Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A ¥2.91, price ¥3.42, upside -14.9%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.05 – ¥9.78 · fair‑value band ¥2.01 – ¥4.13 · the ¥3.42 price screens above the ¥2.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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JILIN JINGUAN ELECTRIC Co.,Ltd engages in smart grid equipment, energy charging, and energy storage businesses in China.
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JILIN JINGUAN ELECTRIC Co.,Ltd engages in smart grid equipment, energy charging, and energy storage businesses in China. The company offers full gas insulated intelligent, semi gas insulated, and solid insulated ring main units, as well as outdoor ring main unit switching stations; fixed and movable high-voltage switchgears; vacuum circuit breaker and column switch series medium-voltage switchgears; box-type substations; and fixed, drawer, and fix partitioned low voltage switchgears. It provides power cables and accessories and grid systems. The company's products used in power systems, metallurgy and chemical industry, rail transit, electrified railways, urban subways, municipal construction, port construction, factories and mines, and other fields. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Changchun, China.
Stock analysis
Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510) currently trades at ¥3.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.91, 14.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥2.88 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the ¥3.42 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.58, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥2.01 (bear) to ¥4.13 (bull), the price of ¥3.42 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A reported revenue of 1.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was −326M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.8B CNY (≈ $421M) · P/S ratio 2.93 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.4300 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin −30.4% · Return on equity −17.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.7% · Operating margin −17.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −15%, 300510 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥2.01Fair Value ¥2.91Bull ¥4.13
Price ¥3.42 · Upside -14.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.39/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.1% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.8% (2020) → −12.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.1% a year for the price.
Compare Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 805 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−14.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−4.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−37.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−17.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300510
Frequently asked questions
Is Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.91 versus the last price from Sep 30, 2026 of ¥3.42, about −15% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300510?
Our model-based fair value for Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A is ¥2.91 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 30, 2026): ¥3.42.
What is the quality score of 300510?
Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.91 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.01, optimistic scenario ¥4.13. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.91, about −15% upside versus the last price from Sep 30, 2026 of ¥3.42 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.01, optimistic scenario ¥4.13. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 963M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A pay a dividend?
Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.40% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A would have to grow free cash flow by +8.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.8 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300510 use?
Our models discount Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.57, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A that is +8.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A grew +4.8 % a year. The price currently implies +8.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (+8.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.81 %: that much free cash flow Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A it is ¥2.91 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ¥3.42. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 300510 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥3.42, fair value ¥2.91, a gap of about −15% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300510?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.91). For Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A the two are ¥0.5100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A worth?
The market values Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A at about 2.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.42; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300510?
Our models span a range for Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A: cautious scenario ¥2.01, base ¥2.91, optimistic ¥4.13 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ¥3.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −17.6%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300510 from its 52-week high?
Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A trades at ¥3.42, about 33% below its 52-week high of ¥5.11 and 12% above the low of ¥3.05 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ¥3.42, calculated fair value ¥2.91 (−15%), Quality Score 58/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300510 calculated?
We run Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.91, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 30, 2026 and stands at ¥3.42. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.91, about −15% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥2.01 to ¥4.13) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A
How large is the market capitalisation of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
The market capitalisation of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A is 2.8B CNY (≈ $421M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A is 2.93 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
Earnings per share at Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A are ¥−0.4300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
The dividend yield of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
The net margin of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A is −30.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A is −17.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A is −2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
The operating margin of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A is −17.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
Revenue at Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A is growing +8.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
Earnings per share at Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A are growing −93.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510) carry?
The net debt of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A is 203M CNY (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 1.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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