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Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co (300587) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.3B CNY

ZT Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co 300587 · SHE
Price¥4.99
Fair Value¥1.14
Upside-77.2%
Quality26/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -13.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥0.8500 – ¥1.70 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥5.10 to ¥1.14 (−77.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +35.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥0.8500 to ¥1.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥14.95 ¥3.24 Fair Value ¥1.14 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.24 – ¥14.95 · fair‑value band ¥0.8500 – ¥1.70 · the ¥4.99 price screens above the ¥1.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co (300587) currently trades at ¥4.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.14, implying the stock looks roughly 77.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co generated revenue of 1.6B CNY at a net margin of -13.3%. Revenue declined 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.7%. Net debt stands at 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.8500 (bear case) to ¥1.70 (bull case); at ¥4.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at -77%, 300587 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.8500 ¥1.14 ¥1.70 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.8500 ¥1.14 ¥1.70 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.8%
Net margin -13.3%
Return on equity -8.7%
Free cash flow −520M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 9.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.1800
Net debt 1.1B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 58
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the provision of noise reduction and vibration mitigation technology for rail, road, level crossing, buildings, and industrial applications in China. The company also involved in the development and manufacture of rubber products.

Full company description

Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the provision of noise reduction and vibration mitigation technology for rail, road, level crossing, buildings, and industrial applications in China. The company also involved in the development and manufacture of rubber products. It also offers seismic isolators for buildings, such as natural rubber bearing, lead rubber bearing, high damping rubber bearing, friction pendulum seismic isolation, and simple support for village and town houses; shock absorbing products, including viscous dampers, buckling restrained brace, friction dampers, mild steel damper, viscoelastic damper, and tuned mass damper; drain pipe, such as HDPE double wall corrugated pipe, PE water supply pipe, poly septic tank, and plastic inspection chamber; seismic support and hanger product, including seismic hangers and two-way anti-seismic support hanger; and other seismic isolation devices, such as tensile device, wind resistance device, and building isolation soft connection. Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Zhejiang Tiantie Industry Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co., Ltd. in January 2025. Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is based in Taizhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.6B in FY2025 versus ¥1.7B in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥218M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 11/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.6B CNY
Latest YoY
−26.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+16.6%
Revenue −2.0%/yr
FY21 ¥1.7B
FY22 ¥1.7B
FY23 ¥1.5B
FY24 ¥2.1B
FY25 ¥1.6B
Net income
FY21 ¥302M
FY22 ¥410M
FY23 −¥654M
FY24 ¥15.2M
FY25 −¥218M

300587 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300587

Peer Group

Railroads · 111 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.38× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.42× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.59× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 31
HEALTH 81 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Union Pacific Corporation UNP $301.75 $144.60 -52%
CSX Corporation CSX $49.41 $12.85 -74%
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP $92.91 $35.00 -62%
Canadian National Railway Company CNI $128.22 $92.63 -28%
Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC $327.47 $117.90 -64%
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB $259.71 $144.80 -44%
Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 ¥4.82 ¥5.65 +17%
CRRC Corporation 601766 ¥5.65 ¥9.53 +69%
Daqin Railway Co 601006 ¥4.85 ¥6.24 +29%
Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 167,700 KRW 125,182 KRW -25%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co (300587) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.14 versus a price of ¥4.99, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300587?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co is ¥1.14 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.99.
What is the quality score of 300587?
Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co (300587)?
Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300587?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co is about -13.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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