Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd stock ¥48.71, price ¥109, upside -55.5%, quality 56 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?Yes
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥15.50 – ¥306.14 · fair‑value band ¥26.77 – ¥69.03 · the ¥109.41 price screens above the ¥48.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 28, 2026.
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Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co.,Ltd. operates as a semiconductor distributor in China. It offers products and solutions for auto driving, finance, manufacture, and other industries.
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The company was formerly known as Anhui Julong Transmission Technology Co., Ltd. Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Xuancheng, China.
Stock analysis
Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475) currently trades at ¥109.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥48.71, 55.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥53.10 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥109.41 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥5.13, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥26.77 (bear) to ¥69.03 (bull), the price of ¥109.41 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 35.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 9.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +39.9%/yr. Reported net income was 545M CNY in FY2025, compounding +24.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 50.9B CNY (≈ $7.6B) Mid · P/E ratio 12.8 · P/S ratio 0.83 · EPS (TTM) ¥8.55 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 5.1% · Return on equity 87.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 56 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −55%, 300475 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥26.77Fair Value ¥48.71Bull¥69.03
Price ¥109.41 · Upside -55.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥6.98 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+45.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+166.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +57.1% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+24.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 3%
2025 sits 64% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.3% a year for the price.
AI conclusion: Strong profit growth from the memory storage segment amid AI demand marks the main strength, while low gross margins and exposure as a distributor to semiconductor cycles remain the central weakness.
Main risk: Operation as a distributor exposes the business to semiconductor cycles and inventory risks that would directly hit margins and demand stability.
Strong profit growth has come from the memory storage segment amid AI demand, yet the company operates as a distributor exposed to semiconductor cycles and inventory risks. Our models currently see it as overvalued. Will the recent momentum in storage sustain through the next earnings or will typical cycle pressures reemerge?
Compare Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 342 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside−55.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)87.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.3% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)6.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)10.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)295.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)12.8× · Cheapest 25%
P/B14.23× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.83× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow45.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA9.7× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 94
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)2· sector 19
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300475
Frequently asked questions
Is Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥48.71 versus a price of ¥109.41, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300475?
Our model-based fair value for Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd is ¥48.71 (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥109.41.
What is the quality score of 300475?
Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥48.71 (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥26.77, optimistic scenario ¥69.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥48.71, about −55% upside versus a price of ¥109.41 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥26.77, optimistic scenario ¥69.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475)?
Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 78.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
Does Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.08% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +28.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +166.0 % per year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300475 use?
Our models discount Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd at 12.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.92, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd that is +28.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd grew +166.0 % a year. The price currently implies +28.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (+28.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.81 %: that much free cash flow Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd it is ¥48.71 per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of ¥109.41. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, 300475 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥109.41, fair value ¥48.71, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300475?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥109.41); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥48.71). For Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥60.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd at about 50.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is ¥109.41; our models calculate a fair value of ¥48.71 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300475?
Our models span a range for Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥26.77, base ¥48.71, optimistic ¥69.03 per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price ¥109.41). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300475?
Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.8 (as of Oct 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥48.71 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 14.2, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 9.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity 87.1%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300475 from its 52-week high?
Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥109.41, about 64% below its 52-week high of ¥306.14 and 5% above the low of ¥104.53 (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥48.71 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price ¥109.41, calculated fair value ¥48.71 (−55%), Quality Score 56/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300475 calculated?
We run Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥48.71, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was ¥109.41. Our model-based fair value is ¥48.71, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥69.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥26.77 to ¥69.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475)?
The market capitalisation of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd is 50.9B CNY (≈ $7.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd is 0.83 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475)?
Earnings per share at Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd are ¥8.55 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475)?
The dividend yield of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd is 0.1% (payout 1.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475)?
The net margin of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd is 5.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd is 87.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd is 9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475)?
The operating margin of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475)?
Revenue at Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd is growing +295% versus a year earlier (3y avg +36.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475)?
Earnings per share at Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd are growing +16.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd (300475) carry?
The net debt of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co Ltd is 690M CNY (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 28, 2026