CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd ¥8.85, price ¥6.75, upside +31.1%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.72 – ¥10.31 · fair‑value band ¥5.73 – ¥12.79 · the ¥6.75 price screens below the ¥8.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. provides municipal and industrial wastewater treatment services in China. The company engages in the provision of treatment of water environment, municipal sewage, water environment in villages and towns, and comprehensive services of industrial water system, etc.
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CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. provides municipal and industrial wastewater treatment services in China. The company engages in the provision of treatment of water environment, municipal sewage, water environment in villages and towns, and comprehensive services of industrial water system, etc. It also operates and manages municipal wastewater treatment plants; offers water environment management services, including technical consultation, scheme design, investment and financing management, operation, and maintenance; rural and township services; and pipeline operation, engineering construction, trenchless pipeline repair, smart pipeline construction, pipeline inspection and pollution source investigation, standardized operation and management of pumping stations, and other services. In addition, the company provides environmental assessment, process design, engineering contracting, water investment, engineering construction and operation management, and investment and financing services. Further, the company offers municipal single equipment, comprising perforated fine grid, inverted umbrella type aerator, fiber disc filter, Biovac-SBBR and Biovac-PMBR integrated wastewater treatment equipment, high-efficiency magnetic coagulation integrated equipment, high-efficiency sedimentation tank, denitrification deep bed filter, and sludge deep treatment system, as well as industrial equipment and technology. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in Hefei, China.
Stock analysis
CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388) currently trades at ¥6.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.85, implying the stock looks roughly 23.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥9.84 per share, and 9 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥6.75 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.62, and 7 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥5.73 (bear) to ¥12.79 (bull), the price of ¥6.75 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 3.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was 356M CNY in FY2025, compounding −0.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.6B CNY (≈ $686M) · P/E ratio 12.1 · P/S ratio 1.17 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.5600 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 9.7% · Return on equity 8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 31%, 300388 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥5.73Fair Value ¥8.85Bull ¥12.79
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.3394 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.15/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.4% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 22%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.6%/yr over ~6Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 168 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside+31% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)22% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.12× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)12.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.98× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300388
Frequently asked questions
Is CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.85 versus a price of ¥6.75, about +31% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 300388?
Our model-based fair value for CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd is ¥8.85 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.75.
What is the quality score of 300388?
CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥8.85 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.73, optimistic scenario ¥12.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥8.85, about +31% upside versus a price of ¥6.75 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.73, optimistic scenario ¥12.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388)?
CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.42% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd it is ¥8.85 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥6.75. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 300388 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥6.75, fair value ¥8.85, a gap of about +31% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300388?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥8.85). For CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥2.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd at about 4.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.75; our models calculate a fair value of ¥8.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300388?
Our models span a range for CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥5.73, base ¥8.85, optimistic ¥12.79 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥6.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300388?
CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥8.85 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 7.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388)?
Balance-sheet figures for CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 8.3%, debt of 1.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300388 from its 52-week high?
CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥6.75, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥10.31 and 9% above the low of ¥6.17 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥8.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥6.75, calculated fair value ¥8.85 (+31%), Quality Score 44/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300388 calculated?
We run CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥8.85, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd currently trades 31 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥6.75. Our model-based fair value is ¥8.85, about +31% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. A fairly wide model range (¥5.73 to ¥12.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388)?
The market capitalisation of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd is 4.6B CNY (≈ $686M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd is 1.17 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388)?
Earnings per share at CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd are ¥0.5600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388)?
The dividend yield of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd is 1.4% (payout 17.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388)?
The net margin of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd is 9.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388)?
The operating margin of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd is 21.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388)?
Revenue at CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd is growing +15.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388)?
Earnings per share at CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd are growing +32.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388) generate?
The free cash flow of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd is −244M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd (300388) carry?
The net debt of CECEP Guozhen Environmental Protection Technology Co Ltd is 6.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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