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Ningbo BaoSi Energy Equipment Co (300441) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.0B CNY

NB Ningbo BaoSi Energy Equipment Co 300441 · SHE
Price¥6.95
Fair Value¥5.18
Upside-25.5%
Quality49/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 9.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.05% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range ¥3.62 – ¥6.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +3.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 25% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥3.62 to ¥6.73) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥12.09 ¥4.24 Fair Value ¥5.18 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.24 – ¥12.09 · fair‑value band ¥3.62 – ¥6.73 · the ¥6.95 price screens above the ¥5.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Ningbo BaoSi Energy Equipment Co (300441) currently trades at ¥6.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.18, implying the stock looks roughly 25.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo BaoSi Energy Equipment Co generated revenue of 1.7B CNY at a net margin of 9.7%. Revenue grew 3.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. Net debt stands at 129M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.62 (bear case) to ¥6.73 (bull case); at ¥6.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -25%, 300441 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥3.20 ¥3.41 ¥3.70 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.19 ¥2.52 ¥2.80 72
Gordon GGM ¥2.69 ¥5.36 ¥8.11 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.04 ¥8.34 ¥11.36 54
Lynch FV ¥2.09 ¥2.99 ¥3.89 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.09 ¥2.99 ¥3.89 46
EPV ¥2.19 ¥2.52 ¥2.80 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.69 ¥5.36 ¥8.11 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.69 ¥4.63 ¥5.65 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.73 ¥6.31 ¥7.89 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.83 ¥5.11 ¥6.38 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.83 ¥5.11 ¥6.38 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.90 ¥7.82 ¥9.75 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.30 ¥8.35 ¥10.41 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.49 ¥4.93 ¥6.37 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.94 ¥2.60 ¥3.88 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.20 ¥3.41 ¥3.70 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.19 ¥2.52 ¥2.80 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.62 ¥5.18 ¥6.73 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥5.18) versus Economic Profit (¥2.52). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.4%
Net margin 9.7%
Return on equity 6.7%
Free cash flow −392M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 23.8
More key figures
Operating margin 7.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2600
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -57.1%
Net debt 129M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 31
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ningbo BaoSi Energy Equipment Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in research, development, production, and sale of high-end precision machinery parts and components in China and internationally.

Full company description

Ningbo BaoSi Energy Equipment Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in research, development, production, and sale of high-end precision machinery parts and components in China and internationally. It offers rotary vane vacuum, scroll vacuum, dry screw vacuum, roots vacuum, booster vacuum, molecular vacuum pump, vacuum pump system, oil mist filter, high vacuum valve, and vacuum pump oil. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ningbo BaoSi Energy Equipment Co reported revenue of ¥1.7B in FY2025 versus ¥2.2B in FY2021, a compound −5.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥194M in FY2025, compounding −7.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 8/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.7B CNY
Latest YoY
−26.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.1%
Revenue −5.7%/yr
FY21 ¥2.2B
FY22 ¥2.1B
FY23 ¥2.4B
FY24 ¥2.3B
FY25 ¥1.7B
Net income −7.7%/yr
FY21 ¥266M
FY22 ¥111M
FY23 ¥281M
FY24 ¥832M
FY25 ¥194M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +24.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +22.3 pp

of which total revenue +27.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.3 pp

EBIT margin +4.1 pp
Tax rate −1.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

300441 screens 25% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ningbo BaoSi Energy Equipment Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300441

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −26% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.60× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.31× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 17 · sector 23
PAST 27 · sector 28
HEALTH 98 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 21 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

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GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
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Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
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Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ningbo BaoSi Energy Equipment Co (300441) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.18 versus a price of ¥6.95, about −25% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300441?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo BaoSi Energy Equipment Co is ¥5.18 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.95.
What is the quality score of 300441?
Ningbo BaoSi Energy Equipment Co has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ningbo BaoSi Energy Equipment Co (300441)?
Ningbo BaoSi Energy Equipment Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300441?
The net profit margin of Ningbo BaoSi Energy Equipment Co is about 9.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ningbo BaoSi Energy Equipment Co pay a dividend?
Ningbo BaoSi Energy Equipment Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.05% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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