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Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co (300384) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.9B CNY

BS Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co 300384 · SHE
Price¥12.23
Fair Value¥9.91
Upside-19.0%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 26.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.46% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range ¥7.47 – ¥14.52 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +4.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 19% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥7.47 to ¥14.52) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥24.62 ¥9.43 Fair Value ¥9.91 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.43 – ¥24.62 · fair‑value band ¥7.47 – ¥14.52 · the ¥12.23 price screens above the ¥9.91 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co (300384) currently trades at ¥12.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.91, implying the stock looks roughly 19.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co generated revenue of 727M CNY at a net margin of 26.0%. Revenue declined 36.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 20.8. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.47 (bear case) to ¥14.52 (bull case); at ¥12.23, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -19%, 300384 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥7.21 ¥7.68 ¥8.50 76
ROIC Compounder ¥8.03 ¥8.98 ¥10.53 72
Gordon GGM ¥1.93 ¥3.84 ¥5.82 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥11.18 ¥15.83 ¥22.68 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.77 ¥15.16 ¥20.20 54
Lynch FV ¥3.34 ¥4.77 ¥6.20 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.34 ¥4.77 ¥6.20 46
EPV ¥8.03 ¥8.91 ¥9.67 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.93 ¥3.84 ¥5.82 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.93 ¥3.16 ¥4.05 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥11.05 ¥14.73 ¥18.41 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.87 ¥5.16 ¥6.45 58
P/B Multiple ¥8.94 ¥11.92 ¥14.91 55
EV/EBIT ¥11.21 ¥14.12 ¥17.03 53
EV/EBITDA ¥10.60 ¥13.30 ¥16.01 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.72 ¥7.12 ¥8.51 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.40 ¥5.89 ¥8.80 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.21 ¥7.68 ¥8.50 76
ROIC Compounder ¥8.03 ¥8.98 ¥10.53 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.20 ¥13.14 ¥17.09 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥15.83) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.16). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 727M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -36.6%
Net margin 26.0%
Return on equity 6.7%
Free cash flow −38.1M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 20.8
More key figures
Operating margin 25.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5900
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -43.5%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co., Ltd. provides technical and engineering contracting services in the polyamide industry in China. The company offers EPC services of polyamide technologies, including polycondensation and filament crafts. Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co., Ltd.

Full company description

Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co., Ltd. provides technical and engineering contracting services in the polyamide industry in China. The company offers EPC services of polyamide technologies, including polycondensation and filament crafts. Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is based in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co reported revenue of ¥823M in FY2025 versus ¥840M in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥224M in FY2025, compounding +4.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
823M CNY
Latest YoY
−23.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−8.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+9.4%
Revenue −0.5%/yr
FY21 ¥840M
FY22 ¥1.1B
FY23 ¥1.3B
FY24 ¥1.1B
FY25 ¥823M
Net income +4.1%/yr
FY21 ¥191M
FY22 ¥240M
FY23 ¥290M
FY24 ¥318M
FY25 ¥224M

300384 screens 19% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300384

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −19% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -37% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.39× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 5.38× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 8 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 27 · sector 28
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 29 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co (300384) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.91 versus a price of ¥12.23, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300384?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co is ¥9.91 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥12.23.
What is the quality score of 300384?
Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co (300384)?
Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 727M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300384?
The net profit margin of Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co is about 26.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 26.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co pay a dividend?
Beijing Sanlian Hope Shin-Gosen Technical Service Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.46% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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