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Tianjin Pengling Group (300375) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.6B CNY

TP Tianjin Pengling Group 300375 · SHE
Price¥3.92
Fair Value¥5.32
Upside+35.7%
Quality48/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -7.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 18/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥3.98 – ¥6.66 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥3.80 to ¥5.32 (+40.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 36% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥6.85 ¥3.08 Fair Value ¥5.32 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.08 – ¥6.85 · fair‑value band ¥3.98 – ¥6.66 · the ¥3.92 price screens below the ¥5.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Tianjin Pengling Group (300375) currently trades at ¥3.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.32, implying the stock looks roughly 35.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Tianjin Pengling Group generated revenue of 2.8B CNY at a net margin of -7.5%. Revenue declined 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.8%. Net debt stands at 16.4M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.98 (bear case) to ¥6.66 (bull case); at ¥3.92, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 36%, 300375 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ¥1.81 ¥2.00 ¥2.17 72
EPV ¥1.81 ¥2.00 ¥2.17 59
EV/EBITDA ¥3.46 ¥4.41 ¥5.37 54
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥1.81 ¥2.00 ¥2.17 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥2.60 ¥3.27 ¥3.94 53
EV/EBITDA ¥3.46 ¥4.41 ¥5.37 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.95 ¥2.53 ¥3.11 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.35 ¥1.81 ¥2.70 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥1.81 ¥2.00 ¥2.17 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥3.27) versus Asset-Based (¥1.81). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.8B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.6%
Net margin -7.5%
Return on equity -9.8%
Free cash flow −11.0M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -0.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.2800
EPS growth (YoY) -83.7%
Net debt 16.4M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tianjin Pengling Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, and manufacture of automotive fluid pipelines and sealing parts in China and internationally.

Full company description

Tianjin Pengling Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, and manufacture of automotive fluid pipelines and sealing parts in China and internationally. It offers fluid pipeline products, including automobile cooling system, air conditioning pipeline and assembly; powertrain fuel hose, fuel tank filler pipe, and fuel pipeline and assembly of automobile chassis; charge hose and air filter hose and assembly; and transmission cooling pipeline, sunroof drain hose, vacuum hose, and exhaust system hose and assembly. The company also provides sealing products, such as body, bonnet-to-cowl-seal, triangle decorative panel, outer/inner waist belt, door, door frame, luggage, corner window, and glass run channel seals. The company was formerly known as Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Tianjin Pengling Group Co., Ltd. in June 2018. Tianjin Pengling Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Tianjin, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tianjin Pengling Group reported revenue of ¥2.9B in FY2025 versus ¥1.7B in FY2021, a compound +14.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥191M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.9B CNY
Latest YoY
+16.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+19.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.3%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+13.5%
Revenue +14.6%/yr
FY21 ¥1.7B
FY22 ¥1.7B
FY23 ¥2.0B
FY24 ¥2.5B
FY25 ¥2.9B
Net income
FY21 ¥62.4M
FY22 ¥75.7M
FY23 ¥28.4M
FY24 ¥77.7M
FY25 −¥191M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tianjin Pengling Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300375

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +36% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -11% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.26× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 0.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 81 · sector 17
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tianjin Pengling Group (300375) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.32 versus a price of ¥3.92, about +36% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 300375?
Our model-based fair value for Tianjin Pengling Group is ¥5.32 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.92.
What is the quality score of 300375?
Tianjin Pengling Group has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tianjin Pengling Group (300375)?
Tianjin Pengling Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300375?
The net profit margin of Tianjin Pengling Group is about -7.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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