CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co (300388) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price −1.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 54% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- A fairly wide model range (¥6.67 to ¥13.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.72 – ¥10.31 · fair‑value band ¥6.67 – ¥13.72 · the ¥6.68 price screens below the ¥10.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co (300388) currently trades at ¥6.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.31, implying the stock looks roughly 54.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co generated revenue of 3.8B CNY at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue grew 15.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. Net debt stands at 6.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥6.67 (bear case) to ¥13.72 (bull case); at ¥6.68, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at 54%, 300388 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥9.84) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.62). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. provides municipal and industrial wastewater treatment services in China. The company engages in the provision of treatment of water environment, municipal sewage, water environment in villages and towns, and comprehensive services of industrial water system, etc.
Full company description
CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. provides municipal and industrial wastewater treatment services in China. The company engages in the provision of treatment of water environment, municipal sewage, water environment in villages and towns, and comprehensive services of industrial water system, etc. It also operates and manages municipal wastewater treatment plants; offers water environment management services, including technical consultation, scheme design, investment and financing management, operation, and maintenance; rural and township services; and pipeline operation, engineering construction, trenchless pipeline repair, smart pipeline construction, pipeline inspection and pollution source investigation, standardized operation and management of pumping stations, and other services. In addition, the company provides environmental assessment, process design, engineering contracting, water investment, engineering construction and operation management, and investment and financing services. Further, the company offers municipal single equipment, comprising perforated fine grid, inverted umbrella type aerator, fiber disc filter, Biovac-SBBR and Biovac-PMBR integrated wastewater treatment equipment, high-efficiency magnetic coagulation integrated equipment, high-efficiency sedimentation tank, denitrification deep bed filter, and sludge deep treatment system, as well as industrial equipment and technology. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in Hefei, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co reported revenue of ¥3.7B in FY2025 versus ¥4.5B in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥356M in FY2025, compounding −0.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Waste Management · 169 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $233.33 | $128.02 | -45% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $219.20 | $122.01 | -44% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$242.43 | C$78.67 | -68% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €37.51 | €24.50 | -35% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $303.64 | $155.37 | -49% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$55.40 | C$94.12 | +70% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €12.20 | €7.30 | -40% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.32 | ¥5.27 | -17% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥16.18 | ¥20.91 | +29% |
| Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY | A$2.34 | A$1.18 | -50% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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