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Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.9B CNY

JJ Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A 300510 · SHE
Price¥3.40
Fair Value¥2.09
Upside-38.5%
Quality56/100
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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 39% ABOVE our fair value of ¥2.09
!Mixed Growth
!Loss-making · -37.2% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -37.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥1.39 – ¥2.79 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +11.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 39% overvalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥1.39 to ¥2.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥9.78 ¥3.05 Fair Value ¥2.09 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.05 – ¥9.78 · fair‑value band ¥1.39 – ¥2.79 · the ¥3.40 price screens above the ¥2.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510) currently trades at ¥3.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.09, implying the stock looks roughly 38.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A generated revenue of 944M CNY at a net margin of -37.2%. Revenue declined 46.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.1%. Net debt stands at 203M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.39 (bear case) to ¥2.79 (bull case); at ¥3.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -39%, 300510 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.40 ¥3.46 ¥4.94 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.98 ¥2.99 ¥4.18 74
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.18 ¥1.58 ¥2.36 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.38 ¥3.60 ¥5.43 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.98 ¥2.98 ¥4.26 39
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.06 ¥3.00 ¥4.28 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue ¥1.83 ¥2.53 ¥3.23 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.18 ¥1.58 ¥2.36 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.40 ¥3.46 ¥4.94 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.98 ¥2.99 ¥4.18 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥3.00) versus Asset-Based (¥1.58). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 944M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -46.9%
Net margin -37.2%
Return on equity -17.1%
Free cash flow 164M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -22.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.4300
EPS growth (YoY) -93.3%
Net debt 203M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

JILIN JINGUAN ELECTRIC Co.,Ltd engages in smart grid equipment, energy charging, and energy storage businesses in China.

Full company description

JILIN JINGUAN ELECTRIC Co.,Ltd engages in smart grid equipment, energy charging, and energy storage businesses in China. The company offers full gas insulated intelligent, semi gas insulated, and solid insulated ring main units, as well as outdoor ring main unit switching stations; fixed and movable high-voltage switchgears; vacuum circuit breaker and column switch series medium-voltage switchgears; box-type substations; and fixed, drawer, and fix partitioned low voltage switchgears. It provides power cables and accessories and grid systems. The company's products used in power systems, metallurgy and chemical industry, rail transit, electrified railways, urban subways, municipal construction, port construction, factories and mines, and other fields. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Changchun, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥1.1B in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥326M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 39/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.1B CNY
Latest YoY
−1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.0%
Revenue −0.1%/yr
FY21 ¥1.1B
FY22 ¥1.2B
FY23 ¥1.1B
FY24 ¥1.1B
FY25 ¥1.1B
Net income
FY21 ¥31.6M
FY22 ¥48.5M
FY23 ¥25.5M
FY24 −¥333M
FY25 −¥326M

300510 screens 39% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300510

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 818 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −39% · Below median
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -37% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -23% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -47% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.45× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 21
PAST0 · sector 28
HEALTH98 · sector 96
DIVIDEND8 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €899.80 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €275.55 €91.93 -67%
SMNS SMNS C$33.09 C$22.75 -31%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 202.30 kr 112.59 -44%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 358.60 kr 193.01 -46%
Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND ₹5,315 ₹1,355 -75%
Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL ₹425.20 ₹78.13 -82%
Siemens Limited SIEMENS ₹4,019 ₹746.83 -81%
Airtac International Group 1590 1,470 TWD 853.70 TWD -42%
Suzlon Energy Limited SUZLON ₹47.35 ₹26.64 -44%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.09 versus a price of ¥3.40, about −39% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300510?
Our model-based fair value for Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A is ¥2.09 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.40.
What is the quality score of 300510?
Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A (300510)?
Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 944M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300510?
The net profit margin of Jilin Jinguan Electric Co Ltd Class A is about -37.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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