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Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd ¥4.00, price ¥4.12, upside -2.9%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · CN · ISIN CNE100001RV3

TP Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd

300375 · SHE

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value ¥4.00 · Fairly valued (−3%)
!Quality 48/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -7.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 29 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥6.85 ¥3.08 Fair Value ¥4.00 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.08 – ¥6.85 · fair‑value band ¥3.67 – ¥4.29 · the ¥4.12 price screens above the ¥4.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Tianjin Pengling Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, and manufacture of automotive fluid pipelines and sealing parts in China and internationally.

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Tianjin Pengling Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, and manufacture of automotive fluid pipelines and sealing parts in China and internationally. It offers fluid pipeline products, including automobile cooling system, air conditioning pipeline and assembly; powertrain fuel hose, fuel tank filler pipe, and fuel pipeline and assembly of automobile chassis; charge hose and air filter hose and assembly; and transmission cooling pipeline, sunroof drain hose, vacuum hose, and exhaust system hose and assembly. The company also provides sealing products, such as body, bonnet-to-cowl-seal, triangle decorative panel, outer/inner waist belt, door, door frame, luggage, corner window, and glass run channel seals. The company was formerly known as Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Tianjin Pengling Group Co., Ltd. in June 2018. Tianjin Pengling Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Tianjin, China.

Stock analysis

Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375) currently trades at ¥4.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.00, implying the stock looks roughly 3.0% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥3.27 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥4.12 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.81, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥3.67 (bear) to ¥4.29 (bull), the price of ¥4.12 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +14.6%/yr. Reported net income was −191M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.6B CNY (≈ $542M) · P/S ratio 1.30 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.2800 · Net margin −6.7% · Return on equity −9.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% · Operating margin −0.2% · Revenue (TTM) 2.8B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −3%, 300375 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥3.67 Fair Value ¥4.00 Bull ¥4.29
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV ¥1.66 ¥1.81 ¥1.93 74
ROIC Compounder ¥1.66 ¥1.81 ¥1.93 72
EV/EBITDA ¥3.46 ¥4.41 ¥5.37 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥1.66 ¥1.81 ¥1.93 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥2.60 ¥3.27 ¥3.94 66
EV/EBITDA ¥3.46 ¥4.41 ¥5.37 67
EV/Revenue ¥1.95 ¥2.53 ¥3.11 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.35 ¥1.81 ¥2.70 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥1.66 ¥1.81 ¥1.93 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.2% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.7% (2020) → 4.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 695 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −11% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.26× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 0.5× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)29 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 38

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Magna International Inc MGA $63.79 $68.17 +7%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹164.40 ₹96.97 −41%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥45.71 ¥28.28 −38%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹47,955 ₹25,325 −47%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,004 ₹407.35 −80%
Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co 002920 ¥84.71 ¥68.21 −19%

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¥4.00 −3%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300375

Frequently asked questions

Is Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.00 versus a price of ¥4.12, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 300375?
Our model-based fair value for Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd is ¥4.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.12.
What is the quality score of 300375?
Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.67, optimistic scenario ¥4.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.00, about −3% upside versus a price of ¥4.12 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥3.67, optimistic scenario ¥4.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375)?
Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd it is ¥4.00 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥4.12. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300375 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.12, fair value ¥4.00, a gap of about −3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300375?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.12); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.00). For Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd the two are ¥0.1200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd worth?
The market values Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd at about 3.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.12; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300375?
Our models span a range for Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.67, base ¥4.00, optimistic ¥4.29 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥4.12). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −9.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300375 from its 52-week high?
Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd trades at ¥4.12, about 33% below its 52-week high of ¥6.14 and 13% above the low of ¥3.65 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥4.12, calculated fair value ¥4.00 (−3%), Quality Score 48/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300375 calculated?
We run Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥4.12. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.00, about −3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375)?
The market capitalisation of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd is 3.6B CNY (≈ $542M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd is 1.30 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375)?
Earnings per share at Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd are ¥−0.2800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375)?
The net margin of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd is −6.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd is −9.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375)?
The operating margin of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd is −0.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375)?
Revenue at Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd is growing −10.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375)?
Earnings per share at Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd are growing −83.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375) generate?
The free cash flow of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd is −11.0M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd (300375) carry?
The net debt of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd is 16.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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