8% · Operating margin −15.6% · Revenue (TTM) 729M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 61% fair-value upside, at −77%, 300315 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥0.6200Fair Value ¥0.9400Bull ¥1.18
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.5% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
18.5% (2020) → −5.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 147 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ourpalm Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300315
Frequently asked questions
Is Ourpalm (300315) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.9400 versus a price of ¥4.10, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300315?
Our model-based fair value for Ourpalm is ¥0.9400 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.10.
What is the quality score of 300315?
Ourpalm has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ourpalm (300315)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.9400 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.6200, optimistic scenario ¥1.18. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ourpalm stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.9400, about −77% upside versus a price of ¥4.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.6200, optimistic scenario ¥1.18. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ourpalm (300315)?
Ourpalm reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 729M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ourpalm (300315)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ourpalm it is ¥0.9400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥4.10. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ourpalm stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300315 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.10, fair value ¥0.9400, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300315?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.9400). For Ourpalm the two are ¥3.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ourpalm worth?
The market values Ourpalm at about 11.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.10; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.9400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300315?
Our models span a range for Ourpalm: cautious scenario ¥0.6200, base ¥0.9400, optimistic ¥1.18 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥4.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ourpalm (300315)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ourpalm (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.7%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300315 from its 52-week high?
Ourpalm trades at ¥4.10, about 47% below its 52-week high of ¥7.80 and 2% above the low of ¥4.03 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.9400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ourpalm?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Konami Group, NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ourpalm stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥4.10, calculated fair value ¥0.9400 (−77%), Quality Score 51/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300315 calculated?
We run Ourpalm through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.9400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ourpalm itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ourpalm (300315)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥4.10. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.9400, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ourpalm right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥0.6200 to ¥1.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Ourpalm
How large is the market capitalisation of Ourpalm (300315)?
The market capitalisation of Ourpalm is 11.1B CNY (≈ $1.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ourpalm (300315)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ourpalm is 15.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ourpalm (300315)?
Earnings per share at Ourpalm are ¥−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ourpalm (300315)?
The net margin of Ourpalm is −22.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ourpalm (300315)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ourpalm is −2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ourpalm (300315)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ourpalm is 0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ourpalm (300315)?
The operating margin of Ourpalm is −15.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ourpalm (300315)?
Revenue at Ourpalm is growing +14.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ourpalm (300315)?
Earnings per share at Ourpalm are growing +100% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ourpalm (300315) generate?
The free cash flow of Ourpalm is −11.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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