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Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology Inc Co (300530) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 3.3B CNY

HL Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology Inc Co 300530 · SHE
Price¥18.09
Fair Value¥11.24
Upside-37.9%
Quality34/100
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Risks

!Trades 38% ABOVE our fair value of ¥11.24
!Expensive Growth
!Loss-making · -93.0% net margin
!High debt · negative free cash flow
Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -93.0% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥5.99 – ¥16.02 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥1.92 to ¥11.24 (+485.4%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price +24.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 38% overvalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥16.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (¥5.99 to ¥16.02). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥50.97 ¥10.89 Fair Value ¥11.24 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.89 – ¥50.97 · fair‑value band ¥5.99 – ¥16.02 · the ¥18.09 price screens above the ¥11.24 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology Inc Co (300530) currently trades at ¥18.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.24, implying the stock looks roughly 37.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology Inc Co generated revenue of 137M CNY at a net margin of -93.0%. Revenue grew 14.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -86.6%. Net debt stands at 221M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.99 (bear case) to ¥16.02 (bull case); at ¥18.09, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -38%, 300530 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥0.9500 ¥1.89 ¥2.86 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.9500 ¥1.50 ¥2.00 61
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.3000 ¥0.4100 ¥0.6100 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.9500 ¥1.89 ¥2.86 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.9500 ¥1.50 ¥2.00 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.3000 ¥0.4100 ¥0.6100 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥1.50) versus Asset-Based (¥0.4100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 137M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.0%
Net margin -93.0%
Return on equity -86.6%
Free cash flow −76.6M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -47.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.7500
EPS growth (YoY) +13.4%
Net debt 221M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hunan Lead Power Technology Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research, production, sale, application, and servicing of surface engineering chemicals in China. It operates through Surface Engineering Chemicals Business and New Energy Battery Business segment.

Full company description

Hunan Lead Power Technology Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research, production, sale, application, and servicing of surface engineering chemicals in China. It operates through Surface Engineering Chemicals Business and New Energy Battery Business segment. The Surface Engineering Chemicals Business segment include coating additives and coating intermediates, which are widely used in automobiles, machinery, and electronic materials. The New Energy Battery Business segment offers battery cells, modules, and system integration in application areas of new energy vehicles, energy storage, and construction machinery. The company was formerly known as Hunan Lead Power Technology Incorporated Company and changed its name to Hunan Lead Power Technology Group Co., Ltd. in November 2023. Hunan Lead Power Technology Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Hengyang, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology Inc Co reported revenue of ¥130M in FY2025 versus ¥146M in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was −¥122M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
130M CNY
Latest YoY
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−35.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.9%
Revenue −2.8%/yr
FY21 ¥146M
FY22 ¥479M
FY23 ¥190M
FY24 ¥126M
FY25 ¥130M
Net income
FY21 −¥125M
FY22 −¥237M
FY23 −¥209M
FY24 −¥394M
FY25 −¥122M

300530 screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology Inc Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300530

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 677 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −38% · Below median
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -93% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -47% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 3.87× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.74× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.63× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE70 · sector 19
PAST0 · sector 23
HEALTH0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND11 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $487.57 $222.03 -54%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥75.06 ¥68.03 -9%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,630 ₹696.23 -74%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,645 ₹349.83 -79%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,730 ₹2,793 -85%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 2,030 IDR 2,147 IDR +6%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹541.00 ₹156.35 -71%
Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited FLUOROCHEM ₹4,680 ₹724.88 -85%
Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited HSCL ₹703.65 ₹229.10 -67%
Enaex S.A ENAEX 25,000 CLP 23,584 CLP -6%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology Inc Co (300530) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.24 versus a price of ¥18.09, about −38% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300530?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology Inc Co is ¥11.24 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥18.09.
What is the quality score of 300530?
Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology Inc Co has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology Inc Co (300530)?
Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology Inc Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 137M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300530?
The net profit margin of Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology Inc Co is about -93.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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