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Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co (300553) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 7.8B CNY

HJ Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co 300553 · SHE
Price¥44.93
Fair Value¥23.01
Upside-48.8%
Quality40/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 5.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.07% dividend yield
Trails peers (0/12)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: High Range ¥17.28 – ¥27.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 7, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 7, 2026, revised from ¥3.41 to ¥23.01 (+574.8%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price −39.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥27.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥79.35 ¥14.05 Fair Value ¥23.01 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥14.05 – ¥79.35 · fair‑value band ¥17.28 – ¥27.20 · the ¥44.93 price screens above the ¥23.01 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co (300553) currently trades at ¥44.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥23.01, implying the stock looks roughly 48.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co generated revenue of 304M CNY at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue declined 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.6%. Net debt stands at 38.6M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥17.28 (bear case) to ¥27.20 (bull case); at ¥44.93, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -49%, 300553 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥35.49 ¥33.54 ¥26.25 76
ROIC Compounder ¥14.91 ¥17.27 ¥19.23 72
Gordon GGM ¥2.36 ¥4.66 ¥7.02 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.83 ¥33.60 ¥45.89 54
Lynch FV ¥8.57 ¥12.28 ¥15.99 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥8.57 ¥12.28 ¥15.99 46
EPV ¥14.91 ¥17.27 ¥19.23 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.36 ¥4.66 ¥7.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.36 ¥3.98 ¥4.93 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥17.27 ¥23.01 ¥28.81 63
P/S Multiple ¥14.71 ¥19.57 ¥24.49 58
P/B Multiple ¥14.71 ¥19.57 ¥24.49 55
EV/EBIT ¥24.63 ¥32.73 ¥40.89 53
EV/EBITDA ¥28.54 ¥37.92 ¥47.37 54
EV/Revenue ¥16.67 ¥23.75 ¥30.77 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥25.44 ¥34.14 ¥50.95 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥35.49 ¥33.54 ¥26.25 76
ROIC Compounder ¥14.91 ¥17.27 ¥19.23 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥14.04 ¥20.04 ¥26.05 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥34.14) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.98). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 304M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.8%
Net margin 5.6%
Return on equity 1.6%
Free cash flow −106M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 537.2
More key figures
Operating margin 0.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1300
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -40.0%
Net debt 38.6M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 29
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 20
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co., Ltd. engages in the design, research and development, manufacture, and sale of automatic balancing machines in China.

Full company description

Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co., Ltd. engages in the design, research and development, manufacture, and sale of automatic balancing machines in China. The company's products include auto-positioning balancing test machines, vertical balancing machines, universal balancing machines, electrical vehicle motor balancing machines, shaft straightening machines, motor balancing machines, turbo and rotor balancers, winding machines, and motor automatic manufacturing equipment, as well as provides motor technical consulting services. Its products are used in home appliances, power tools and auto parts, and electrical vehicles fields. Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co reported revenue of ¥309M in FY2025 versus ¥226M in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥18.9M in FY2025, compounding −6.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
309M CNY
Latest YoY
+15.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.4%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+12.4%
Revenue +8.2%/yr
FY21 ¥226M
FY22 ¥237M
FY23 ¥255M
FY24 ¥269M
FY25 ¥309M
Net income −6.5%/yr
FY21 ¥24.7M
FY22 ¥18.6M
FY23 ¥32.7M
FY24 ¥19.1M
FY25 ¥18.9M

300553 screens 49% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300553

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −49% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.30× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 537.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 9.25× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 25.54× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 6 · sector 28
HEALTH 85 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 1 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co (300553) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥23.01 versus a price of ¥44.93, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300553?
Our model-based fair value for Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co is ¥23.01 (as of Aug 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥44.93.
What is the quality score of 300553?
Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co has a Quality Score of 40/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co (300553)?
Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 304M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300553?
The net profit margin of Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co pay a dividend?
Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.07% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 7, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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